NBA Game Projections: Score, Spread and Total
NBA game projections for 55 upcoming games from 29 October to 5 November 2026 in the 2026-27 season. Each has a projected margin, a win probability for both teams and a model spread and total beside Bet365's line. The biggest favourite is Portland Trail Blazers, 70% to win at home to Memphis Grizzlies by 7.0 points on the model. The highest projected total is 237.8, for Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks.
Tonight
- Projected score, spread and total for every game
- Win chance against the market line
- Player projections for every rotation player
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Every game on the schedule, priced by the model before tip-off. Each card carries a projected scoreline, a win probability for both sides, and the spread and total those imply - shown against the book's number wherever one has been posted, so the disagreement is visible rather than buried. Projections are forward-only: once a game is final it moves to Model Accuracy, because a graded result is a track record question, not a projection.
Frequently asked
The margin the model expects, expressed the way a book would quote it. A projected spread of -4.5 for the home team means the model has them winning by four and a half points on average across the outcomes it simulates.
Usually because they weight recent form, rest and injuries differently. A gap is not automatically an edge - books move on money as well as on merit - but a persistent gap in one direction is where the model thinks value sits.
As far as the schedule and the data allow. Games close to tip-off carry the most reliable numbers because injury and rest news is in; a projection a fortnight out is a starting point, not a finished price.
Related projections
Quick answers3 questions
Which NBA team is the biggest favourite this week?
Portland Trail Blazers are the biggest favourite on the board. The model gives them a 70% chance at home to Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday 29 October. The projected margin is 7.0 points and the projected total 234.4. Bet365 has not posted a spread for this game yet.
What is the highest projected total on the NBA slate?
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks on Thursday 29 October carries the highest projected total at 237.8 points, against a Bet365 total of 229.5. The lowest is 234.4 for Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers. The average projected total across the next 3 games is 236.4.
How often does the model disagree with Bet365 on the spread?
Of the 2 games Bet365 has priced, the model and the book favour the same team in 2 and different teams in 0. The average gap between the model's margin and the book's spread is 8.1 points.