No, NYCFC have taken 34 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 7.83 fewer than the 41.83 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
NYCFC create 1.44 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 43.25 in all, and have scored 43 goals from those chances, 0.25 fewer than that xG would expect.
NYCFC allow 1.44 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 43.14 in all, and have conceded 41 goals from those chances, 2.14 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Nicolás Fernández Mercau has the most expected goals (xG) for NYCFC over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 9.94 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 15 goals; Luighi is next with 4.74 xG.
NYCFC have taken 7.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 30 games: -0.3 goals against their xG, and +2.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 43.25 | 43 | -0.25 | 43.14 | 41 | +2.14 | 41.83 | 34 | -7.83 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.39 | 9 | -3.39 | 14.21 | 12 | +2.21 | 12.35 | 8 | -4.35 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.59 | 4 | -3.59 | 6.18 | 8 | -1.82 | 7.73 | 2 | -5.73 |
| Home | 15 | 25.24 | 27 | +1.76 | 21.35 | 22 | -0.65 | 23.30 | 17 | -6.30 |
| Away | 15 | 18.01 | 16 | -2.01 | 21.79 | 19 | +2.79 | 18.53 | 17 | -1.53 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 1-1 | 0.95 | 0.87 | 1.41 | 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 2-0 | 1.76 | 2.26 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 2-1 | 1.54 | 1.04 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 2-2 | 0.89 | 0.99 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 18 Sep | Major League Soccer | New York RB (H) | 0-1 | 2.45 | 1.02 | 2.23 | 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 0-2 | 0.38 | 1.29 | 0.62 | 3 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 1-2 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 1.15 | 0 | L |
| 4 Sep | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 0-0 | 1.01 | 1.26 | 1.17 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 1-1 | 0.57 | 0.91 | 1.02 | 1 | L |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | New England (A) | 1-1 | 1.15 | 2.46 | 0.66 | 1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 2-1 | 1.52 | 1.19 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 2-3 | 2.66 | 2.18 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 31 Jul | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 1-1 | 2.37 | 1.01 | 2.20 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 3-1 | 1.61 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 3 | W |
| 22 Jul | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 1-2 | 1.51 | 1.77 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 2-1 | 1.49 | 0.92 | 1.78 | 0 | W |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 1-1 | 1.36 | 1.88 | 1.06 | 1 | L |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 0-1 | 0.78 | 0.35 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 3-0 | 1.17 | 1.40 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 3 May | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 0-2 | 0.52 | 2.79 | 0.25 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 1-0 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 4-4 | 2.44 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 1-2 | 1.71 | 1.11 | 1.78 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 2-0 | 0.85 | 3.12 | 0.32 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 1-1 | 1.78 | 1.43 | 1.60 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 2-3 | 1.18 | 1.84 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 3-1 | 1.46 | 0.94 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 5-0 | 2.24 | 0.14 | 2.70 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 1-2 | 2.26 | 2.15 | 1.46 | 3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 1-1 | 1.49 | 0.46 | 2.15 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Fernández Mercau | midfielder | 29 | 2586 | 9.94 | 15 | +5.06 | 0.35 |
| Hannes Wolf | attacker | 24 | 1588 | 3.48 | 6 | +2.52 | 0.20 |
| AgustÃn Ojeda | attacker | 30 | 2433 | 3.59 | 5 | +1.41 | 0.13 |
| Andrés Perea | midfielder | 20 | 1498 | 2.03 | 3 | +0.97 | 0.12 |
| Tayvon Gray | defender | 26 | 2248 | 0.73 | 1 | +0.27 | 0.03 |
| Keaton Parks | midfielder | 18 | 1088 | 1.79 | 2 | +0.21 | 0.15 |
| James Sands | midfielder | 15 | 1316 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.06 |
| Kevin O'Toole | defender | 21 | 1420 | 0.60 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.04 |
| Aiden O'Neill | midfielder | 18 | 1357 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.04 |
| Raul Gustavo | defender | 22 | 1402 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.04 |
| Kai Trewin | midfielder | 15 | 1256 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.05 |
| Luighi | attacker | 12 | 648 | 4.74 | 4 | -0.74 | 0.66 |
| Malachi Jones | attacker | 17 | 478 | 1.89 | 1 | -0.89 | 0.36 |
| Alonso MartÃnez | attacker | 4 | 148 | 1.11 | 0 | -1.11 | 0.68 |
| Talles Magno | attacker | 18 | 460 | 3.13 | 2 | -1.13 | 0.61 |
| Maxi Moralez | midfielder | 14 | 1131 | 2.20 | 1 | -1.20 | 0.18 |
| Bénie Traoré | attacker | 15 | 791 | 2.51 | 1 | -1.51 | 0.29 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |