Memphis GrizzliesGrizzlies
Thu, Oct 2910:00 PMETPortland
Portland Trail BlazersTrail Blazers
MEM3.17POR1.46via Polymarket

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds for October 29

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POR

Statz pick

Portland Trail Blazers to win

We give the Portland Trail Blazers a 68% chance, against 32% for the Memphis Grizzlies. See the full projection →

68%
POR to win
Polymarket1.46

The Statz model favours the Portland Trail Blazers at 68% to beat the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday 29 October, with a model line of -6.1 and a projected total of 235.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet. The injury that matters is Shaedon Sharpe, out for Portland with a torn meniscus.

The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday 29 October, with tip at 10:00 PM ET. Both teams are unbeaten. The Statz model makes Portland the favourite at 68%, with a model line of -6.1. No bookmaker has posted a line yet, so there is no market number to set against it.

How the teams arrive

Portland are 3-0 and have scored freely. They average 129.3 points for and 110.7 against. The opening home game was the loudest result: a 124-83 win over PHX. Since then they have won on the road, 128-120 at SAC and 136-129 at LAL. That last game shows a team that can trade scores and still finish ahead. Now they are back at home.

Memphis are 4-0 and travel in a different style. They average 116.8 points for and 107.0 against. Their start was a 123-103 home win over UTA. They have since won three straight on the road: 111-108 at GSW, 123-112 at SAC and 110-105 at UTA. Two of those were by three and five points. The record is perfect, but the scoring margin is thinner than Portland's.

Team news and lineups

Portland carry two names on the injury report. Shaedon Sharpe is out with a torn meniscus in his knee. He is expected to miss six months, with a return date listed as 2 March 2027. His absence thins the Trail Blazers' wing depth. Vit Krejci and Jeremy Sochan are named as the players who now compete for bench minutes. Expect those minutes to be spread around rather than handed to one replacement.

Chris Youngblood is also listed out with an ankle issue. He is on a two-way contract and has not yet made his 2026-27 debut. It is unclear whether the ankle or the contract status is behind the decision, and Thursday is the earliest he could debut. Neither absence should reshape the main rotation.

Memphis have nobody on the injury report. They arrive at full strength, and that is a small edge in a game where the model otherwise leans the other way.

Expected starting fives

Projected minutes

Depth charts and the full rotations →

Players to watch

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija is projected for 23.4 points, 8.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists. That is the top scoring line on the Portland side. He is the main source of production for the home team, and he also carries the rebounding load.

Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard projects at 21.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 3.0 threes. The three-point figure is the highest on either roster. If Portland pull clear, it will likely come through his shooting.

Ja Morant

Ja Morant is projected for 19.5 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists in the data on the Portland side. That scoring figure is third on the home team. His assists add a playmaking second option to the Trail Blazers' attack.

Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome leads the Memphis projection at 19.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 2.4 threes. The Grizzlies lean on his scoring and his shooting. If he is cold, the visitors lose their clearest route to points.

Cedric Coward

Cedric Coward is projected for 14.0 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He gives Memphis a second scorer who also rebounds. Those rebounds matter against a Portland side that scores quickly.

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells projects at 12.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.9 threes. He is a secondary shooter. His job is to keep the floor spaced for Jerome and Coward.

Statz prediction

The model takes the Portland Trail Blazers. It gives them a 68% win probability and a projected scoring split of 120.6 to 114.5 over the Memphis Grizzlies. That fits the model line of Portland -6.1 and Memphis +6.1. The projected total is 235.1.

There is no market to compare against. No bookmaker has posted a spread, total or moneyline, so the model-versus-market comparison cannot be made. The market side is the one that is missing. For the same reason there is no total lean to give. Check the NBA odds page once lines appear, and measure them against 235.1 and -6.1.

Statz pick: Portland Trail Blazers, 68% win probability, model line -6.1.

Lines move before tip, so treat the model number as a reference point and not a promise.

MEM @ POR questions

Who does the Statz model favour in Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers?
The model favours the Portland Trail Blazers at 68% to win. It projects a score of 120.6 to 114.5 over the Memphis Grizzlies. That is a model line of Portland -6.1 and Memphis +6.1.
What is the model total for Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers?
The projected total is 235.1 points, built from 120.6 for Portland and 114.5 for Memphis. No bookmaker has posted a total yet, so there is no market number to compare it with or lean from.
What time is Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers on 29 October?
Tip is at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday 29 October. The game is in Portland, with the Trail Blazers at home and the Memphis Grizzlies on the road.
Who is injured for the Portland Trail Blazers?
Shaedon Sharpe is out with a torn meniscus and is expected to miss six months, with a listed return date of 2 March 2027. Chris Youngblood is also out with an ankle issue. Memphis have nobody on the injury report.
How have the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers started this season?
Both teams are unbeaten. Portland are 3-0, averaging 129.3 points for and 110.7 against. Memphis are 4-0, averaging 116.8 for and 107.0 against. Portland's biggest win was 124-83 over PHX, while three of Memphis's four wins came on the road.

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Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Memphis Grizzlies or Portland Trail Blazers?

The Statz model favours the Portland Trail Blazers with a 68% win probability, leaving the Memphis Grizzlies at 32%. Over their last five games the Portland Trail Blazers are 3-2 and the Memphis Grizzlies are 4-1. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers?

For the Portland Trail Blazers the model projects Deni Avdija for 23.4 points and Damian Lillard for 21.4 points. For the Memphis Grizzlies it projects Ty Jerome for 19.8 points and Cedric Coward for 14.0 points.