No, San Jose have taken 48 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 0.40 of the 47.60 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
San Jose create 1.81 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 54.23 in all, and have scored 52 goals from those chances, 2.23 fewer than that xG would expect.
San Jose allow 1.37 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 40.98 in all, and have conceded 42 goals from those chances, 1.02 more than that xGA would expect.
Preston Judd has the most expected goals (xG) for San Jose over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 12.19 xG in 28 appearances, and has scored 16 goals; Ousseni Bouda is next with 6.15 xG.
San Jose's results and their chances agree, within 0.4 points of xPts over 30 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 54.23 | 52 | -2.23 | 40.98 | 42 | -1.02 | 47.60 | 48 | +0.40 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.96 | 14 | +0.04 | 12.54 | 14 | -1.46 | 14.99 | 15 | +0.01 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.32 | 8 | +1.68 | 5.87 | 6 | -0.13 | 7.35 | 7 | -0.35 |
| Home | 15 | 32.42 | 26 | -6.42 | 17.00 | 23 | -6.00 | 27.87 | 22 | -5.87 |
| Away | 15 | 21.81 | 26 | +4.19 | 23.98 | 19 | +4.98 | 19.73 | 26 | +6.27 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 0.48 | 1.80 | 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 1-1 | 1.55 | 2.21 | 1.01 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 1-1 | 0.98 | 1.30 | 1.12 | 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 3-1 | 1.36 | 1.48 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 2-2 | 1.39 | 0.40 | 2.13 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 1-0 | 1.40 | 0.93 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 2-3 | 1.45 | 2.04 | 1.03 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | Austin (A) | 1-1 | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 0-0 | 1.43 | 0.60 | 1.99 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 1-5 | 2.01 | 1.66 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 1-0 | 2.08 | 1.52 | 1.73 | 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 1-3 | 0.30 | 2.51 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 4-2 | 1.53 | 2.28 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (H) | 1-1 | 3.89 | 1.01 | 2.63 | 1 | W |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 0-4 | 1.26 | 1.37 | 1.29 | 0 | L |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 1-3 | 1.08 | 1.51 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 2-3 | 2.14 | 2.11 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 3-2 | 1.60 | 3.38 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 1-1 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 1.02 | 1 | L |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 1.37 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 2-3 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 5-1 | 5.36 | 0.59 | 2.66 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 1-4 | 1.96 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 12 Apr | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-3 | 1.76 | 0.78 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 3-0 | 3.43 | 0.62 | 2.71 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 0-1 | 0.90 | 1.25 | 1.09 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 0-1 | 2.56 | 0.43 | 2.62 | 0 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 0-1 | 1.34 | 1.14 | 1.50 | 3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 2-0 | 2.31 | 0.93 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 3-0 | 2.66 | 0.59 | 2.56 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Judd | attacker | 28 | 2023 | 12.19 | 16 | +3.81 | 0.54 |
| Daniel Munie | defender | 27 | 2386 | 2.96 | 5 | +2.04 | 0.11 |
| Dave Romney | defender | 19 | 1231 | 0.69 | 2 | +1.31 | 0.05 |
| Jack Jasinski | defender | 17 | 891 | 1.03 | 2 | +0.97 | 0.10 |
| Reid Roberts | defender | 26 | 2296 | 2.06 | 3 | +0.94 | 0.08 |
| Timo Werner | attacker | 18 | 1152 | 5.52 | 6 | +0.48 | 0.43 |
| Eduard Löwen | midfielder | 9 | 708 | 0.92 | 1 | +0.08 | 0.12 |
| Ousseni Bouda | attacker | 29 | 2125 | 6.15 | 6 | -0.15 | 0.26 |
| Nick Fernandez | midfielder | 23 | 730 | 1.18 | 1 | -0.18 | 0.15 |
| Jack Skahan | midfielder | 21 | 694 | 2.69 | 2 | -0.69 | 0.35 |
| Beau Leroux | midfielder | 29 | 2274 | 4.84 | 4 | -0.84 | 0.19 |
| Paul Marie | defender | 21 | 642 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.13 |
| Benji Kikanović | attacker | 22 | 1719 | 1.04 | 0 | -1.04 | 0.05 |
| Jamar Ricketts | defender | 27 | 1745 | 1.20 | 0 | -1.20 | 0.06 |
| Ronaldo Vieira | midfielder | 23 | 1828 | 1.22 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.06 |
| Niko Tsakiris | midfielder | 19 | 1486 | 4.72 | 3 | -1.72 | 0.29 |
| Ian Harkes | midfielder | 28 | 1089 | 2.05 | 0 | -2.05 | 0.17 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |