NBA Player Projections
A full projected stat line for every rotation player, with a floor and a ceiling on each number.
| Player | Game | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
  Cade Cunningham G-F · DET | vs BOS20 Oct | 24.2 12.3–36.2 | 5.9 2–9.8 | 7.7 3.5–11.9 | 2.1 0–4.3 | 1.1 0–2.7 | 0.8 0–2 |
  Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G · OKC | @ SAS20 Oct | 24.2 12.2–36.1 | 3.5 0.5–6.5 | 6 2.4–9.7 | 1.5 0–3.3 | 1.2 0–2.8 | 0.7 0–1.8 |
VW  Victor Wembanyama F-C · SAS | vs OKC20 Oct | 23.5 11.7–35.3 | 11.1 5.8–16.4 | 3.1 0.5–5.7 | 2 0–4.1 | 1 0–2.4 | 2.8 0.3–5.3 |
JB  Jalen Brunson G · NYK | vs PHI20 Oct | 22.9 11.3–34.5 | 3.3 0.4–6.2 | 5.4 2–8.9 | 2.1 0–4.2 | 0.9 0–2.3 | 0.1 0–0.6 |
  Jayson Tatum F · BOS | @ DET20 Oct | 19.7 8.9–30.6 | 7.8 3.4–12.3 | 4.3 1.2–7.3 | 2.3 0–4.5 | 1 0–2.6 | 0.3 0–1 |
  Joel Embiid F-C · PHI | @ NYK20 Oct | 19.6 8.9–30.4 | 7 2.8–11.2 | 3.3 0.6–5.9 | 1.2 0–2.9 | 0.5 0–1.5 | 1.3 0–2.9 |
 Jaylen Brown G · PHI | @ NYK20 Oct | 19.4 8.7–30.2 | 5.6 1.9–9.4 | 3.2 0.6–5.9 | 1.7 0–3.7 | 0.8 0–2.2 | 0.6 0–1.7 |
 Tyrese Maxey G · PHI | @ NYK20 Oct | 19.3 8.6–30 | 3.8 0.7–7 | 4.4 1.3–7.5 | 2.3 0–4.5 | 1.2 0–2.8 | 0.7 0–1.8 |
 Paul George F · BOS | @ DET20 Oct | 17.5 7.3–27.7 | 4.6 1.2–8 | 3.1 0.5–5.6 | 2.6 0.2–5 | 1.5 0–3.3 | 0.5 0–1.4 |
 LeBron James F · PHI | @ NYK20 Oct | 17.3 7.2–27.4 | 6.2 2.3–10.2 | 5.5 2–9 | 1.4 0–3.1 | 1.3 0–2.9 | 0.6 0–1.6 |
OA OG Anunoby F · NYK | vs PHI20 Oct | 16.9 6.9–26.8 | 5.6 1.8–9.4 | 1.9 0–3.9 | 2.4 0.1–4.8 | 1.2 0–2.8 | 1 0–2.4 |
KT Karl-Anthony Towns C · NYK | vs PHI20 Oct | 16 6.3–25.8 | 10.6 5.4–15.8 | 3.7 0.9–6.6 | 1.3 0–3.1 | 1 0–2.4 | 0.9 0–2.3 |
 Payton Pritchard G · BOS | @ DET20 Oct | 15.4 5.9–25 | 3.4 0.5–6.3 | 4 1–6.9 | 2.2 0–4.5 | 0.6 0–1.7 | 0.2 0–0.8 |
SC Stephon Castle G · SAS | vs OKC20 Oct | 15 5.6–24.5 | 5 1.5–8.6 | 5.7 2.2–9.3 | 1.3 0–3.1 | 0.8 0–2.1 | 0.3 0–1 |
 Tobias Harris F · SAS | vs OKC20 Oct | 14.7 5.3–24 | 6.2 2.2–10.1 | 2.3 0.1–4.6 | 1.4 0–3.2 | 1.1 0–2.6 | 0.6 0–1.6 |
DF De'Aaron Fox G · SAS | vs OKC20 Oct | 14.5 5.3–23.8 | 3.8 0.7–6.9 | 5.4 2–8.9 | 1.5 0–3.3 | 1.1 0–2.6 | 0.4 0–1.2 |
 Jalen Duren C · DET | vs BOS20 Oct | 13.9 4.8–23 | 8.9 4.1–13.6 | 2 0–4 | 0.2 0–0.8 | 0.6 0–1.7 | 1 0–2.4 |
 Derrick White G · BOS | @ DET20 Oct | 13.3 4.4–22.1 | 3.7 0.6–6.8 | 3.5 0.8–6.3 | 1.9 0–4 | 0.9 0–2.2 | 1.1 0–2.6 |
MB Mikal Bridges F · NYK | vs PHI20 Oct | 13.3 4.4–22.1 | 3.7 0.7–6.8 | 3 0.5–5.5 | 1.5 0–3.3 | 0.9 0–2.3 | 0.6 0–1.6 |
 Chet Holmgren C-F · OKC | @ SAS20 Oct | 13.2 4.4–22.1 | 7.7 3.3–12.1 | 1.4 0–3.1 | 1.2 0–2.8 | 0.8 0–2.1 | 1.3 0–3 |
The projected box score for tonight, player by player. Points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals and blocks, each with a floor and a ceiling alongside the projection so the spread of outcomes is on the page rather than hidden behind one figure. Filter by team, by game or by position, and sort by any stat to find who the model expects to carry the load. Every line is built from recent usage and minutes against the projected pace of that specific matchup.
Frequently asked
They bound the range the model expects the result to fall in most of the time. A narrow band means a settled role and predictable minutes; a wide one means the player's night could go several ways. Use the band, not just the middle number, when a projection is close to a line you are pricing.
Either the model has no recent usage to work from — a two-way contract or a returning injury — or they are ruled out for the game. Players with no projected role are left off rather than shown at zero.
Recent minutes are the strongest signal, weighted toward the most recent games, then adjusted for the projected pace of the matchup and for who else on the roster is available.