Statz NBA
The Statz NBA data desk. Every game preview is written from our team-first projections, the odds across the books we carry, the injury report and the expected lineups, and checked against those numbers before it publishes. 16 previews so far, newest first.
The Statz NBA data desk. Every game preview is written from our team-first projections, the odds across the books we carry, the injury report and the expected lineups, and checked against those numbers before it publishes.
16 previews published
- Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 29The Statz model favours the Portland Trail Blazers at 68% to beat the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday 29 October, with a model line of -6.1 and a projected total of 235.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The injury that matters is Shaedon Sharpe, out for Portland with a torn meniscus.
- Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 29The Statz model favours the New Orleans Pelicans at 70% to beat the Sacramento Kings, with a model line of -7.0 and a projected total of 237.2. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market comparison. The injury that matters most is Keegan Murray, one of four Kings players out.
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 29The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 56% over the Cleveland Cavaliers, with a model line of -2.0 and a projected total of 236.3. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market spread to compare. The injury that matters is Mouhamed Gueye, out for Atlanta with a foot fracture.
- Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The model favours the Los Angeles Lakers at 64% to beat the LA Clippers, with a projected margin of 4.5 points against a market line of -5.5. Rui Hachimura is out for the Clippers with left quad soreness, a loss that thins an already depleted frontcourt. The model total is 229.0 against 227.5.
- Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Oklahoma City Thunder at 72% to beat the Dallas Mavericks, with a projected margin of 7.5 points against a market line of -5.5. The injury that matters most is Chet Holmgren, one of six Thunder players ruled out, and the model total of 229.2 sits close to the market 229.5.
- San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model makes the San Antonio Spurs 82% favourites at the Utah Jazz on Wednesday 28 October, with a projected margin of 11.7 points. The market has the Spurs at -11.5 and the total at 234.5, so the model sees no real spread edge. The injury that matters is Jaren Jackson Jr., out with a torn MCL.
- Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Denver Nuggets at 65% to beat the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 28 October. The model line is Denver -4.8 against a market spread of -4.5, so the gap is thin. The injury that matters is Yves Missi, who is out for New Orleans and leaves the Pelicans short in the frontcourt.
- Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The model favours the Minnesota Timberwolves at 65% to beat the Golden State Warriors, with a projected home line of -5.0 against a market line of -3.5. The injury that matters is Anthony Edwards, who is out after knee surgery news. The model also leans over the 225.5 total, projecting 229.5.
- Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Houston Rockets at 74% to beat the Milwaukee Bucks, with a projected margin of 8.3 points against a market line of -8.5. The total leans over, 228.2 against 227.5. The injury that matters is Alperen Sengun, who is out with low back soreness.
- New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model makes the New York Knicks the favourite at 72% to beat the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday 28 October. The market has New York at -7.5, close to the model line of -7.7. The one injury that matters is Nicolas Claxton, who is out for Chicago with a left hamstring strain. The model leans to the under on 234.5.
- Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Toronto Raptors at 64% to beat the Orlando Magic, with a projected margin of 4.6 points against a market line of -4.5. The model total of 225.0 sits above the 223.5 market number. The injury that matters most is Paolo Banchero, who is out for the Magic.
- Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The model favours the Philadelphia 76ers at 59% to beat the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday 28 October, with a model line of -3.0 against a market line of -1.5. Indiana are missing Ivica Zubac, which thins the middle. The model total of 237.0 sits just under the market 237.5, a small lean to the under.
- Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Detroit Pistons at 72% to beat the Charlotte Hornets, with a model line of -7.5 that matches the market spread. The model total of 217.4 sits above the 215.5 market line, so it leans over. The key absence is Jalen Duren, out for Detroit with a hamstring strain, while Charlotte are missing three rotation players.
- Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Cleveland Cavaliers at 77% to beat the Washington Wizards, with a projected margin of 9.7 points against a market line of -9.5. The total sits at 239.6 against 239.5. The injury that matters most is Justin Champagnie, out for Washington with a right foot injury.
- Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28The Statz model favours the Atlanta Hawks at 62% to beat the Miami Heat, with a model line of -4.0 against a market spread of -3.5. The total is 240.5 and the model sits almost exactly on it. The injury that matters is Mouhamed Gueye, out for Atlanta with a foot fracture. Miami are fully healthy.
- Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards Preview, Odds and Model PickThe Statz model favours the Washington Wizards at 61% to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday 21 October 2026. The market agrees on the side, with the Wizards at -4.5 and a total of 239.5. The model line is -3.6, so the gap is small. The injury that matters is AJ Dybantsa, listed out for Washington.