Yes, New England have taken 52 points over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 11.16 more than the 40.84 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
New England create 1.51 expected goals (xG) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 45.41 in all, and have scored 49 goals from those chances, 3.59 more than that xG would expect.
New England allow 1.50 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 44.93 in all, and have conceded 41 goals from those chances, 3.93 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Carles Gil has the most expected goals (xG) for New England over 30 Major League Soccer games in 2026, 9.67 xG in 30 appearances, and has scored 12 goals; Dor Turgeman is next with 9.08 xG.
New England have taken 11.2 points more than their chances warranted over 30 games: +3.6 goals against their xG, and +3.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 30 | 45.41 | 49 | +3.59 | 44.93 | 41 | +3.93 | 40.84 | 52 | +11.16 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.71 | 17 | +1.29 | 14.93 | 16 | -1.07 | 14.05 | 19 | +4.95 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.84 | 8 | +2.16 | 7.98 | 10 | -2.02 | 5.31 | 9 | +3.69 |
| Home | 15 | 20.68 | 27 | +6.32 | 20.63 | 16 | +4.63 | 20.13 | 32 | +11.87 |
| Away | 15 | 24.73 | 22 | -2.73 | 24.30 | 25 | -0.70 | 20.71 | 20 | -0.71 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (H) | 1-0 | 0.37 | 1.30 | 0.60 | 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (A) | 2-3 | 1.20 | 1.91 | 0.93 | 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Major League Soccer | Seattle (H) | 0-3 | 0.93 | 1.10 | 1.21 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Major League Soccer | RSL (A) | 3-0 | 1.49 | 1.68 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Major League Soccer | Orlando City (H) | 4-2 | 1.85 | 1.99 | 1.31 | 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Major League Soccer | Chicago Fire (A) | 1-2 | 1.05 | 2.17 | 0.72 | 3 | L |
| 10 Sep | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (A) | 1-2 | 2.11 | 1.69 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Major League Soccer | LA Galaxy (A) | 2-1 | 2.61 | 1.32 | 2.12 | 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Major League Soccer | Columbus (A) | 1-3 | 1.64 | 0.62 | 2.10 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Major League Soccer | NYCFC (H) | 1-1 | 2.46 | 1.15 | 2.16 | 1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Major League Soccer | DC United (A) | 0-3 | 2.33 | 1.55 | 1.85 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Major League Soccer | Toronto (A) | 2-1 | 2.47 | 0.18 | 2.73 | 0 | W |
| 8 Aug | Major League Soccer | Houston (H) | 0-2 | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 1 Aug | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (A) | 2-2 | 3.81 | 1.14 | 2.57 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (H) | 4-1 | 2.15 | 1.03 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 22 Jul | Major League Soccer | Toronto (H) | 0-0 | 1.17 | 1.34 | 1.24 | 1 | L |
| 23 May | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (A) | 1-0 | 0.91 | 1.63 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 16 May | Major League Soccer | Minnesota (H) | 2-1 | 1.83 | 2.17 | 1.20 | 3 | L |
| 13 May | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (H) | 0-3 | 0.84 | 0.91 | 1.27 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia (H) | 2-1 | 1.08 | 1.35 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Major League Soccer | Charlotte (H) | 1-0 | 1.91 | 1.21 | 1.83 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Major League Soccer | Inter Miami (A) | 1-1 | 1.25 | 2.22 | 0.82 | 1 | L |
| 22 Apr | Major League Soccer | Atlanta (A) | 1-2 | 1.16 | 2.74 | 0.56 | 3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Major League Soccer | Columbus (H) | 2-1 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Major League Soccer | DC United (H) | 1-0 | 1.08 | 1.74 | 0.94 | 3 | L |
| 4 Apr | Major League Soccer | CF Montréal (H) | 3-0 | 1.54 | 1.29 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Major League Soccer | St. Louis (A) | 3-1 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.37 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Major League Soccer | Cincinnati (H) | 6-1 | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Major League Soccer | New York RB (A) | 1-0 | 0.46 | 1.02 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Major League Soccer | Nashville SC (A) | 4-1 | 0.81 | 2.99 | 0.33 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhassan Yusuf | midfielder | 24 | 1846 | 2.66 | 5 | +2.34 | 0.13 |
| Carles Gil | midfielder | 30 | 2681 | 9.67 | 12 | +2.33 | 0.32 |
| Brayan Ceballos | defender | 9 | 637 | 0.57 | 2 | +1.43 | 0.08 |
| Matt Polster | midfielder | 25 | 1816 | 1.02 | 2 | +0.98 | 0.05 |
| Joshua Wynder | defender | 6 | 360 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.11 |
| Mamadou Fofana | defender | 26 | 2340 | 0.54 | 1 | +0.46 | 0.02 |
| Wilson Harris | attacker | 13 | 183 | 0.58 | 1 | +0.42 | 0.28 |
| Luca Langoni | attacker | 21 | 1122 | 2.81 | 3 | +0.19 | 0.23 |
| Brooklyn Raines | midfielder | 27 | 2396 | 0.96 | 1 | +0.04 | 0.04 |
| Ilay Feingold | defender | 17 | 905 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.10 |
| Peyton Miller | defender | 27 | 1959 | 7.05 | 7 | -0.05 | 0.32 |
| Dor Turgeman | attacker | 29 | 2390 | 9.08 | 9 | -0.08 | 0.34 |
| Dániel Gazdag | midfielder | 8 | 391 | 1.34 | 1 | -0.34 | 0.31 |
| Jack Harrison | attacker | 7 | 549 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.10 |
| Will Sands | defender | 30 | 2605 | 1.69 | 1 | -0.69 | 0.06 |
| Griffin Yow | attacker | 22 | 870 | 1.77 | 1 | -0.77 | 0.18 |
| Ethan Kohler | defender | 26 | 2248 | 1.45 | 0 | -1.45 | 0.06 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 49.9 | 64 | 38.1 | 23 | 46.5 | 67 | +20.5 |
| 2 | New England | 30 | 45.4 | 49 | 45 | 41 | 40.9 | 52 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 33.9 | 41 | 43.6 | 39 | 36.7 | 47 | +10.3 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 30 | 58.3 | 73 | 49.4 | 51 | 46.6 | 55 | +8.4 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 30 | 47.3 | 53 | 52.7 | 45 | 39.7 | 47 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Dallas | 30 | 46.4 | 55 | 41.9 | 47 | 44.7 | 51 | +6.3 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 30 | 47.6 | 58 | 59.5 | 70 | 36.3 | 41 | +4.7 |
| 8 | Austin | 30 | 30.3 | 38 | 61.7 | 56 | 26.3 | 31 | +4.7 |
| 9 | St. Louis City | 30 | 47.1 | 56 | 38.2 | 41 | 46.9 | 51 | +4.1 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 54.6 | 52 | 44 | 44 | 46.7 | 48 | +1.3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 47.2 | 48 | 43.1 | 33 | 44.8 | 46 | +1.2 |
| 12 | Toronto | 30 | 37.3 | 46 | 47.7 | 55 | 34.8 | 36 | +1.2 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 46.2 | 43 | 52.3 | 52 | 39.3 | 40 | +0.7 |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 44 | 39 | 44.3 | 37 | 41.4 | 42 | +0.6 |
| 15 | SJ Earthquakes | 30 | 54.2 | 52 | 41 | 42 | 47.6 | 48 | +0.4 |
| 16 | New York RB | 30 | 49.4 | 39 | 56.5 | 56 | 37.8 | 36 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Cincinnati | 28 | 51.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 68 | 38.5 | 36 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 62.9 | 63 | 32.2 | 31 | 57.7 | 55 | -2.7 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 41.9 | 45 | 44.7 | 48 | 39.1 | 36 | -3.1 |
| 20 | DC United | 29 | 44.4 | 37 | 51.6 | 51 | 36.1 | 33 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 60.6 | 61 | 41.8 | 48 | 51.4 | 46 | -5.4 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 43.8 | 51 | 48.3 | 56 | 39.8 | 34 | -5.8 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 45.5 | 41 | 35 | 41 | 45.5 | 39 | -6.5 |
| 24 | Sporting KC | 30 | 35.1 | 36 | 60.9 | 75 | 29 | 22 | -7 |
| 25 | New York City | 30 | 43.3 | 43 | 43.2 | 41 | 41.8 | 34 | -7.8 |
| 26 | San Diego | 30 | 48.9 | 53 | 49.1 | 56 | 43.7 | 34 | -9.7 |
| 27 | Atlanta United | 30 | 44.3 | 37 | 46.6 | 51 | 40.2 | 30 | -10.2 |
| 28 | Minnesota United | 30 | 52.1 | 47 | 49.3 | 55 | 44.3 | 34 | -10.3 |
| 29 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 44.1 | 44 | 35.7 | 47 | 43.1 | 32 | -11.1 |
| 30 | CF Montréal | 30 | 42.4 | 36 | 50.1 | 60 | 38 | 25 | -13 |