NBA Championship Futures
The outright board, de-vigged into a true implied chance for every team.
| # | Team | Price | Raw | True chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oklahoma City Thunder | 3.60 13/5 | 27.8% | 22.8% |
| 2 |  San Antonio Spurs | 3.70 27/10 | 27% | 22.2% |
| 3 |  New York Knicks | 10.00 9/1 | 10% | 8.2% |
| 4 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 10.00 9/1 | 10% | 8.2% |
| 5 |  Boston Celtics | 15.00 14/1 | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| 6 |  Toronto Raptors | 26.00 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| 7 |  Denver Nuggets | 26.00 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| 8 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 26.00 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| 9 |  Detroit Pistons | 26.00 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| 10 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 26.00 25/1 | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| 11 |  Miami Heat | 31.00 30/1 | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| 12 |  Los Angeles Lakers | 41.00 40/1 | 2.4% | 2% |
| 13 |  Indiana Pacers | 41.00 40/1 | 2.4% | 2% |
| 14 |  Houston Rockets | 46.00 45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| 15 |  Golden State Warriors | 61.00 60/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| 16 |  Orlando Magic | 61.00 60/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| 17 |  Atlanta Hawks | 61.00 60/1 | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| 18 |  Portland Trail Blazers | 81.00 80/1 | 1.2% | 1% |
| 19 |  Charlotte Hornets | 101.00 100/1 | 1% | 0.8% |
| 20 |  Phoenix Suns | 126.00 125/1 | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 21 |  Washington Wizards | 151.00 150/1 | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| 22 |  Dallas Mavericks | 201.00 200/1 | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 23 |  Utah Jazz | 201.00 200/1 | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 24 |  LA Clippers | 501.00 500/1 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 25 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 501.00 500/1 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 26 |  Chicago Bulls | 501.00 500/1 | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 27 |  Milwaukee Bucks | 751.00 750/1 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 28 |  Brooklyn Nets | 751.00 750/1 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 29 |  Memphis Grizzlies | 751.00 750/1 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 30 |  Sacramento Kings | 1001.00 1000/1 | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Raw is the price's own implied chance; true chance is the board de-vigged so all thirty sum to 100%.
Championship odds for all thirty teams, with the bookmaker's margin stripped out so the numbers read as probabilities rather than prices. An outright board always adds up to more than a hundred per cent — the excess is the book's hold — so the de-vigged column is the one to compare across teams. Prices come from the live outright market and refresh as the board moves.
Frequently asked
Raw outright prices imply probabilities that sum to well over one hundred per cent, because the book builds in its margin. De-vigging scales them back to sum to one hundred, which is what makes two teams' chances comparable.
Outright markets move slowly compared with game lines — typically on injuries, trades and long runs of form rather than night to night.