No, New York RB have taken 36 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, within 1.76 of the 37.76 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
New York RB create 1.65 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 49.42 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 10.42 fewer than that xG would expect.
New York RB allow 1.88 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 56.48 in all, and have conceded 56 goals from those chances, 0.48 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Julian Hall has the most expected goals (xG) for New York RB over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 12.48 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 11 goals; Emil Forsberg is next with 6.82 xG.
New York RB's results and their chances agree, within 1.8 points of xPts over 30 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 49.42 | 39 | -10.42 | 56.48 | 56 | +0.48 | 37.76 | 36 | -1.76 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.65 | 9 | -5.65 | 17.66 | 14 | +3.66 | 11.99 | 11 | -0.99 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 9.07 | 6 | -3.07 | 8.25 | 8 | +0.25 | 7.43 | 6 | -1.43 |
| Home | 15 | 26.46 | 22 | -4.46 | 25.94 | 29 | -3.06 | 21.19 | 18 | -3.19 |
| Away | 15 | 22.96 | 17 | -5.96 | 30.54 | 27 | +3.54 | 16.57 | 18 | +1.43 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 0-2 | 1.12 | 0.47 | 1.88 | 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 2-1 | 2.43 | 1.21 | 2.11 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | San Diego (H) | 4-1 | 3.35 | 2.29 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 30 Sep | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (H) | 0-3 | 1.15 | 1.83 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 18 Sep | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 0-1 | 1.02 | 2.45 | 0.59 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 0-1 | 1.65 | 1.89 | 1.25 | 3 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | LAFC (A) | 2-0 | 0.73 | 1.37 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | Seattle (A) | 0-0 | 0.94 | 2.28 | 0.60 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 1-3 | 1.54 | 2.90 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 1-1 | 0.72 | 0.97 | 1.12 | 1 | L |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 0-1 | 1.60 | 0.98 | 1.80 | 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 2-1 | 1.30 | 1.69 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 3-2 | 3.51 | 3.62 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 0-2 | 2.61 | 0.60 | 2.54 | 0 | W |
| 22 Jul | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (A) | 3-1 | 0.86 | 3.27 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 24 May | Major League Soccer | Sporting KC (A) | 1-2 | 0.96 | 1.86 | 0.80 | 3 | L |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 1-1 | 1.88 | 1.36 | 1.71 | 1 | W |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 3-2 | 2.47 | 1.77 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 1-3 | 1.66 | 1.43 | 1.53 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Dallas (H) | 0-2 | 0.99 | 1.66 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 2-0 | 1.74 | 2.65 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 4-4 | 1.45 | 2.51 | 0.81 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 4-1 | 0.80 | 2.52 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 2-2 | 1.27 | 2.29 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 4-2 | 2.25 | 2.46 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 6-1 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 1-1 | 2.39 | 1.46 | 1.93 | 1 | W |
| 8 Mar | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 0-3 | 0.80 | 2.06 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Major League Soccer | New England (H) | 1-0 | 1.02 | 0.46 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (A) | 1-2 | 3.21 | 1.57 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | attacker | 29 | 1920 | 5.91 | 8 | +2.09 | 0.28 |
| Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting | attacker | 21 | 536 | 3.28 | 5 | +1.72 | 0.55 |
| Devin Padelford | defender | 8 | 458 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.04 |
| Mijahir Jiménez | attacker | 6 | 270 | 1.56 | 2 | +0.44 | 0.52 |
| Ronald Donkor | midfielder | 27 | 2323 | 1.84 | 2 | +0.16 | 0.07 |
| Cameron Harper | attacker | 10 | 351 | 1.20 | 1 | -0.20 | 0.31 |
| Julián Bazán | defender | 16 | 1286 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.04 |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | defender | 26 | 1481 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.04 |
| Justin Che | defender | 20 | 1551 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.05 |
| Gustav Berggren | midfielder | 13 | 433 | 1.19 | 0 | -1.19 | 0.25 |
| Adri Mehmeti | midfielder | 28 | 2239 | 2.34 | 1 | -1.34 | 0.09 |
| Julian Hall | attacker | 29 | 2469 | 12.48 | 11 | -1.48 | 0.46 |
| Mohammed Sofo | attacker | 23 | 1090 | 2.72 | 1 | -1.72 | 0.22 |
| Cade Cowell | attacker | 28 | 1867 | 4.59 | 2 | -2.59 | 0.22 |
| Emil Forsberg | attacker | 27 | 1866 | 6.82 | 3 | -3.82 | 0.33 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |