Lincoln Red Imps xG 2026/2027

Red Imps xG Questions

Are Red Imps overperforming their xG?

Yes, Red Imps have taken 7 points over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 2.84 more than the 4.16 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Red Imps's xG per game?

Red Imps create 0.96 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 5.77 in all, and have scored 7 goals from those chances, 1.23 more than that xG would expect.

What is Red Imps's xGA per game?

Red Imps allow 2.46 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 14.78 in all, and have conceded 15 goals from those chances, 0.22 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Red Imps?

Kike Gómez has the most expected goals (xG) for Red Imps over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 1.19 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Boubacar Sidik Dabo is next with 1.09 xG.

Red Imps expected goals 2026/2027: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 5.77
Goals scored: 7
Goals minus xG: +1.23
Expected goals against (xGA): 14.78
Goals conceded: 15
xGA minus goals conceded: -0.22
Expected points (xPts): 4.16
Points: 7
Points minus xPts: +2.84
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Red Imps overperforming their expected goals?

Red Imps have taken 2.8 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +1.2 goals against their xG, and -0.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: FC Twente expected goals

Games: 4
FC Twente xG per game: 2.20
FC Twente xGA per game: 0.77
Points minus xPts: -1.92
Verdict: Too early to call

Red Imps results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	5.77	7	+1.23	14.78	15	-0.22	4.16	7	+2.84
Last 5	5	5.21	7	+1.79	11.87	10	+1.87	3.92	7	+3.08
Home	3	4.06	5	+0.94	6.27	3	+3.27	3.14	7	+3.86
Away	3	1.71	2	+0.29	8.51	12	-3.49	1.02	0	-1.02

Red Imps expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Dec	Europa Conference League	Legia Warszawa (A)	4-1	0.19	3.56	0.06	0	L
11 Dec	Europa Conference League	Sigma Olomouc (H)	2-1	0.62	2.53	0.35	3	L
27 Nov	Europa Conference League	Hamrun Spartans (A)	3-1	0.96	2.04	0.72	0	L
6 Nov	Europa Conference League	Rijeka (H)	1-1	2.59	0.79	2.43	1	W
23 Oct	Europa Conference League	Lech Poznań (H)	2-1	0.85	2.95	0.36	3	L
2 Oct	Europa Conference League	Zrinjski (A)	5-0	0.56	2.91	0.24	0	L

Red Imps players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Bernardo Lopes	defender	6	540	0.26	2	+1.74	0.04
Kike Gómez	attacker	6	332	1.19	2	+0.81	0.32
Christian Rutjens	defender	4	331	0.28	1	+0.72	0.08
Nicholas Pozo	midfielder	5	250	0.42	1	+0.58	0.15
Tjay De Barr	attacker	6	540	0.43	1	+0.57	0.07
Mandi	midfielder	5	442	0.83	0	-0.83	0.17
Boubacar Sidik Dabo	attacker	6	432	1.09	0	-1.09	0.23

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