New York KnicksKnicks
Wed, Oct 288:00 PMETChicago
Chicago BullsBulls
NYK1.42CHI3.39SpreadCHI +6.5Total231.5via Polymarket

New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 28

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NYK

Statz pick

New York Knicks to win

We give the New York Knicks a 73% chance, against 27% for the Chicago Bulls. See the full projection →

73%
NYK to win
Polymarket1.42

The Statz model makes the New York Knicks the favourite at 72% to beat the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday 28 October. The market has New York at -7.5, close to the model line of -7.7. The one injury that matters is Nicolas Claxton, who is out for Chicago with a left hamstring strain. The model leans to the under on 234.5.

The New York Knicks visit the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday 28 October, with tip at 8:00 PM ET. The Statz model makes the Knicks the favourite at 72%, and the market agrees, with New York at -7.5 and Chicago at +7.5. The model's own line is -7.7, so the price sits very close to fair. The more interesting angle may be the total.

How the teams arrive

Chicago come in 1-3 over four games, with a run of L L W L. The scores are the story. They lost 135-92 at Toronto and 134-99 at Boston, both away, and gave up an average of 129.5 points a game across the four. The one win was a 132-125 shot-fest at Milwaukee. At home they lost 124-120 to Washington, which was close but still a loss. This is a team scoring 110.8 a game and leaking far more than that.

New York are also 1-3 over four games, with a run of W L L L. Their defence has been far steadier than Chicago's: they allow 105.3 a game and score 104.0. Three of the four games were close. They lost 107-103 at Boston, 106-100 to Philadelphia and 111-102 to Orlando. They then beat Detroit 111-97 at home on 27 October, the most comfortable result of the run. New York play on the second night of a back-to-back here, having played Detroit a day earlier.

Team news and lineups

The Knicks have nobody on the injury report. That means no minutes to redistribute and no role changes to price in. The rotation should look as it has all season.

Chicago are without Nicolas Claxton, who is out with a left hamstring strain and has a listed return date of 4 November. Recent reporting says he took part in individual drills and hopes to join practice next week, but he still needs five-on-five work before he is cleared. He will not play tonight.

The effect is on the frontcourt. Without Claxton, minutes at the big positions go to others, and Jalen Smith is the obvious name. Against a New York team with a rebounding threat at centre, Chicago have little spare size. That is a concern for a defence already giving up 129.5 a game.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson is projected for 26.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 7.7 assists. He is the top scorer on either side. Chicago's guards have been under pressure all week, and Brunson's passing volume gives New York a second route to points if his shot is off.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns is projected for 22.6 points, 15.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists. The rebound figure is the one to note. With Claxton out, Chicago have fewer bodies to contest the glass, and Towns should have a size edge on most possessions.

OG Anunoby

OG Anunoby is projected for 18.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.6 three-pointers. He is a steady scorer who does not need many touches. The 2.6 threes make him a perimeter piece Chicago must track in transition.

Norman Powell

Norman Powell is projected for 19.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.6 three-pointers, the top scoring figure on the Chicago side. If the Bulls are to keep this within the spread, he needs to score efficiently from the perimeter.

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis is projected for 15.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.3 three-pointers. His rebounding number matters with Claxton absent, as he is a forward asked to give size and scoring at once.

Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey is projected for 13.0 points, 7.5 rebounds and 9.3 assists. He is the creator in this lineup and the one most likely to fill the box score. If Chicago score freely, his assist line is where it shows.

Same game parlays

Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.

Build your own →
Safer3 legs

Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.

  • NYK
    New York Knicks
    Moneyline · 72.5%
    FanDuel1.41
  • Player
    Jalen Brunson
    Under 2.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 68.4%
    DraftKings1.54
  • Player
    OG Anunoby
    Over 1.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 62.7%
    FanDuel1.56
DraftKings3.21
Market 26.2%Statz 31.1%+4.9%
Edge4 legs

The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.

  • Player
    Jalen Smith
    Under 7.5 Rebounds · 3/5 last 5 · 78.5%
    DraftKings1.77
  • Player
    Caleb Wilson
    Under 1.5 Threes · 3/4 last 5 · 76.5%
    Caesars1.80
  • Player
    Josh Giddey
    Over 7.5 Assists · 2/5 last 5 · 65.8%
    FanDuel1.93
  • Player
    Jalen Brunson
    Over 6.5 Assists · 1/5 last 5 · 58.8%
    Bet3652.20
DraftKings12.78
Market 6.4%Statz 23.2%+16.8%
Scoring4 legs

Points, threes and the combination markets, over.

  • Player
    Matas Buzelis
    Over 1.5 Threes · 2/5 last 5 · 61.9%
    Bet3651.71
  • Player
    Josh Giddey
    Over 18.5 Pts + Ast · 1/5 last 5 · 61.6%
    DraftKings1.85
  • Player
    Tre Jones
    Over 10.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 59.8%
    FanDuel1.88
  • Player
    Mikal Bridges
    Over 17.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 1/5 last 5 · 59%
    BetMGM1.87
FanDuel9.98
Market 7.5%Statz 13.5%+6.0%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Knicks. It gives New York a 72% win probability and a projected margin of 7.7 points, which puts its line at -7.7 against the market's -7.5. A gap of 0.2 points is too small to call an edge on the spread, so the model leans to neither side there. The favourite is clear. The price of the spread is not.

The total is where the model has a view. It projects 233.9 points against a market line of 234.5, a gap of 0.6 that points to the under. The projected split is 120.8 for the Knicks and 113.1 for the Bulls. Chicago's defensive numbers argue for points, but New York's own run of 104.0 a game points the other way, and the lean is a modest one.

Statz pick: New York Knicks to win (72%), with a lean to the Under 234.5 at 1.95 with FanDuel.

For a same game parlay to look at, the Edge slip combines Jalen Smith Under 7.5 Rebounds, Caleb Wilson Under 1.5 Threes, Josh Giddey Over 7.5 Assists and Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 Assists. It is priced at 12.27 with Paddy Power. Parlays carry more risk than single bets.

Lines move before tip, so check the latest NBA odds before you act.

NYK @ CHI questions

Who is favoured in New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls?
The New York Knicks are favoured. The Statz model gives them a 72% win probability, and the market agrees, with New York at -7.5 and Chicago at +7.5. The model's own line is -7.7, so the two are very close.
What is the spread for Knicks at Bulls on 28 October?
The market spread is Knicks -7.5 and Bulls +7.5, with the best Knicks price at 1.95 from FanDuel. The Statz model line is -7.7, a gap of 0.2 points, so the model does not lean to either side.
What is the over/under for Knicks vs Bulls?
The market total is 234.5, with the best over price at 1.93 from Ballybet and the best under price at 1.95 from FanDuel. The model projects 233.9 points, a gap of 0.6, and leans to the under.
Who is injured for the Chicago Bulls?
Nicolas Claxton is out with a left hamstring strain and has a listed return date of 4 November. The New York Knicks have nobody on the injury report, so the Knicks rotation is at full strength.
What time does Knicks at Bulls tip off?
The game tips at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday 28 October in Chicago. Both teams are 1-3 over their last four games. The Bulls have allowed an average of 129.5 points in that run, and the Knicks have allowed 105.3.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, New York Knicks or Chicago Bulls?

The Statz model favours the New York Knicks with a 73% win probability, leaving the Chicago Bulls at 27%. Bet365 agrees, pricing the New York Knicks as the favourite at -1.0 on the spread. The moneyline is +215 for the Chicago Bulls and -270 for the New York Knicks.

What is the spread and total for New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls?

Bet365 lists the Chicago Bulls at +1.0 with the total at 234.5 for New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls?

The board's headline lines are Jalen Brunson 49.5+ points at 51.00, Jalen Brunson 14.5+ assists at 36.00 and Karl-Anthony Towns 19.5+ rebounds at 8.50. For the Chicago Bulls the model projects Norman Powell for 19.3 points and Matas Buzelis for 15.6 points. For the New York Knicks it projects Jalen Brunson for 26.0 points and Karl-Anthony Towns for 22.6 points.