No, Noah have taken 9 points over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, within 0.32 of the 8.68 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Noah create 1.00 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 8.01 in all, and have scored 9 goals from those chances, 0.99 more than that xG would expect.
Noah allow 1.56 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 12.48 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 1.48 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Hélder Ferreira has the most expected goals (xG) for Noah over their last 8 Europa Conference League games, 2.78 xG in 8 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Matheus Aiás is next with 1.57 xG.
Noah's results and their chances agree, within 0.3 points of xPts over 8 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 8 | 8 | 8.01 | 9 | +0.99 | 12.48 | 11 | +1.48 | 8.68 | 9 | +0.32 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.46 | 6 | +0.54 | 9.76 | 8 | +1.76 | 4.34 | 5 | +0.66 |
| Home | 4 | 4.92 | 6 | +1.08 | 6.33 | 5 | +1.33 | 4.92 | 7 | +2.08 |
| Away | 4 | 3.09 | 3 | -0.09 | 6.15 | 6 | +0.15 | 3.76 | 2 | -1.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | Europa Conference League | Sion (A) | 2-1 | 0.95 | 3.22 | 0.34 | 0 | L |
| 6 Aug | Europa Conference League | Sion (H) | 2-2 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.13 | 1 | L |
| 18 Dec | Europa Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv (A) | 2-0 | 0.43 | 1.36 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 11 Dec | Europa Conference League | Legia Warszawa (H) | 2-1 | 1.80 | 2.01 | 1.27 | 3 | L |
| 27 Nov | Europa Conference League | Aberdeen (A) | 1-1 | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.97 | 1 | L |
| 6 Nov | Europa Conference League | Sigma Olomouc (H) | 1-2 | 0.31 | 2.08 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 23 Oct | Europa Conference League | U Craiova (A) | 1-1 | 1.08 | 0.50 | 1.82 | 1 | W |
| 2 Oct | Europa Conference League | Rijeka (H) | 1-0 | 1.16 | 0.14 | 2.23 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nardin Mulahusejnovic | attacker | 6 | 481 | 1.37 | 5 | +3.63 | 0.26 |
| Gor Manvelyan | midfielder | 6 | 189 | 0.30 | 1 | +0.70 | 0.14 |
| Matheus Aiás | attacker | 6 | 322 | 1.57 | 1 | -0.57 | 0.44 |
| Marin Jakolis | attacker | 6 | 401 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.15 |
| Hélder Ferreira | attacker | 8 | 695 | 2.78 | 2 | -0.78 | 0.36 |