No, RSL have taken 36 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 3.13 of the 39.13 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
RSL create 1.40 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 41.90 in all, and have scored 45 goals from those chances, 3.10 more than that xG would expect.
RSL allow 1.49 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 44.65 in all, and have conceded 48 goals from those chances, 3.35 more than that xGA would expect.
Sergi Solans has the most expected goals (xG) for RSL over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 11.17 xG in 28 appearances, and has scored 12 goals; Morgan Guilavogui is next with 4.95 xG.
RSL's results and their chances agree, within 3.1 points of xPts over 30 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 41.90 | 45 | +3.10 | 44.65 | 48 | -3.35 | 39.13 | 36 | -3.13 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 13.81 | 11 | -2.81 | 15.85 | 16 | -0.15 | 12.68 | 8 | -4.68 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.73 | 8 | +1.27 | 6.85 | 6 | +0.85 | 6.65 | 7 | +0.35 |
| Home | 15 | 26.47 | 28 | +1.53 | 20.98 | 21 | -0.02 | 24.27 | 27 | +2.73 |
| Away | 15 | 15.43 | 17 | +1.57 | 23.67 | 27 | -3.33 | 14.86 | 9 | -5.86 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-3 | 1.33 | 1.02 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | Major League Soccer | San Jose (H) | 1-1 | 2.21 | 1.55 | 1.78 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 2-1 | 0.95 | 1.73 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 3-0 | 1.68 | 1.49 | 1.51 | 3 | W |
| 24 Sep | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 2-0 | 0.56 | 1.06 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (H) | 0-3 | 1.29 | 2.24 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 0-2 | 1.29 | 0.38 | 2.08 | 0 | W |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | Houston (A) | 2-1 | 1.52 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 0 | W |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | LAFC (H) | 2-2 | 2.83 | 2.62 | 1.51 | 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Colorado (A) | 1-0 | 0.15 | 2.33 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 2-1 | 0.51 | 1.59 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 20 Aug | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 3-4 | 1.79 | 1.98 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 1-1 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 1-1 | 1.01 | 1.61 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Major League Soccer | Portland (A) | 2-1 | 0.29 | 1.97 | 0.31 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 3-1 | 2.39 | 1.29 | 2.04 | 0 | W |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (A) | 1-1 | 0.44 | 0.88 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 17 May | Major League Soccer | Colorado (H) | 2-1 | 1.65 | 0.70 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 14 May | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 3-0 | 0.66 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 3 | L |
| 10 May | Major League Soccer | Dallas (A) | 3-1 | 0.71 | 1.66 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Portland (H) | 2-0 | 2.51 | 1.04 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 2-1 | 1.56 | 2.17 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 23 Apr | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (H) | 0-2 | 1.07 | 1.79 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 19 Apr | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 4-2 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 1.57 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (H) | 3-1 | 2.37 | 0.52 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | San Diego (A) | 2-2 | 2.54 | 1.83 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Austin (H) | 2-1 | 1.86 | 0.67 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 2-3 | 1.13 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 3 | L |
| 1 Mar | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 2-1 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Vancouver (A) | 1-0 | 0.34 | 1.40 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Gozo | attacker | 16 | 1417 | 3.38 | 6 | +2.62 | 0.21 |
| Diego Luna | midfielder | 18 | 1228 | 3.00 | 5 | +2.00 | 0.22 |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | attacker | 25 | 1059 | 1.71 | 3 | +1.29 | 0.15 |
| Saba Lobjanidze | attacker | 15 | 615 | 1.85 | 3 | +1.15 | 0.27 |
| Luc De Fougerolles | defender | 3 | 211 | 0.12 | 1 | +0.88 | 0.05 |
| Sergi Solans | attacker | 28 | 1999 | 11.17 | 12 | +0.83 | 0.50 |
| Zach Booth | attacker | 14 | 546 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.05 |
| Lukas Engel | defender | 14 | 1142 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.05 |
| Ariath Piol | attacker | 5 | 206 | 0.86 | 1 | +0.14 | 0.38 |
| Juan Manuel Sanabria | defender | 25 | 1970 | 1.08 | 1 | -0.08 | 0.05 |
| Stijn Spierings | midfielder | 21 | 1548 | 1.13 | 1 | -0.13 | 0.07 |
| Dominik Marczuk | attacker | 17 | 720 | 1.26 | 1 | -0.26 | 0.16 |
| Philip Quinton | defender | 25 | 1955 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.03 |
| Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos | attacker | 8 | 266 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.28 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | attacker | 24 | 1736 | 4.95 | 4 | -0.95 | 0.26 |
| Noel Caliskan | midfielder | 30 | 2557 | 2.10 | 1 | -1.10 | 0.07 |
| Victor Olatunji | attacker | 17 | 384 | 2.99 | 1 | -1.99 | 0.70 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |