No, LASK Linz have taken 43 points over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, within 2.78 of the 40.22 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
LASK Linz create 1.99 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 39.87 in all, and have scored 50 goals from those chances, 10.13 more than that xG would expect.
LASK Linz allow 0.94 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 18.74 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 3.26 more than that xGA would expect.
Samuel Adeniran has the most expected goals (xG) for LASK Linz over their last 20 Austrian Bundesliga games, 6.93 xG in 16 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Moses Usor is next with 5.51 xG.
LASK Linz's results and their chances agree, within 2.8 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 39.87 | 50 | +10.13 | 18.74 | 22 | -3.26 | 40.22 | 43 | +2.78 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 20.81 | 26 | +5.19 | 8.42 | 9 | -0.58 | 21.34 | 22 | +0.66 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 10.22 | 11 | +0.78 | 5.69 | 8 | -2.31 | 9.54 | 7 | -2.54 |
| Home | 10 | 20.62 | 23 | +2.38 | 8.58 | 8 | +0.58 | 21.06 | 23 | +1.94 |
| Away | 10 | 19.25 | 27 | +7.75 | 10.16 | 14 | -3.84 | 19.16 | 20 | +0.84 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | Lustenau (A) | 0-4 | 2.88 | 0.29 | 2.76 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (H) | 0-2 | 1.05 | 2.30 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (A) | 3-3 | 1.49 | 0.71 | 1.94 | 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (A) | 2-1 | 2.23 | 2.10 | 1.48 | 0 | W |
| 1 Sep | Austrian Bundesliga | Górnik (A) | 1-3 | 2.57 | 0.29 | 2.70 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Altach (H) | 3-0 | 2.24 | 0.34 | 2.58 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Ried (H) | 4-1 | 1.51 | 0.45 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (A) | 0-2 | 2.71 | 0.17 | 2.79 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jul | Austrian Bundesliga | Grazer AK (H) | 3-0 | 2.26 | 0.71 | 2.35 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (A) | 0-3 | 1.87 | 1.06 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 10 May | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (H) | 2-1 | 0.93 | 1.23 | 1.13 | 3 | L |
| 4 May | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (H) | 3-1 | 2.33 | 1.01 | 2.19 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (A) | 1-5 | 1.76 | 0.58 | 2.20 | 3 | W |
| 22 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (A) | 1-1 | 0.88 | 2.12 | 0.63 | 1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Sturm Graz (H) | 1-1 | 3.90 | 1.21 | 2.56 | 1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Salzburg (A) | 2-3 | 1.98 | 1.11 | 1.94 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Austrian Bundesliga | Austria Wien (H) | 4-1 | 1.96 | 0.38 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | SK Rapid (A) | 4-2 | 0.88 | 1.73 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 13 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Hartberg (H) | 0-0 | 2.12 | 0.16 | 2.65 | 1 | W |
| 8 Mar | Austrian Bundesliga | Górnik (H) | 3-1 | 2.32 | 0.79 | 2.32 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christoph Lang | midfielder | 19 | 854 | 3.42 | 8 | +4.58 | 0.36 |
| Samuel Adeniran | attacker | 16 | 1149 | 6.93 | 10 | +3.07 | 0.54 |
| Xavier Mbuyamba | defender | 19 | 1212 | 1.84 | 4 | +2.16 | 0.14 |
| Moses Usor | attacker | 17 | 1151 | 5.51 | 7 | +1.49 | 0.43 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | attacker | 15 | 1003 | 4.51 | 6 | +1.49 | 0.40 |
| Melayro Bogarde | midfielder | 20 | 1509 | 0.65 | 2 | +1.35 | 0.04 |
| Modou Kéba Cissé | defender | 9 | 807 | 1.21 | 2 | +0.79 | 0.13 |
| Sascha Horvath | midfielder | 18 | 1515 | 1.34 | 2 | +0.66 | 0.08 |
| Florian Flecker | midfielder | 14 | 266 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.19 |
| Maximilian Entrup | attacker | 6 | 130 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.41 |
| Alessandro Schöpf | midfielder | 8 | 257 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.25 |
| Krystof Danek | midfielder | 11 | 579 | 1.27 | 1 | -0.27 | 0.20 |
| Andrés Andrade | defender | 20 | 1731 | 2.32 | 2 | -0.32 | 0.12 |
| George Bello | defender | 17 | 1250 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.07 |
| Kasper Jørgensen | defender | 19 | 1563 | 4.19 | 3 | -1.19 | 0.24 |
| Robert Ljubicic | midfielder | 7 | 486 | 1.53 | 0 | -1.53 | 0.28 |
| Alemão | defender | 18 | 1430 | 2.23 | 0 | -2.23 | 0.14 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 9 | 18.2 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 16.7 | 24 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 9 | 20.3 | 21 | 10.1 | 4 | 18 | 21 | +3 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 16.9 | 16 | 12.8 | 10 | 14.3 | 17 | +2.7 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 9 | 9.2 | 15 | 15.6 | 19 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 16.6 | 16 | 14.6 | 15 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 10.3 | 11 | 17.9 | 19 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 7 | LASK Linz | 9 | 18.9 | 23 | 7.4 | 9 | 19.4 | 19 | -0.4 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 9.1 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 9 | Austria Wien | 9 | 9.5 | 9 | 15.3 | 18 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 9.5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| 11 | WSG Tirol | 9 | 15.8 | 12 | 14.4 | 14 | 13.6 | 11 | -2.6 |
| 12 | Rheindorf Altach | 9 | 10.6 | 8 | 12.1 | 15 | 12 | 6 | -6 |