Yes, Katowice have taken 18 points over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 2.93 more than the 15.07 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Katowice create 1.72 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 18.97 in all, and have scored 22 goals from those chances, 3.03 more than that xG would expect.
Katowice allow 1.75 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 19.25 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 3.25 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Bartosz Nowak has the most expected goals (xG) for Katowice over 11 Ekstraklasa games in 2026/2027, 1.42 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Ilya Shkurin is next with 1.24 xG.
Katowice have taken 2.9 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: +3.0 goals against their xG, and +3.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 18.97 | 22 | +3.03 | 19.25 | 16 | +3.25 | 15.07 | 18 | +2.93 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.55 | 21 | +3.45 | 16.74 | 14 | +2.74 | 14.27 | 18 | +3.73 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.59 | 10 | +1.41 | 8.73 | 7 | +1.73 | 6.71 | 9 | +2.29 |
| Home | 5 | 9.59 | 13 | +3.41 | 7.76 | 5 | +2.76 | 7.84 | 12 | +4.16 |
| Away | 6 | 9.38 | 9 | -0.38 | 11.49 | 11 | +0.49 | 7.23 | 6 | -1.23 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Pogoń Szczecin (H) | 0-1 | 1.15 | 1.62 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 12 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta Kraków (H) | 2-1 | 0.86 | 1.71 | 0.80 | 3 | L |
| 9 Oct | Ekstraklasa | Raków (A) | 1-4 | 2.45 | 0.98 | 2.26 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Kraków (H) | 3-2 | 2.77 | 2.13 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Zagłębie Lubin (A) | 2-1 | 1.36 | 2.29 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 4 Sep | Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice (A) | 3-0 | 1.66 | 1.09 | 1.76 | 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Górnik Zabrze (A) | 2-3 | 1.32 | 2.49 | 0.75 | 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Płock (H) | 5-0 | 2.28 | 1.59 | 1.79 | 3 | W |
| 16 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin (A) | 1-0 | 1.17 | 2.13 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 2 Aug | Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom (H) | 3-1 | 2.53 | 0.71 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Ekstraklasa | Wisła Kraków (A) | 2-1 | 1.42 | 2.51 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Shkurin | attacker | 11 | 950 | 1.24 | 8 | +6.76 | 0.12 |
| Bartosz Nowak | midfielder | 11 | 982 | 1.42 | 4 | +2.58 | 0.13 |
| Arkadiusz Jedrych | defender | 9 | 661 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Szymon Bartlewicz | midfielder | 9 | 234 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Mateusz Wdowiak | midfielder | 11 | 539 | 0.01 | 1 | +0.99 | 0.00 |
| Mateusz Kowalczyk | midfielder | 9 | 626 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.03 |
| Eman Markovic | midfielder | 8 | 448 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.04 |
| Borja Galán | midfielder | 9 | 388 | 0.28 | 1 | +0.72 | 0.06 |
| Pau Resta | defender | 11 | 944 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 | 0.05 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 10 | 15.7 | 15 | 14.1 | 6 | 14.9 | 21 | +6.1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznań | 10 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 19.1 | 25 | +5.9 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 18.8 | 22 | 14.2 | 9 | 17.8 | 23 | +5.2 |
| 4 | Górnik Zabrze | 11 | 20.7 | 20 | 11.1 | 10 | 21 | 26 | +5 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 15.3 | 19 | 22 | 17 | 12.1 | 17 | +4.9 |
| 6 | Katowice | 11 | 19 | 22 | 19.3 | 16 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 11 | 15.8 | 13 | 16.2 | 13 | 15.1 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16.9 | 18 | 13.6 | 15 | +1.4 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 10 | 15.3 | 13 | 17.8 | 17 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 13.2 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Wisła Kraków | 11 | 22 | 17 | 13.8 | 14 | 19.5 | 18 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 14.2 | 9 | 22.5 | 23 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 21.2 | 15 | 17.7 | 19 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Cracovia Kraków | 11 | 19.1 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16.6 | 12 | -4.6 |
| 15 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 17.8 | 15 | 27.3 | 26 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
| 16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 14.5 | 14 | 23.5 | 22 | 11.3 | 6 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 17.1 | 14 | 16.8 | 15 | 15.4 | 10 | -5.4 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 17.8 | 16 | 18.1 | 21 | 15.4 | 8 | -7.4 |