AZ xG 2026/2027

AZ xG Questions

Are AZ overperforming their xG?

No, AZ have taken 36 points over their last 20 Eredivisie games, within 1.50 of the 34.50 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is AZ's xG per game?

AZ create 1.95 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 39.03 in all, and have scored 39 goals from those chances, 0.03 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is AZ's xGA per game?

AZ allow 1.28 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 25.61 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 1.61 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for AZ?

Mexx Meerdink has the most expected goals (xG) for AZ over their last 20 Eredivisie games, 8.00 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Troy Parrott is next with 3.82 xG.

AZ expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 39.03
Goals scored: 39
Goals minus xG: -0.03
Expected goals against (xGA): 25.61
Goals conceded: 24
xGA minus goals conceded: +1.61
Expected points (xPts): 34.50
Points: 36
Points minus xPts: +1.50
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are AZ overperforming their expected goals?

AZ's results and their chances agree, within 1.5 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

AZ results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	39.03	39	-0.03	25.61	24	+1.61	34.50	36	+1.50
Last 10	10	23.16	23	-0.16	11.89	13	-1.11	19.16	21	+1.84
Last 5	5	8.89	7	-1.89	6.22	7	-0.78	8.50	8	-0.50
Home	10	20.89	26	+5.11	9.72	9	+0.72	20.56	24	+3.44
Away	10	18.14	13	-5.14	15.89	15	+0.89	13.94	12	-1.94

AZ expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Eredivisie	SC Cambuur (A)	2-2	1.36	1.91	1.05	1	L
10 Oct	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (A)	2-0	1.23	1.48	1.20	0	L
20 Sep	Eredivisie	Telstar (H)	1-0	2.29	0.19	2.68	3	W
11 Sep	Eredivisie	Willem II (H)	1-1	2.50	1.12	2.20	1	W
6 Sep	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (A)	2-3	1.51	1.52	1.37	3	L
29 Aug	Eredivisie	GA Eagles (H)	5-2	2.72	1.38	2.14	3	W
22 Aug	Eredivisie	Fortuna (A)	0-2	4.69	0.24	2.81	3	W
15 Aug	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (A)	1-4	2.69	1.06	2.30	3	W
8 Aug	Eredivisie	ADO Den Haag (H)	2-0	2.71	0.96	2.37	3	W
17 May	Eredivisie	NAC Breda (H)	3-3	1.46	2.03	1.04	1	L
10 May	Eredivisie	Feyenoord (A)	1-1	0.92	1.10	1.21	1	L
3 May	Eredivisie	FC Twente (H)	2-2	1.60	0.88	1.88	1	W
23 Apr	Eredivisie	GA Eagles (A)	0-0	1.49	1.55	1.34	1	L
12 Apr	Eredivisie	Heerenveen (H)	3-0	2.40	0.73	2.39	3	W
4 Apr	Eredivisie	Fortuna (H)	2-0	1.66	0.83	1.95	3	W
22 Mar	Eredivisie	FC Groningen (A)	3-0	1.86	2.49	1.06	0	L
15 Mar	Eredivisie	Heracles Almelo (H)	4-0	2.46	0.56	2.52	3	W
7 Mar	Eredivisie	PSV (A)	2-1	1.42	3.06	0.59	0	L
1 Mar	Eredivisie	FC Utrecht (A)	2-0	0.97	1.48	1.01	0	L
22 Feb	Eredivisie	Sparta (H)	3-1	1.09	1.04	1.39	3	W

AZ players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Ro-Zangelo Daal	attacker	18	1290	2.02	5	+2.98	0.14
Sven Mijnans	midfielder	11	886	3.06	6	+2.94	0.31
Jordy Clasie	midfielder	11	603	0.56	2	+1.44	0.08
Ayoub Oufkir	attacker	14	376	1.00	2	+1.00	0.24
Mateo Chávez	defender	13	928	1.33	2	+0.67	0.13
Billy van Duijl	defender	7	584	0.33	1	+0.67	0.05
Dave Kwakman	midfielder	8	583	0.68	1	+0.32	0.10
Troy Parrott	attacker	11	740	3.82	4	+0.18	0.46
Peer Koopmeiners	midfielder	17	1443	1.85	2	+0.15	0.12
Mees de Wit	defender	13	735	0.91	1	+0.09	0.11
Jizz Hornkamp	attacker	5	137	2.37	2	-0.37	1.56
C. Stengs	midfielder	9	485	1.39	1	-0.39	0.26
Lewis Schouten	defender	9	810	1.43	1	-0.43	0.16
Elijah Dijkstra	defender	20	1523	0.64	0	-0.64	0.04
Isak Jensen	attacker	11	807	1.97	1	-0.97	0.22
Kees Smit	midfielder	13	901	2.21	1	-1.21	0.22
Weslley Patati	attacker	16	677	2.40	1	-1.40	0.32
Mexx Meerdink	attacker	19	1048	8.00	6	-2.00	0.69

Eredivisie 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Fortuna Sittard	8	7.6	14	18.5	15	6.5	14	+7.5
2	Feyenoord	9	25.1	31	9	10	20.5	23	+2.5
3	FC Groningen	9	15.2	22	18.2	19	11.6	14	+2.4
4	AZ	9	21.7	20	9.9	10	18.1	20	+1.9
5	PSV	9	22.2	27	11.2	12	18.2	19	+0.8
6	SC Heerenveen	9	13.6	15	14.3	11	12.1	12	-0.1
7	Excelsior	9	13.1	16	16.1	18	11.3	11	-0.3
8	PEC Zwolle	9	10.6	10	20.5	22	7.5	7	-0.5
9	Ajax	9	24	27	11.3	12	19	18	-1
10	FC Twente	8	18.7	16	6.4	8	18	17	-1
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	13.5	13	15.1	14	10.1	9	-1.1
12	SC Cambuur	9	12.8	13	16.3	21	10.2	9	-1.2
13	FC Utrecht	8	11.2	14	15.4	25	9.5	8	-1.5
14	Go Ahead Eagles	9	17	20	16.7	21	12.9	11	-1.9
15	ADO Den Haag	9	8.5	11	17.5	20	8.1	6	-2.1
16	Telstar	9	12.5	10	20.4	18	8.5	6	-2.5
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	16.9	16	18.9	22	11.7	9	-2.7
18	Willem II	9	11.8	9	20.3	26	7.9	2	-5.9

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