No, Breidablik have taken 5 points over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 1.91 fewer than the 6.91 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Breidablik create 1.21 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 7.28 in all, and have scored 6 goals from those chances, 1.28 fewer than that xG would expect.
Breidablik allow 1.68 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 10.08 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 0.92 more than that xGA would expect.
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson has the most expected goals (xG) for Breidablik over their last 6 Europa Conference League games, 1.65 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Davíd Ingvarsson is next with 1.47 xG.
Breidablik have taken 1.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: -1.3 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 7.28 | 6 | -1.28 | 10.08 | 11 | -0.92 | 6.91 | 5 | -1.91 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.11 | 6 | -0.11 | 8.29 | 8 | +0.29 | 5.93 | 5 | -0.93 |
| Home | 3 | 4.90 | 5 | +0.10 | 3.30 | 3 | +0.30 | 5.16 | 5 | -0.16 |
| Away | 3 | 2.38 | 1 | -1.38 | 6.78 | 8 | -1.22 | 1.75 | 0 | -1.75 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec | Europa Conference League | Strasbourg (A) | 3-1 | 0.79 | 3.43 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 11 Dec | Europa Conference League | Shamrock (H) | 3-1 | 1.06 | 0.57 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 27 Nov | Europa Conference League | Samsunspor (H) | 2-2 | 1.44 | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1 | L |
| 6 Nov | Europa Conference League | Shakhtar Donetsk (A) | 2-0 | 0.42 | 1.56 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 23 Oct | Europa Conference League | KuPS (H) | 0-0 | 2.40 | 1.09 | 2.17 | 1 | W |
| 2 Oct | Europa Conference League | Lausanne (A) | 3-0 | 1.17 | 1.79 | 0.98 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristinn Jónsson | defender | 5 | 343 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.02 |
| Óli Valur Ómarsson | defender | 6 | 341 | 0.14 | 1 | +0.86 | 0.04 |
| Viktor Örn Margeirsson | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.55 | 1 | +0.45 | 0.09 |
| Kristófer Kristinsson | attacker | 4 | 106 | 0.99 | 1 | +0.01 | 0.84 |
| Davíd Ingvarsson | defender | 5 | 405 | 1.47 | 1 | -0.47 | 0.33 |
| Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson | midfielder | 6 | 519 | 1.65 | 1 | -0.65 | 0.29 |
| Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson | midfielder | 6 | 514 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.12 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7.4 | 5 | 10.8 | 16 | +5.2 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 7.5 | 7 | 6.4 | 1 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | 7.5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +3 |
| 4 | Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | 4.6 | 2 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 5.8 | 7 | 14.8 | 15 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| 6 | AEK Athens | 6 | 15.3 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | 4.4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3.3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 9 | Drita | 6 | 4.2 | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 6.4 | 2 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| 11 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 6 | 5.8 | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 12 | Celje | 6 | 9.8 | 8 | 9.3 | 7 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| 13 | KuPS | 6 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.6 | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| 14 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 8.6 | 4 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Noah | 6 | 5.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 7 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 10.9 | 13 | 4.5 | 7 | 12.3 | 13 | +0.7 |
| 17 | Lausanne Sport | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6.5 | 3 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| 19 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | 8.9 | 8 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| 20 | Skendija 79 | 6 | 3.7 | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| 21 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 22 | Zrinjski | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 10.1 | 10 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 23 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 5.8 | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| 24 | Lech Poznań | 6 | 12.5 | 12 | 8.9 | 8 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| 25 | AZ | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | 7.5 | 7 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 26 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 8.5 | 7 | 13.4 | 13 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 27 | Fiorentina | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 6.6 | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| 28 | Breidablik | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 10.1 | 11 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| 29 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 9 | 7 | 7.4 | 9 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 5.8 | 4 | 13.5 | 11 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 31 | Shelbourne | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10.5 | 7 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| 32 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 14.1 | 11 | 4.7 | 6 | 13.5 | 10 | -3.5 |
| 33 | Aberdeen | 6 | 5.2 | 3 | 10.1 | 14 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| 34 | Legia Warszawa | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.5 | 8 | 11 | 6 | -5 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 6 | 6.4 | 3 | 10.5 | 14 | 6.1 | 1 | -5.1 |
| 36 | Häcken | 6 | 8.4 | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | 9.2 | 3 | -6.2 |