Yes, Charlotte have taken 47 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 7.28 more than the 39.72 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Charlotte create 1.58 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 47.29 in all, and have scored 53 goals from those chances, 5.71 more than that xG would expect.
Charlotte allow 1.76 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 52.68 in all, and have conceded 45 goals from those chances, 7.68 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Idan Toklomati has the most expected goals (xG) for Charlotte over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 10.04 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 13 goals; Pep Biel is next with 7.54 xG.
Charlotte have taken 7.3 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +5.7 goals against their xG, and +7.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 47.29 | 53 | +5.71 | 52.68 | 45 | +7.68 | 39.72 | 47 | +7.28 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.36 | 18 | +2.64 | 21.64 | 14 | +7.64 | 11.56 | 18 | +6.44 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.30 | 8 | +0.70 | 13.51 | 9 | +4.51 | 4.61 | 7 | +2.39 |
| Home | 15 | 28.86 | 29 | +0.14 | 19.97 | 16 | +3.97 | 25.44 | 28 | +2.56 |
| Away | 15 | 18.43 | 24 | +5.57 | 32.71 | 29 | +3.71 | 14.28 | 19 | +4.72 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 2-2 | 1.12 | 2.61 | 0.59 | 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 3-1 | 0.81 | 4.69 | 0.10 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 3-2 | 2.72 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 26 Sep | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 0-1 | 1.82 | 1.35 | 1.69 | 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 1-2 | 0.83 | 3.06 | 0.33 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 3-3 | 1.80 | 2.72 | 0.92 | 1 | L |
| 9 Sep | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 1-2 | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 0-0 | 0.97 | 1.14 | 1.22 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 0-2 | 1.83 | 1.11 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 3-1 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 3-3 | 2.15 | 1.94 | 1.52 | 1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 3-1 | 1.76 | 2.40 | 1.05 | 3 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 2-1 | 1.36 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 0-2 | 0.60 | 2.61 | 0.32 | 3 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 2-2 | 2.86 | 1.77 | 1.98 | 1 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 1-0 | 1.63 | 0.91 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 3-1 | 2.37 | 1.35 | 1.99 | 3 | W |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 0-1 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 2-2 | 1.84 | 1.48 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 1-0 | 1.21 | 1.91 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 4-2 | 1.57 | 1.13 | 1.68 | 0 | W |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 4-1 | 1.66 | 1.39 | 1.56 | 0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 1-2 | 1.11 | 1.71 | 0.98 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 1-2 | 2.44 | 0.49 | 2.55 | 0 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 2-1 | 1.26 | 1.63 | 1.13 | 3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 6-1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.72 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 0-0 | 1.07 | 0.91 | 1.47 | 1 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 3-1 | 3.16 | 0.16 | 2.85 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 3-0 | 0.29 | 3.15 | 0.12 | 0 | L |
| 21 Feb | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 1-1 | 0.64 | 2.02 | 0.52 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pep Biel | midfielder | 30 | 2640 | 7.54 | 12 | +4.46 | 0.26 |
| Idan Toklomati | attacker | 29 | 2221 | 10.04 | 13 | +2.96 | 0.41 |
| Ashley Westwood | midfielder | 27 | 2317 | 2.04 | 3 | +0.96 | 0.08 |
| David Schnegg | defender | 20 | 1307 | 1.32 | 2 | +0.68 | 0.09 |
| Brandt Bronico | midfielder | 25 | 1004 | 0.34 | 1 | +0.66 | 0.03 |
| Will Cleary | defender | 11 | 712 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.05 |
| Archie Goodwin | attacker | 24 | 436 | 2.45 | 3 | +0.55 | 0.51 |
| Kerwin Vargas | attacker | 17 | 998 | 2.52 | 3 | +0.48 | 0.23 |
| Harry Toffolo | defender | 18 | 1248 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.05 |
| Henry Kessler | defender | 14 | 1260 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.06 |
| Rodolfo Aloko | attacker | 19 | 716 | 1.90 | 2 | +0.10 | 0.24 |
| Liel Abada | attacker | 23 | 1201 | 5.13 | 5 | -0.13 | 0.38 |
| Tyger Smalls | attacker | 15 | 179 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.27 |
| Luca de la Torre | midfielder | 26 | 1062 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.05 |
| Wilfried Zaha | attacker | 13 | 1162 | 3.64 | 3 | -0.64 | 0.28 |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | attacker | 12 | 919 | 1.72 | 1 | -0.72 | 0.17 |
| Agyemang Morrison | defender | 23 | 1770 | 3.02 | 2 | -1.02 | 0.15 |
| Djibril Diani | midfielder | 27 | 1329 | 1.42 | 0 | -1.42 | 0.10 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |