Yes, Legia Warszawa have taken 23 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 5.18 more than the 17.82 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Legia Warszawa create 1.71 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 18.82 in all, and have scored 22 goals from those chances, 3.18 more than that xG would expect.
Legia Warszawa allow 1.29 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 14.24 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 5.24 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Rafal Adamski has the most expected goals (xG) for Legia Warszawa over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 1.12 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Kacper Chodyna is next with 0.51 xG.
Legia Warszawa have taken 5.2 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: +3.2 goals against their xG, and +5.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 18.82 | 22 | +3.18 | 14.24 | 9 | +5.24 | 17.82 | 23 | +5.18 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.04 | 21 | +4.96 | 12.95 | 9 | +3.95 | 15.61 | 20 | +4.39 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.44 | 10 | +1.56 | 7.20 | 5 | +2.20 | 7.62 | 11 | +3.38 |
| Home | 5 | 9.14 | 12 | +2.86 | 5.90 | 3 | +2.90 | 9.05 | 11 | +1.95 |
| Away | 6 | 9.68 | 10 | +0.32 | 8.34 | 6 | +2.34 | 8.77 | 12 | +3.23 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Kraków (A) | 1-1 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (H) | 2-0 | 1.88 | 0.93 | 2.01 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Jagiellonia (A) | 1-3 | 1.53 | 2.08 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz (H) | 1-1 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 1.27 | 1 | L |
| 5 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (A) | 2-3 | 2.76 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 3 | W |
| 28 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Śląsk Wrocław (H) | 1-1 | 2.08 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (A) | 1-1 | 0.85 | 1.15 | 1.11 | 1 | L |
| 14 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (H) | 5-0 | 1.78 | 0.41 | 2.35 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce (A) | 1-1 | 0.82 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1 | L |
| 2 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Zagłębie Lubin (H) | 3-1 | 2.07 | 1.41 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 24 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Pogoń Szczecin (A) | 0-1 | 2.78 | 1.29 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafal Augustyniak | midfielder | 11 | 990 | 0.16 | 4 | +3.84 | 0.01 |
| Lukasz Zjawinski | attacker | 10 | 695 | 0.41 | 4 | +3.59 | 0.05 |
| Rafal Adamski | attacker | 10 | 535 | 1.12 | 4 | +2.88 | 0.19 |
| Jakub Zewlakow | midfielder | 8 | 210 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Bartosz Kapustka | midfielder | 11 | 942 | 0.04 | 2 | +1.96 | 0.00 |
| Michal Ševčík | midfielder | 8 | 435 | 0.16 | 2 | +1.84 | 0.03 |
| Rúben Vinagre | midfielder | 9 | 764 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Zoran Arsenic | defender | 4 | 180 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Pawel Wszolek | midfielder | 10 | 810 | 0.02 | 1 | +0.98 | 0.00 |
| Kacper Chodyna | midfielder | 5 | 284 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.16 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |