NBA Championship Futures: Odds and Implied Chance
NBA championship futures for all 30 teams from the best of 4 books' (BoyleSports, Coral, Ladbrokes, Midnite) outright board, fetched 29 October 2026, with the bookmaker's 19.5% margin removed so each price reads as a true implied chance. San Antonio Spurs are favourites at 3.80 (23.6% implied), ahead of Oklahoma City Thunder at 5.00 (18.2%) and Philadelphia 76ers at 9.50 (9.9%). The longest shot is Brooklyn Nets at 1,001.00; 3 teams are shorter than 10.00.
Statz model · 10,000 season simsCoral margin 19.5%⚡ Biggest edge right now
Each price is the longest any book posts, with that book's logo; hover a price for every book's quote. Market is each book's board de-vigged to 100% and averaged across books. Ours is the Statz model: 10,000 simulations of the whole season over the team ratings behind our game projections, play-in and best-of-seven playoffs included, run 2026-10-29. Before tip-off those ratings are set to the strength the market's win totals imply; our own read of each team takes over as its games are played. ▲ means our chance beats the market's by at least a point of probability; ▼ means the market rates it higher than we do. Player awards are priced by the books only.
Championship odds for all thirty teams, with the bookmaker's margin stripped out so the numbers read as probabilities rather than prices. An outright board always adds up to more than a hundred per cent - the excess is the book's hold - so the de-vigged column is the one to compare across teams. Prices come from the live outright market and refresh as the board moves.
Frequently asked
Raw outright prices imply probabilities that sum to well over one hundred per cent, because the book builds in its margin. De-vigging scales them back to sum to one hundred, which is what makes two teams' chances comparable.
Outright markets move slowly compared with game lines - typically on injuries, trades and long runs of form rather than night to night.
Related projections
Quick answers3 questions
Who is the favourite to win the NBA championship?
San Antonio Spurs are favourites to win the NBA championship at 3.80 with Coral, a 23.6% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed. Behind them sit Oklahoma City Thunder at 5.00 (18.2%), Philadelphia 76ers at 9.50 (9.9%) and New York Knicks at 11.00 (7.5%). 3 of the 30 teams are priced shorter than 10.00.
Who are the NBA title favourites in each conference?
San Antonio Spurs are the shortest price in the West at 3.80 (23.6% de-vigged). Philadelphia 76ers are the shortest in the East at 9.50 (9.9%). Counting teams at 20.00 or shorter, the West has 3 live contenders and the East 4.
What does de-vigged implied chance mean on the futures board?
Raw outright prices imply probabilities that add up to well over 100%, because the book builds in its margin. Coral's board totals 119.5%, a 19.5% hold. De-vigging scales every team's chance back so the board sums to 100%. San Antonio Spurs at 3.80 implies 26.3% raw and 23.6% de-vigged. Brooklyn Nets at 1,001.00 implies 0.1% raw and 0.1% de-vigged.