Yes, Midtjylland have taken 22 points over 10 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 7.54 more than the 14.46 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Midtjylland create 1.41 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 14.08 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 4.92 more than that xG would expect.
Midtjylland allow 1.32 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 13.20 in all, and have conceded 10 goals from those chances, 3.20 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Etim has the most expected goals (xG) for Midtjylland over 10 Superliga games in 2026/2027, 2.84 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Stanley Iheanacho is next with 2.69 xG.
Midtjylland have taken 7.5 points more than their chances warranted over 10 games: +4.9 goals against their xG, and +3.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 14.08 | 19 | +4.92 | 13.20 | 10 | +3.20 | 14.46 | 22 | +7.54 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.79 | 11 | +4.21 | 8.36 | 5 | +3.36 | 6.10 | 11 | +4.90 |
| Home | 5 | 7.75 | 11 | +3.25 | 5.80 | 5 | +0.80 | 8.34 | 13 | +4.66 |
| Away | 5 | 6.33 | 8 | +1.67 | 7.40 | 5 | +2.40 | 6.12 | 9 | +2.88 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Superliga | Copenhagen (H) | 2-1 | 1.32 | 1.84 | 1.06 | 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | Superliga | Odense BK (A) | 1-1 | 0.51 | 2.36 | 0.34 | 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Superliga | Brøndby IF (H) | 4-1 | 1.29 | 0.79 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Superliga | Nordsjælland (H) | 2-2 | 1.94 | 1.89 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 2 Sep | Superliga | AGF (A) | 0-2 | 1.73 | 1.48 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Superliga | Silkeborg (A) | 1-1 | 2.69 | 1.56 | 2.01 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Superliga | Randers FC (H) | 1-0 | 1.46 | 0.98 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Superliga | Lyngby (A) | 1-1 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 1.44 | 1 | D |
| 2 Aug | Superliga | Horsens (H) | 2-1 | 1.74 | 0.30 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Superliga | Sønderjyske (A) | 2-3 | 0.61 | 1.36 | 0.79 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etim | attacker | 10 | 610 | 2.84 | 5 | +2.16 | 0.42 |
| Denil Castillo | midfielder | 10 | 537 | 0.61 | 2 | +1.39 | 0.10 |
| Valdemar Byskov | midfielder | 4 | 199 | 0.22 | 1 | +0.78 | 0.10 |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | defender | 6 | 496 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.06 |
| Julius Emefile | attacker | 7 | 186 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.17 |
| Martin Erlić | defender | 6 | 447 | 0.41 | 1 | +0.59 | 0.08 |
| DarÃo Osorio | attacker | 5 | 450 | 0.44 | 1 | +0.56 | 0.09 |
| Franculino | attacker | 4 | 270 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.18 |
| Stanley Iheanacho | attacker | 9 | 449 | 2.69 | 3 | +0.31 | 0.54 |
| Rasmus Kristensen | defender | 9 | 785 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.08 |
| M. Jensen | defender | 7 | 514 | 0.79 | 1 | +0.21 | 0.14 |
| Philip Billing | midfielder | 10 | 855 | 0.61 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.06 |
| Kjell Wätjen | midfielder | 6 | 355 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.19 |
| Gue-sung Cho | attacker | 9 | 527 | 1.86 | 1 | -0.86 | 0.32 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC København | 10 | 15.7 | 24 | 11.3 | 10 | 16.5 | 24 | +7.5 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 14.1 | 19 | 13.2 | 10 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 3 | Viborg FF | 10 | 17.5 | 17 | 13.5 | 8 | 16.5 | 20 | +3.5 |
| 4 | Horsens | 11 | 13.4 | 18 | 20.9 | 19 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 5 | Brøndby IF | 11 | 17.6 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 16.7 | 16 | -0.7 |
| 6 | Silkeborg IF | 11 | 12.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| 7 | Odense BK | 11 | 17.9 | 10 | 19.7 | 15 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 11 | 12.9 | 11 | 17.1 | 16 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| 9 | Nordsjælland | 11 | 24.4 | 17 | 15.3 | 13 | 20.6 | 19 | -1.6 |
| 10 | Sønderjyske Fodbold | 11 | 12.4 | 16 | 17.7 | 24 | 12.2 | 8 | -4.2 |
| 11 | AGF | 10 | 16.4 | 14 | 15.8 | 17 | 14.7 | 8 | -6.7 |
| 12 | Lyngby Boldklub | 11 | 19.8 | 15 | 17 | 24 | 16.2 | 8 | -8.2 |