No, St. Louis have taken 51 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 4.07 of the 46.93 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
St. Louis create 1.57 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 47.09 in all, and have scored 56 goals from those chances, 8.91 more than that xG would expect.
St. Louis allow 1.27 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 38.19 in all, and have conceded 41 goals from those chances, 2.81 more than that xGA would expect.
Simon Becher has the most expected goals (xG) for St. Louis over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 9.84 xG in 30 appearances, and has scored 9 goals; Marcel Hartel is next with 5.32 xG.
St. Louis's results and their chances agree, within 4.1 points of xPts over 30 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 47.09 | 56 | +8.91 | 38.19 | 41 | -2.81 | 46.93 | 51 | +4.07 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.84 | 28 | +11.16 | 14.30 | 15 | -0.70 | 15.46 | 21 | +5.54 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.20 | 14 | +4.80 | 7.76 | 6 | +1.76 | 7.85 | 10 | +2.15 |
| Home | 15 | 26.22 | 34 | +7.78 | 17.33 | 19 | -1.67 | 26.23 | 31 | +4.77 |
| Away | 15 | 20.87 | 22 | +1.13 | 20.86 | 22 | -1.14 | 20.70 | 20 | -0.70 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 3-2 | 1.54 | 2.72 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 0-0 | 0.95 | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 6-2 | 2.47 | 1.72 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 30 Sep | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 0-3 | 1.83 | 1.15 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 3-1 | 2.41 | 1.00 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 4-2 | 2.09 | 1.63 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 2-2 | 1.66 | 1.21 | 1.68 | 1 | W |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 1-3 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.34 | 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 3-3 | 1.36 | 0.91 | 1.70 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 2-1 | 1.32 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-1 | 0.52 | 2.10 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | San Jose (A) | 1-3 | 2.51 | 0.30 | 2.68 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | RSL (H) | 1-1 | 1.61 | 1.01 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 1-0 | 1.30 | 0.13 | 2.33 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 1-3 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.37 | 3 | W |
| 17 Jul | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 3-2 | 3.38 | 1.27 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 3-0 | 1.02 | 0.45 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 1-1 | 1.24 | 1.12 | 1.45 | 1 | W |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 2-1 | 1.86 | 1.71 | 1.48 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 0-1 | 1.37 | 1.57 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 2-0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.45 | 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 2-3 | 2.10 | 1.76 | 1.59 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 4-1 | 0.70 | 1.73 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 1-1 | 1.11 | 1.14 | 1.34 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 1-1 | 1.43 | 1.78 | 1.17 | 1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 3-1 | 1.44 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 2-0 | 1.70 | 1.03 | 1.83 | 0 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 0.94 | 1.30 | 0 | L |
| 2 Mar | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 2-0 | 1.11 | 0.96 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 1-1 | 2.02 | 0.64 | 2.29 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Navarro | attacker | 8 | 616 | 4.74 | 8 | +3.26 | 0.69 |
| Daniel Ethan Edelman | midfielder | 29 | 2350 | 1.53 | 4 | +2.47 | 0.06 |
| Carlo Holse | midfielder | 11 | 569 | 3.92 | 6 | +2.08 | 0.62 |
| Tomas Totland | defender | 26 | 1849 | 1.57 | 3 | +1.43 | 0.08 |
| Tomas Ostrák | midfielder | 7 | 98 | 0.66 | 2 | +1.34 | 0.61 |
| Lukas MacNaughton | defender | 26 | 1177 | 0.67 | 2 | +1.33 | 0.05 |
| Eduard Löwen | midfielder | 13 | 637 | 2.12 | 3 | +0.88 | 0.30 |
| Marcel Hartel | midfielder | 16 | 1371 | 5.32 | 6 | +0.68 | 0.35 |
| Chris Durkin | midfielder | 26 | 2185 | 1.34 | 2 | +0.66 | 0.06 |
| Sergio Córdova | attacker | 10 | 493 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.10 |
| Timo Baumgartl | defender | 30 | 2700 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.02 |
| Fallou Fall | defender | 13 | 709 | 0.66 | 1 | +0.34 | 0.08 |
| Sang-bin Jeong | attacker | 22 | 1060 | 3.17 | 3 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| Rafael Santos | defender | 18 | 1186 | 1.17 | 1 | -0.17 | 0.09 |
| Brendan McSorley | attacker | 12 | 173 | 1.62 | 1 | -0.62 | 0.84 |
| Alexandru Mățan | midfielder | 12 | 735 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.08 |
| Simon Becher | attacker | 30 | 2099 | 9.84 | 9 | -0.84 | 0.42 |
| Conrad Wallem | midfielder | 25 | 2102 | 1.86 | 1 | -0.86 | 0.08 |
| Dante Polvara | midfielder | 30 | 2479 | 1.96 | 1 | -0.96 | 0.07 |
| Cedric Teuchert | attacker | 10 | 299 | 1.00 | 0 | -1.00 | 0.30 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |