Superliga xG Table 2026/2027

Which sides have got more from their chances than they deserved, and which have got less.

Updated 19 October 2026, after the last game

Who the Superliga xG table says is due a correction

Lyngby Boldklub have the biggest shortfall in the Superliga: 8 points from chances worth 16.2 xPts, a gap of 8.2. At the other end, FC Midtjylland have taken 22 points from an xPts figure of 14.5, 7.5 more than the underlying numbers justify.

How these xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a team creates and concedes, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. Expected points come from running each finished match through a Poisson model using both sides' xG, giving a win, draw and loss probability, then awarding three points and one point against those probabilities. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks. How xG is calculated How xPts is calculated

Superliga 2026/2027 xG table, Home

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Nordsjælland	5	7	11.9	-4.9	1	4.7	-3.7	+6	7.2	-1.2	13	11.3	+1.7
2	Brøndby IF	6	12	10.4	+1.6	9	8.0	+1.0	+3	2.3	+0.7	12	9.7	+2.3
3	FC København	5	11	8.8	+2.2	4	5.6	-1.6	+7	3.2	+3.8	13	8.9	+4.1
4	AGF	5	8	8.9	-0.9	7	6.4	+0.6	+1	2.6	-1.6	6	8.5	-2.5
5	FC Midtjylland	5	11	7.7	+3.3	5	5.8	-0.8	+6	1.9	+4.1	13	8.3	+4.7
6	Lyngby Boldklub	6	8	9.9	-1.9	12	9.6	+2.4	-4	0.3	-4.3	5	8.1	-3.1
7	Sønderjyske Fodbold	6	12	7.0	+5.0	13	8.4	+4.6	-1	-1.3	+0.3	7	7.6	-0.6
8	Odense BK	5	5	8.7	-3.7	9	8.5	+0.5	-4	0.2	-4.2	7	7.4	-0.4
9	Viborg FF	5	11	8.7	+2.3	4	8.3	-4.3	+7	0.5	+6.5	12	7.3	+4.7
10	Randers FC	6	6	6.7	-0.7	10	9.0	+1.0	-4	-2.3	-1.7	7	6.6	+0.4
11	Silkeborg IF	5	7	7.3	-0.3	8	8.4	-0.4	-1	-1.1	+0.1	6	6.3	-0.3
12	Horsens	6	7	5.9	+1.1	9	12.7	-3.7	-2	-6.8	+4.8	6	4.7	+1.3

Superliga 2026/2027 xG table, Away

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	FC København	6	14	9.1	+4.9	7	6.7	+0.3	+7	2.4	+4.6	12	9.7	+2.3
2	Nordsjælland	6	10	12.4	-2.4	12	10.6	+1.4	-2	1.8	-3.8	6	9.3	-3.3
3	Viborg FF	5	6	8.8	-2.8	4	5.3	-1.3	+2	3.5	-1.5	8	9.1	-1.1
4	Lyngby Boldklub	5	7	9.9	-2.9	12	7.4	+4.6	-5	2.5	-7.5	3	8.2	-5.2
5	Odense BK	6	5	9.2	-4.2	6	11.2	-5.2	-1	-2.0	+1.0	6	7.1	-1.1
6	Brøndby IF	5	6	7.2	-1.2	10	6.9	+3.1	-4	0.3	-4.3	4	6.9	-2.9
7	AGF	6	7	8.5	-1.5	11	11.6	-0.6	-4	-3.2	-0.8	3	6.8	-3.8
8	Horsens	5	11	7.5	+3.5	10	8.2	+1.8	+1	-0.7	+1.7	7	6.2	+0.8
9	FC Midtjylland	5	8	6.3	+1.7	5	7.4	-2.4	+3	-1.1	+4.1	9	6.1	+2.9
10	Randers FC	5	5	6.2	-1.2	6	8.0	-2.0	-1	-1.9	+0.9	4	5.9	-1.9
11	Silkeborg IF	6	8	4.9	+3.1	11	9.3	+1.7	-3	-4.4	+1.4	5	5.5	-0.5
12	Sønderjyske Fodbold	5	4	5.4	-1.4	11	9.4	+1.6	-7	-4.0	-3.0	1	4.7	-3.7

Superliga 2026/2027 xG table, Last 5

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	FC København	5	10	9.7	+0.3	3	5.4	-2.4	+7	4.3	+2.7	10	9.7	+0.3
2	Viborg FF	5	10	9.9	+0.1	6	6.2	-0.2	+4	3.7	+0.3	10	9.1	+0.9
3	Nordsjælland	5	8	11.4	-3.4	9	8.9	+0.1	-1	2.5	-3.5	6	8.4	-2.4
4	Brøndby IF	5	7	8.5	-1.5	12	5.8	+6.2	-5	2.7	-7.7	3	8.3	-5.3
5	Randers FC	5	6	7.8	-1.8	8	7.5	+0.5	-2	0.3	-2.3	4	7.1	-3.1
6	Sønderjyske Fodbold	5	11	7.1	+3.9	11	7.3	+3.7	+0	-0.3	+0.3	7	6.9	+0.1
7	Horsens	5	10	7.3	+2.7	9	7.7	+1.3	+1	-0.4	+1.4	6	6.5	-0.5
8	FC Midtjylland	5	11	6.8	+4.2	5	8.4	-3.4	+6	-1.6	+7.6	11	6.1	+4.9
9	Silkeborg IF	5	10	6.0	+4.0	10	7.4	+2.6	+0	-1.5	+1.5	6	5.9	+0.1
10	AGF	5	8	6.9	+1.1	7	8.9	-1.9	+1	-2.0	+3.0	6	5.8	+0.2
11	Odense BK	5	5	6.8	-1.8	8	10.2	-2.2	-3	-3.4	+0.4	8	5.3	+2.7
12	Lyngby Boldklub	5	8	6.8	+1.2	13	9.7	+3.3	-5	-2.9	-2.1	5	5.1	-0.1

Superliga xG Table Questions

Which Superliga team is overperforming their xG the most this season?

FC København are overperforming their xG by more than any other side in the Superliga in 2026/2027, with 24 goals from chances worth 15.7 xG, a gap of 8.3. FC Midtjylland are next on 4.9.

Which Superliga team is underperforming their xG the most this season?

Odense BK are underperforming their xG by more than any other side in the Superliga in 2026/2027, with 10 goals from chances worth 17.9 xG, a shortfall of 7.9. Nordsjælland are next on 7.4.

Which Superliga team has been the luckiest on expected points this season?

FC København and FC Midtjylland are the luckiest sides in the Superliga in 2026/2027, both 7.5 clear of their expected points, FC København 24 points from 16.5, FC Midtjylland 22 points from 14.5. Viborg FF are next on 3.5.

Which Superliga team has been the unluckiest on expected points this season?

Lyngby Boldklub are the unluckiest side in the Superliga in 2026/2027, with 8 points from performances worth 16.2 xPts, 8.2 short of what they deserved. AGF are next on 6.7.

Who would be top of the Superliga on xG this season?

Nordsjælland would be top of the Superliga in 2026/2027 on expected points, with 20.6 xPts from 24.4 xG created and 15.3 conceded across eleven matches. Brøndby IF are next on 16.7.

Which Superliga team has the most xG this season?

Nordsjælland have created the most xG in the Superliga in 2026/2027, 24.4 from eleven matches, 2.2 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Lyngby Boldklub are next on 19.8.

Which Superliga team has the least xG this season?

Silkeborg IF have created the least xG in the Superliga in 2026/2027, 12.2 from eleven matches, 1.1 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Sønderjyske Fodbold are next on 12.4.

Which Superliga team has conceded the most xG this season?

Horsens have conceded the most xG in the Superliga in 2026/2027, 20.9 from eleven matches, 1.9 a game against a competition average of 1.5. Odense BK are next on 19.7.

Which Superliga team has conceded the least xG this season?

FC København have conceded the least xG in the Superliga in 2026/2027, 11.3 from ten matches, 1.1 a game against a competition average of 1.5. FC Midtjylland are next on 13.2.

What is the average xG per game in the Superliga this season?

Superliga teams have averaged 1.52 xG a game in 2026/2027, from the 64 matches played, and have scored 1.52 goals a game from it. That is down from 1.55 xG a game in 2025/2026.

Do Superliga teams create more xG at home or away this season?

Superliga teams create more xG at home in 2026/2027, 1.56 a game against 1.48 away, a home advantage of +0.08, against +0.26 in 2025/2026.

Superliga player expected goals

The same season by player, with the goals each one scored against the chances they had.

Superliga Player xG Stats 2026/2027

Superliga pages

Betting

Superliga 2026/2027 xG table

#	Team	Played	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG	Goals against	xGA	Goals against minus xGA	Goal difference	xGD	Goal difference minus xGD	Points	xPts	Points minus xPts
1	Nordsjælland	11	17	24.4	-7.4	13	15.3	-2.3	+4	9.1	-5.1	19	20.6	-1.6
2	FC København	11	25	17.9	+7.1	11	12.3	-1.3	+14	5.6	+8.4	25	18.6	+6.4
3	Brøndby IF	11	18	17.6	+0.4	19	15.0	+4.0	-1	2.7	-3.7	16	16.7	-0.7
4	Viborg FF	10	17	17.5	-0.5	8	13.5	-5.5	+9	3.9	+5.1	20	16.5	+3.5
5	Lyngby Boldklub	11	15	19.8	-4.8	24	17.0	+7.0	-9	2.8	-11.8	8	16.2	-8.2
6	AGF	11	15	17.4	-2.4	18	18.0	+0.0	-3	-0.6	-2.4	9	15.3	-6.3
7	FC Midtjylland	10	19	14.1	+4.9	10	13.2	-3.2	+9	0.9	+8.1	22	14.5	+7.5
8	Odense BK	11	10	17.9	-7.9	15	19.7	-4.7	-5	-1.8	-3.2	13	14.5	-1.5
9	Randers FC	11	11	12.9	-1.9	16	17.1	-1.1	-5	-4.2	-0.8	11	12.5	-1.5
10	Sønderjyske Fodbold	11	16	12.4	+3.6	24	17.7	+6.3	-8	-5.3	-2.7	8	12.2	-4.2
11	Silkeborg IF	11	15	12.2	+2.8	19	17.7	+1.3	-4	-5.5	+1.5	11	11.8	-0.8
12	Horsens	11	18	13.4	+4.6	19	20.9	-1.9	-1	-7.5	+6.5	13	10.9	+2.1