Yes, SK Rapid have taken 38 points over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 6.48 more than the 31.52 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
SK Rapid create 1.58 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 31.50 in all, and have scored 37 goals from those chances, 5.50 more than that xG would expect.
SK Rapid allow 1.16 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 23.15 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 0.85 more than that xGA would expect.
Ercan Kara has the most expected goals (xG) for SK Rapid over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 7.90 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Petter Nosa Dahl is next with 3.99 xG.
SK Rapid have taken 6.5 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +5.5 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 31.50 | 37 | +5.50 | 23.15 | 24 | -0.85 | 31.52 | 38 | +6.48 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.53 | 26 | +7.47 | 11.36 | 10 | +1.36 | 16.94 | 24 | +7.06 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.41 | 12 | +4.59 | 5.47 | 6 | -0.53 | 8.29 | 12 | +3.71 |
| Home | 11 | 19.73 | 24 | +4.27 | 10.10 | 10 | +0.10 | 19.66 | 24 | +4.34 |
| Away | 9 | 11.77 | 13 | +1.23 | 13.05 | 14 | -0.95 | 11.86 | 14 | +2.14 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (H) | 3-1 | 0.91 | 0.60 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (A) | 0-2 | 2.30 | 1.05 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 18 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | WSG Tirol (H) | 3-0 | 2.08 | 0.39 | 2.49 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Górnik (A) | 0-3 | 0.98 | 0.86 | 1.44 | 3 | W |
| 2 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (A) | 5-1 | 1.14 | 2.57 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (H) | 3-1 | 2.34 | 0.71 | 2.38 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Grazer AK (H) | 8-0 | 5.30 | 0.52 | 2.67 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Ried (A) | 1-2 | 1.43 | 1.07 | 1.63 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Altach (H) | 1-0 | 1.74 | 1.20 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (A) | 2-0 | 0.31 | 2.39 | 0.23 | 0 | L |
| 10 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (H) | 0-2 | 0.82 | 0.23 | 1.86 | 0 | W |
| 4 May | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (A) | 3-1 | 1.01 | 2.33 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (H) | 1-0 | 1.42 | 1.60 | 1.26 | 3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (H) | 0-2 | 2.13 | 0.34 | 2.54 | 0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (A) | 2-2 | 2.64 | 0.44 | 2.64 | 1 | W |
| 12 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (A) | 1-1 | 0.88 | 0.59 | 1.58 | 1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (H) | 0-2 | 0.57 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 22 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | LASK Linz (H) | 4-2 | 1.73 | 0.88 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (A) | 0-1 | 1.08 | 1.75 | 0.94 | 3 | L |
| 8 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (H) | 1-0 | 0.69 | 1.74 | 0.66 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias Seidl | midfielder | 18 | 1547 | 0.90 | 3 | +2.10 | 0.05 |
| Petter Nosa Dahl | attacker | 20 | 1183 | 3.99 | 6 | +2.01 | 0.30 |
| Jannes Horn | defender | 15 | 1108 | 0.63 | 2 | +1.37 | 0.05 |
| Nenad Cvetkovic | defender | 18 | 1571 | 1.16 | 2 | +0.84 | 0.07 |
| Ange Ahoussou | defender | 10 | 639 | 0.28 | 1 | +0.72 | 0.04 |
| Jakob Schöller | defender | 11 | 682 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.04 |
| Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao | defender | 20 | 1739 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.02 |
| Marco Tilio | attacker | 10 | 216 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.23 |
| Janis Antiste | attacker | 10 | 451 | 1.59 | 2 | +0.41 | 0.32 |
| Bendegúz Bolla | defender | 19 | 1703 | 3.68 | 4 | +0.32 | 0.19 |
| Tonni Adamsen | attacker | 9 | 653 | 3.71 | 4 | +0.29 | 0.51 |
| Moulaye Haïdara | attacker | 9 | 316 | 0.90 | 1 | +0.10 | 0.26 |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | attacker | 20 | 808 | 1.66 | 1 | -0.66 | 0.19 |
| Yusuf Demir | attacker | 17 | 937 | 2.92 | 2 | -0.92 | 0.28 |
| Andreas Weimann | attacker | 11 | 877 | 1.25 | 0 | -1.25 | 0.13 |
| Ercan Kara | attacker | 18 | 1014 | 7.90 | 6 | -1.90 | 0.70 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 18.2 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 16.7 | 24 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 20.3 | 21 | 10.1 | 4 | 18 | 21 | +3 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | 14.3 | 17 | +2.7 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 15.6 | 19 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 16.6 | 16 | 14.6 | 15 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 10.3 | 11 | 17.9 | 19 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 7 | LASK Linz | 9 | 18.9 | 23 | 7.4 | 9 | 19.4 | 19 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 9.1 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 9 | Austria Wien | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | 15.3 | 18 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 9.5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 11 | WSG Tirol | 9 | 15.8 | 12 | 14.4 | 14 | 13.6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| 12 | Rheindorf Altach | 9 | 10.6 | 8 | 12.1 | 15 | 12 | 6 | -6 |