No, Shelbourne have taken 3 points over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 2.85 fewer than the 5.85 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Shelbourne create 0.64 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 5.09 in all, and have scored 3 goals from those chances, 2.09 fewer than that xG would expect.
Shelbourne allow 2.30 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 18.41 in all, and have conceded 12 goals from those chances, 6.41 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Kerr McInroy has the most expected goals (xG) for Shelbourne over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 1.60 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 0 goals; John Martin is next with 0.90 xG.
Shelbourne have taken 2.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: -2.1 goals against their xG, and +6.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 8 | 8 | 5.09 | 3 | -2.09 | 18.41 | 12 | +6.41 | 5.85 | 3 | -2.85 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.11 | 3 | -0.11 | 15.42 | 10 | +5.42 | 2.68 | 2 | -0.68 |
| Home | 4 | 2.51 | 2 | -0.51 | 7.76 | 6 | +1.76 | 2.91 | 2 | -0.91 |
| Away | 4 | 2.58 | 1 | -1.58 | 10.65 | 6 | +4.65 | 2.94 | 1 | -1.94 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Europa Conference League | Ajax (H) | 2-2 | 0.84 | 1.33 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 6 Aug | Europa Conference League | Ajax (A) | 3-1 | 0.20 | 6.61 | 0.00 | 0 | L |
| 18 Dec | Europa Conference League | Celje (A) | 0-0 | 1.34 | 1.74 | 1.13 | 1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Europa Conference League | Palace (H) | 0-3 | 0.22 | 3.94 | 0.05 | 0 | L |
| 27 Nov | Europa Conference League | AZ (A) | 2-0 | 0.51 | 1.80 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 6 Nov | Europa Conference League | Drita (H) | 0-1 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 23 Oct | Europa Conference League | Skendija 79 (A) | 1-0 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 1.30 | 0 | D |
| 2 Oct | Europa Conference League | Häcken (H) | 0-0 | 0.34 | 1.24 | 0.61 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Kelly | attacker | 8 | 398 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.75 | 0.06 |
| Mipo Odubeko | attacker | 5 | 399 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.17 |
| John Martin | attacker | 6 | 177 | 0.90 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.46 |
| Kerr McInroy | midfielder | 8 | 702 | 1.60 | 0 | -1.60 | 0.20 |