No, San Diego have taken 34 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 9.76 fewer than the 43.76 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
San Diego create 1.63 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 48.95 in all, and have scored 53 goals from those chances, 4.05 more than that xG would expect.
San Diego allow 1.64 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 49.15 in all, and have conceded 56 goals from those chances, 6.85 more than that xGA would expect.
Anders Dreyer has the most expected goals (xG) for San Diego over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 12.85 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 13 goals; Marcus Ingvartsen is next with 9.42 xG.
San Diego have taken 9.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 30 games: +4.1 goals against their xG, and -6.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 48.95 | 53 | +4.05 | 49.15 | 56 | -6.85 | 43.76 | 34 | -9.76 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.57 | 19 | +1.43 | 17.01 | 24 | -6.99 | 14.78 | 10 | -4.78 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.24 | 11 | +0.76 | 8.28 | 14 | -5.72 | 8.19 | 4 | -4.19 |
| Home | 15 | 26.04 | 35 | +8.96 | 22.96 | 27 | -4.04 | 23.81 | 22 | -1.81 |
| Away | 15 | 22.91 | 18 | -4.91 | 26.19 | 29 | -2.81 | 19.95 | 12 | -7.95 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 2-2 | 1.99 | 0.62 | 2.29 | 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 3-3 | 2.87 | 1.05 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 4-1 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 3-3 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 2-2 | 0.88 | 1.76 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 0-5 | 1.40 | 3.88 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 2-3 | 2.04 | 1.45 | 1.75 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 1-0 | 0.37 | 1.98 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 3-1 | 2.47 | 0.92 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 3-0 | 1.05 | 0.50 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 3-1 | 1.96 | 1.49 | 1.68 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 0-1 | 1.19 | 0.94 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 1-1 | 1.96 | 1.20 | 1.87 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 1-0 | 1.61 | 0.63 | 2.07 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 1-0 | 1.04 | 0.64 | 1.67 | 0 | W |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 2-4 | 1.33 | 3.84 | 0.35 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 3-3 | 1.40 | 1.64 | 1.23 | 1 | L |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 5-0 | 2.78 | 0.56 | 2.61 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 1-1 | 1.67 | 2.82 | 0.81 | 1 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 2-2 | 1.27 | 1.15 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 1-2 | 1.83 | 0.86 | 2.03 | 0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 1-0 | 1.26 | 0.78 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 4-2 | 1.72 | 2.02 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 1-2 | 1.83 | 2.42 | 1.08 | 0 | L |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 3-0 | 0.62 | 3.43 | 0.18 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 2-2 | 1.83 | 2.54 | 1.02 | 1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 3-3 | 2.00 | 3.17 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 0-1 | 1.75 | 0.49 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 2 Mar | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 2-0 | 0.96 | 1.11 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 5-0 | 1.37 | 0.41 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Ingvartsen | attacker | 26 | 1822 | 9.42 | 12 | +2.58 | 0.47 |
| Gabriel Pirani | midfielder | 10 | 641 | 2.28 | 4 | +1.72 | 0.32 |
| Bryan Zamblé | attacker | 10 | 151 | 0.45 | 2 | +1.55 | 0.27 |
| Amahl Pellegrino | attacker | 21 | 919 | 2.15 | 3 | +0.85 | 0.21 |
| Pedro Soma | midfielder | 9 | 399 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.04 |
| AnÃbal Godoy | midfielder | 28 | 1686 | 0.29 | 1 | +0.71 | 0.02 |
| Luca Bombino | defender | 17 | 1166 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.03 |
| Alejandro Alvarado | midfielder | 21 | 700 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.09 |
| Anders Dreyer | attacker | 29 | 2544 | 12.85 | 13 | +0.15 | 0.45 |
| David Vazquez | midfielder | 19 | 907 | 2.91 | 3 | +0.09 | 0.29 |
| Kieran Sargeant | defender | 21 | 1473 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.09 | 0.06 |
| Christopher McVey | defender | 25 | 1698 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.09 | 0.05 |
| Elias Achouri | attacker | 11 | 784 | 2.18 | 2 | -0.18 | 0.25 |
| Cédric Bakambu | attacker | 7 | 292 | 3.19 | 3 | -0.19 | 0.98 |
| Alex Mighten | attacker | 13 | 628 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.08 |
| Jeppe Tverskov | midfielder | 24 | 1882 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.04 |
| Onni Valakari | midfielder | 28 | 2031 | 5.00 | 4 | -1.00 | 0.22 |
| Lewis Morgan | attacker | 13 | 508 | 1.10 | 0 | -1.10 | 0.19 |
| Oscar Verhoeven | defender | 26 | 1887 | 1.37 | 0 | -1.37 | 0.07 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |