No, Minnesota have taken 34 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 10.32 fewer than the 44.32 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Minnesota create 1.74 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 52.10 in all, and have scored 47 goals from those chances, 5.10 fewer than that xG would expect.
Minnesota allow 1.64 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 49.25 in all, and have conceded 55 goals from those chances, 5.75 more than that xGA would expect.
Kelvin Yeboah has the most expected goals (xG) for Minnesota over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 16.88 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 17 goals; Anthony Markanich Jr. is next with 6.12 xG.
Minnesota have taken 10.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 30 games: -5.1 goals against their xG, and -5.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 52.10 | 47 | -5.10 | 49.25 | 55 | -5.75 | 44.32 | 34 | -10.32 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 19.41 | 25 | +5.59 | 19.22 | 27 | -7.78 | 13.72 | 9 | -4.72 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.33 | 10 | +0.67 | 9.34 | 12 | -2.66 | 6.84 | 5 | -1.84 |
| Home | 15 | 28.06 | 19 | -9.06 | 17.49 | 20 | -2.51 | 27.12 | 16 | -11.12 |
| Away | 15 | 24.04 | 28 | +3.96 | 31.76 | 35 | -3.24 | 17.20 | 18 | +0.80 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 3-2 | 2.72 | 1.54 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 2-2 | 0.96 | 1.88 | 0.78 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 2-2 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.33 | 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 3-1 | 1.74 | 2.39 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 2-3 | 2.38 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 4-2 | 1.63 | 2.09 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 1-2 | 1.50 | 2.05 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 5-4 | 1.89 | 2.87 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 3-3 | 3.40 | 0.86 | 2.61 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 1-5 | 1.66 | 2.01 | 1.18 | 3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 1-2 | 2.35 | 0.65 | 2.43 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 1-1 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.51 | 1 | W |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 1-1 | 1.20 | 1.96 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 0-0 | 1.27 | 0.60 | 1.88 | 1 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 2-1 | 1.65 | 1.28 | 1.63 | 0 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 1-1 | 0.88 | 0.44 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 2-1 | 2.17 | 1.83 | 1.59 | 0 | W |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 0-1 | 1.26 | 0.33 | 2.12 | 0 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 2-2 | 2.45 | 1.70 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 2-3 | 1.55 | 1.77 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 0-1 | 2.27 | 0.73 | 2.34 | 0 | W |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 0-1 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 1.35 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 2-0 | 2.09 | 1.10 | 2.01 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 1-2 | 2.42 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 1-2 | 1.49 | 2.25 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 0-0 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 1.32 | 1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 6-0 | 0.86 | 4.31 | 0.15 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 3-1 | 1.13 | 2.59 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 1-0 | 1.90 | 1.12 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 2-2 | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.41 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Caldeira | attacker | 11 | 626 | 2.30 | 7 | +4.70 | 0.33 |
| Anthony Markanich Jr. | defender | 29 | 2412 | 6.12 | 8 | +1.88 | 0.23 |
| Mauricio Gonzalez | midfielder | 18 | 305 | 1.33 | 2 | +0.67 | 0.39 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | attacker | 29 | 2202 | 16.88 | 17 | +0.12 | 0.69 |
| AZ Jackson | midfielder | 6 | 185 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.45 |
| Devin Padelford | defender | 16 | 605 | 0.95 | 1 | +0.05 | 0.14 |
| Nectarios Triantis | midfielder | 24 | 1440 | 1.37 | 1 | -0.37 | 0.09 |
| JoaquÃn Pereyra | midfielder | 28 | 2288 | 3.41 | 3 | -0.41 | 0.13 |
| Wil Trapp | midfielder | 29 | 2032 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.02 |
| Kyle Duncan | defender | 24 | 1679 | 1.82 | 1 | -0.82 | 0.10 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | attacker | 19 | 848 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.09 |
| Tomás Chancalay | attacker | 30 | 1883 | 5.06 | 4 | -1.06 | 0.24 |
| Morris Duggan | defender | 29 | 2593 | 2.23 | 1 | -1.23 | 0.08 |
| Jefferson DÃaz | defender | 27 | 2109 | 2.05 | 0 | -2.05 | 0.09 |
| Mamadou Dieng | attacker | 18 | 500 | 2.39 | 0 | -2.39 | 0.43 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |