Yes, Inter Miami have taken 55 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 8.41 more than the 46.59 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Inter Miami create 1.94 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 58.33 in all, and have scored 73 goals from those chances, 14.67 more than that xG would expect.
Inter Miami allow 1.65 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 49.36 in all, and have conceded 51 goals from those chances, 1.64 more than that xGA would expect.
Lionel Messi has the most expected goals (xG) for Inter Miami over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 19.33 xG in 27 appearances, and has scored 25 goals; Luis Suárez is next with 10.69 xG.
Inter Miami have taken 8.4 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +14.7 goals against their xG, and -1.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 58.33 | 73 | +14.67 | 49.36 | 51 | -1.64 | 46.59 | 55 | +8.41 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.64 | 25 | +7.36 | 15.88 | 13 | +2.88 | 15.07 | 16 | +0.93 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.06 | 12 | +2.94 | 7.30 | 5 | +2.30 | 7.68 | 10 | +2.32 |
| Home | 15 | 36.12 | 41 | +4.88 | 24.66 | 26 | -1.34 | 27.17 | 25 | -2.17 |
| Away | 15 | 22.21 | 32 | +9.79 | 24.70 | 25 | -0.30 | 19.42 | 30 | +10.58 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 1-3 | 1.36 | 2.01 | 0.99 | 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 2-0 | 2.26 | 1.76 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 4-0 | 3.24 | 0.86 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 2-1 | 0.44 | 1.79 | 0.46 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 2-2 | 1.76 | 0.88 | 1.97 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 2-2 | 1.84 | 2.47 | 1.05 | 1 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 1-1 | 1.67 | 1.27 | 1.64 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 2-2 | 1.15 | 3.26 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 7-1 | 2.17 | 0.68 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 1-2 | 1.75 | 0.90 | 1.96 | 0 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 2-2 | 1.38 | 3.11 | 0.56 | 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 4-1 | 2.38 | 2.14 | 1.53 | 0 | W |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 2-2 | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 0-1 | 2.02 | 1.95 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 22 Jul | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 3-2 | 2.27 | 2.08 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 6-4 | 4.39 | 3.30 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 2-0 | 3.32 | 1.31 | 2.38 | 3 | W |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 3-5 | 2.66 | 1.50 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 2-4 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 3-4 | 3.23 | 2.00 | 2.01 | 0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 1-1 | 2.22 | 1.25 | 1.98 | 1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 0-2 | 1.79 | 1.07 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 2-3 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.41 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 2-2 | 2.29 | 1.27 | 2.00 | 1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 2-2 | 3.13 | 1.39 | 2.28 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 2-3 | 1.84 | 1.18 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 0-0 | 0.91 | 1.07 | 1.22 | 1 | L |
| 7 Mar | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 1-2 | 0.67 | 1.75 | 0.64 | 3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 2-4 | 1.23 | 0.90 | 1.61 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 3-0 | 0.97 | 2.60 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | attacker | 27 | 2360 | 19.33 | 25 | +5.67 | 0.74 |
| Luis Suárez | attacker | 26 | 1912 | 10.69 | 15 | +4.31 | 0.50 |
| Rodrigo De Paul | midfielder | 25 | 2238 | 2.56 | 5 | +2.44 | 0.10 |
| Casemiro | midfielder | 14 | 1228 | 0.67 | 3 | +2.33 | 0.05 |
| Mateo Silvetti | attacker | 14 | 874 | 2.05 | 3 | +0.95 | 0.21 |
| Alexander Shaw | midfielder | 7 | 110 | 0.09 | 1 | +0.91 | 0.07 |
| Noah Allen | defender | 19 | 1037 | 0.12 | 1 | +0.88 | 0.01 |
| Gonzalo Luján | defender | 20 | 1413 | 0.24 | 1 | +0.76 | 0.02 |
| Sergio Reguilón | defender | 16 | 1063 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.05 |
| Micael | defender | 21 | 1870 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.03 |
| Telasco Segovia | midfielder | 26 | 1888 | 3.32 | 3 | -0.32 | 0.16 |
| Dániel Pintér | attacker | 14 | 476 | 1.37 | 1 | -0.37 | 0.26 |
| Ian Fray | defender | 22 | 1450 | 1.55 | 1 | -0.55 | 0.10 |
| Tadeo Allende | attacker | 9 | 432 | 1.19 | 0 | -1.19 | 0.25 |
| Germán Berterame | attacker | 26 | 2088 | 10.54 | 9 | -1.54 | 0.45 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |