No, Jagiellonia have taken 12 points over 10 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, within 0.40 of the 11.60 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Jagiellonia create 1.53 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 15.31 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 2.31 fewer than that xG would expect.
Jagiellonia allow 1.78 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 17.81 in all, and have conceded 17 goals from those chances, 0.81 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Jesús Imaz has the most expected goals (xG) for Jagiellonia over 10 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 1.14 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Kajetan Szmyt is next with 0.69 xG.
Jagiellonia's results and their chances agree, within 0.4 points of xPts over 10 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 15.31 | 13 | -2.31 | 17.81 | 17 | +0.81 | 11.60 | 12 | +0.40 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.52 | 4 | -2.52 | 9.85 | 10 | -0.15 | 4.85 | 3 | -1.85 |
| Home | 5 | 6.80 | 5 | -1.80 | 8.22 | 9 | -0.78 | 6.07 | 6 | -0.07 |
| Away | 5 | 8.51 | 8 | -0.51 | 9.59 | 8 | +1.59 | 5.53 | 6 | +0.47 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Zagłębie Lubin (A) | 1-0 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 10 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Górnik Zabrze (H) | 1-3 | 0.74 | 2.10 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Legia Warszawa (H) | 1-3 | 2.08 | 1.53 | 1.72 | 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (A) | 2-0 | 0.37 | 1.80 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (H) | 2-1 | 1.57 | 2.32 | 0.97 | 3 | L |
| 3 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznań (A) | 2-1 | 0.81 | 1.64 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Raków (A) | 2-5 | 4.47 | 1.34 | 2.57 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz (H) | 0-2 | 1.09 | 1.37 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 31 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (A) | 1-2 | 1.10 | 2.71 | 0.55 | 3 | L |
| 25 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce (H) | 1-0 | 1.32 | 0.90 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Prelec | attacker | 9 | 621 | 0.08 | 3 | +2.92 | 0.01 |
| Ousmane Sow | attacker | 5 | 258 | 0.10 | 2 | +1.90 | 0.03 |
| Jesús Imaz | midfielder | 9 | 661 | 1.14 | 3 | +1.86 | 0.16 |
| Yuki Kobayashi | defender | 7 | 542 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Youssuf Sylla | attacker | 5 | 161 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Guilherme Montóia | defender | 7 | 584 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Sergio Lozano | midfielder | 9 | 399 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.04 |
| Kajetan Szmyt | attacker | 10 | 791 | 0.69 | 1 | +0.31 | 0.08 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |