How much xG Palace create and concede, and who gets the best chances.
Updated 31 October 2026, after the last game
Palace create 1.14 expected goals per game in the Premier League in 2026/2027, the 3rd fewest of the 20 clubs and below the league average of 1.46, across nine league games, while Manchester City create the most with 2.01.
Jørgen Strand Larsen has created the most expected goals for Palace in 2026/2027, 3.00 in 11 appearances, 0.27 a game, ahead of Jean-Philippe Mateta with 2.00 and Daichi Kamada with 2.00, across all competitions.
Palace create more expected goals at home, 1.60 a game in their last 10 home games against 1.14 in their last 10 away.
Palace created 2.52 expected goals away at Lyon on 15 October, their most in a game in 2026/2027, against an average of 1.26 across their 14 games, and their fewest was 0.21 away at Spurs on 31 October.
| Player | Apps | Expected Goals | Per game | Games with 0+ | Games with 0+ | Games with 1+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | 11 | 3 | 0.27 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 5 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Daichi Kamada | 14 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Yéremy Pino | 14 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniel Muñoz | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chadi Riad | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cheick Doucouré | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Evann Guessand | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zavier Gozo | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Chilwell | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ismaïla Sarr | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Henderson | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Hughes | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Honest Ahanor | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jefferson Lerma | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darío Osorio | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinten Timber | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Axel Disasi | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Walter Benítez | 9 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaydee Canvot | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dwight McNeil | 11 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Nketiah | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anan Khalaili | 12 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Richards | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrick Mitchell | 13 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Wharton | 14 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | Opponent | Competition | Score | Palace | Opponent | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Spurs (A) | Premier League | 2-0 | 0.21 | 4.08 | 4.29 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Fulham (A) | Carabao Cup | 0-1 | 0.89 | 1.76 | 2.65 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Newcastle (H) | Premier League | 0-2 | 1.83 | 1.11 | 2.94 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Beşiktaş (A) | Europa League | 2-2 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 1.14 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Brighton (A) | Premier League | 5-0 | 0.56 | 2.41 | 2.97 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lyon (A) | Europa League | 3-2 | 2.52 | 2.60 | 5.12 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Forest (H) | Premier League | 3-1 | 2.25 | 2.57 | 4.82 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Leeds (A) | Premier League | 0-0 | 1.15 | 1.42 | 2.57 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Lech Poznań (H) | Europa League | 4-0 | 2.24 | 1.55 | 3.79 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Ipswich (H) | Premier League | 2-3 | 0.92 | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | M'Boro (H) | Carabao Cup | 3-0 | 1.08 | 0.87 | 1.95 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Fulham (A) | Premier League | 2-3 | 1.03 | 3.88 | 4.91 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Man City (H) | Premier League | 1-4 | 0.59 | 2.67 | 3.26 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Everton (A) | Premier League | 2-0 | 1.71 | 1.48 | 3.19 |
| Line | Games over | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palace expected goals | Over 0.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Palace expected goals | Over 1.00 | 5 of 10 | 50% |
| Palace expected goals | Over 1.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Palace expected goals | Over 2.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Palace expected goals | Over 2.50 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 0.50 | 10 of 10 | 100% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.00 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 1.50 | 7 of 10 | 70% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Opponent expected goals | Over 2.50 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 2.50 | 9 of 10 | 90% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.00 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 3.50 | 4 of 10 | 40% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.00 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| Total expected goals | Over 4.50 | 2 of 10 | 20% |