NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
20 NBA points props for the next seven days across 3 games, priced by 3 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against ours. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the highest projected points at 28.8 against a line of 30.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Points props20 of 20
Best price of 3 books 
20 NBA points props for the next seven days across 3 games, priced by 3 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against ours. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the highest projected points at 28.8 against a line of 30.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 28.8 points against a line of 30.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.94 at DraftKings and the best under 1.83 at DraftKings. We make the over 38.9% against the market's 48.4%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
LeBron James has cleared 16.5 points in 9 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Ours and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Ours is the chance the projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 28.8 points against a line of 30.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.94 at DraftKings and the best under 1.83 at DraftKings. We make the over 38.9% against the market's 48.4%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
LeBron James has cleared 16.5 points in 9 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Ours and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Ours is the chance the projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.