No, Sigma Olomouc have taken 7 points over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 2.03 fewer than the 9.03 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Sigma Olomouc create 1.51 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 9.05 in all, and have scored 7 goals from those chances, 2.05 fewer than that xG would expect.
Sigma Olomouc allow 1.24 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 7.43 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 1.57 more than that xGA would expect.
Daniel Vasulin has the most expected goals (xG) for Sigma Olomouc over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 2.62 xG in 5 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Ahmad Ghali is next with 1.50 xG.
Sigma Olomouc have taken 2.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: -2.1 goals against their xG, and -1.6 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 9.05 | 7 | -2.05 | 7.43 | 9 | -1.57 | 9.03 | 7 | -2.03 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.66 | 7 | -1.66 | 6.15 | 7 | -0.85 | 8.39 | 7 | -1.39 |
| Home | 3 | 4.05 | 4 | -0.05 | 5.22 | 4 | +1.22 | 3.35 | 4 | +0.65 |
| Away | 3 | 5.00 | 3 | -2.00 | 2.21 | 5 | -2.79 | 5.68 | 3 | -2.68 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec | Europa Conference League | Lech Poznań (H) | 1-2 | 1.60 | 2.23 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 11 Dec | Europa Conference League | Red Imps (A) | 2-1 | 2.53 | 0.62 | 2.50 | 0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Europa Conference League | Celje (H) | 2-1 | 1.95 | 1.37 | 1.75 | 3 | W |
| 6 Nov | Europa Conference League | Noah (A) | 1-2 | 2.08 | 0.31 | 2.54 | 3 | W |
| 23 Oct | Europa Conference League | Raków (H) | 1-1 | 0.50 | 1.62 | 0.57 | 1 | L |
| 2 Oct | Europa Conference League | Fiorentina (A) | 2-0 | 0.39 | 1.28 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kral | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.34 | 2 | +1.66 | 0.07 |
| Abdoulaye Sylla | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.31 | 1 | +0.69 | 0.05 |
| Ahmad Ghali | midfielder | 5 | 328 | 1.50 | 2 | +0.50 | 0.41 |
| Filip Slavicek | defender | 6 | 512 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.16 |
| Tihomir Kostadinov | midfielder | 5 | 264 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.36 |
| Daniel Vasulin | attacker | 5 | 424 | 2.62 | 1 | -1.62 | 0.56 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7.4 | 5 | 10.8 | 16 | +5.2 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 7.5 | 7 | 6.4 | 1 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 7.5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +3 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | 4.6 | 2 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 5.8 | 7 | 14.8 | 15 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| 6 | AEK Athens | 6 | 15.3 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | 4.4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3.3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 9 | Drita | 6 | 4.2 | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 6.4 | 2 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| 11 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Celje | 6 | 9.8 | 8 | 9.3 | 7 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| 13 | KuPS | 6 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.6 | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 14 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 8.6 | 4 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Noah | 6 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 7 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 10.9 | 13 | 4.5 | 7 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| 17 | Lausanne Sport | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6.5 | 3 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| 19 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 8.9 | 8 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| 20 | Skendija 79 | 6 | 3.7 | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| 21 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 22 | Zrinjski | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 10.1 | 10 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 23 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 5.8 | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| 24 | Lech Poznań | 6 | 12.5 | 12 | 8.9 | 8 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| 25 | AZ | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 8.5 | 7 | 13.4 | 13 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 27 | Fiorentina | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 6.6 | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| 28 | Breidablik | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| 29 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 9 | 7 | 7.4 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 5.8 | 4 | 13.5 | 11 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 31 | Shelbourne | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10.5 | 7 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| 32 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 14.1 | 11 | 4.7 | 6 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 33 | Aberdeen | 6 | 5.2 | 3 | 10.1 | 14 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| 34 | Legia Warszawa | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.5 | 8 | 11 | 6 | -5 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 6 | 6.4 | 3 | 10.5 | 14 | 6.1 | 1 | -5.1 |
| 36 | Häcken | 6 | 8.4 | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | 9.2 | 3 | -6.2 |