No, Wolves have taken 14 points over their last 9 Championship games, 2.29 fewer than the 16.29 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Wolves create 1.75 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 9 Championship games, 15.75 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 0.25 more than that xG would expect.
Wolves allow 1.07 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 9 Championship games, 9.65 in all, and have conceded 14 goals from those chances, 4.35 more than that xGA would expect.
Fer López has the most expected goals (xG) for Wolves over their last 9 Championship games, 3.06 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Raúl Jiménez is next with 2.70 xG.
Wolves have taken 2.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 9 games: +0.3 goals against their xG, and -4.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 15.75 | 16 | +0.25 | 9.65 | 14 | -4.35 | 16.29 | 14 | -2.29 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.66 | 5 | -3.66 | 5.34 | 6 | -0.66 | 8.97 | 7 | -1.97 |
| Home | 4 | 8.73 | 8 | -0.73 | 3.35 | 6 | -2.65 | 8.92 | 7 | -1.92 |
| Away | 5 | 7.02 | 8 | +0.98 | 6.30 | 8 | -1.70 | 7.37 | 7 | -0.37 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct | Championship | Bolton (H) | 1-3 | 2.44 | 1.47 | 1.95 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Championship | M'Boro (A) | 1-0 | 0.74 | 0.96 | 1.15 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Championship | WBA (H) | 1-0 | 1.96 | 0.29 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | Championship | Sheff Utd (A) | 0-1 | 1.89 | 0.95 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Championship | Birmingham (A) | 2-2 | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.36 | 1 | L |
| 1 Sep | Championship | West Ham (A) | 4-2 | 1.06 | 1.97 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Championship | Stoke (H) | 4-1 | 2.44 | 0.70 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Championship | Preston (A) | 1-3 | 1.70 | 0.75 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 14 Aug | Championship | Blackburn (H) | 2-2 | 1.89 | 0.89 | 2.04 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fer López | midfielder | 9 | 712 | 3.06 | 4 | +0.94 | 0.39 |
| Rodrigo Gomes | midfielder | 8 | 541 | 1.10 | 2 | +0.90 | 0.18 |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | midfielder | 3 | 136 | 0.25 | 1 | +0.75 | 0.17 |
| Ladislav Krejci | defender | 3 | 270 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.19 |
| Jordan James | midfielder | 8 | 219 | 0.60 | 1 | +0.40 | 0.25 |
| Marshall Munetsi | midfielder | 9 | 579 | 1.66 | 2 | +0.34 | 0.26 |
| Raúl Jiménez | attacker | 6 | 350 | 2.70 | 3 | +0.30 | 0.69 |
| Tommy Doyle | midfielder | 8 | 196 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.24 |
| Nasser Djiga | defender | 8 | 700 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.07 |
| André | midfielder | 9 | 755 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.11 |
| Adam Armstrong | attacker | 9 | 605 | 1.97 | 1 | -0.97 | 0.29 |
| Mateus Mané | attacker | 9 | 622 | 1.06 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.15 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 10 | 16 | 16 | 12.3 | 7 | 15.7 | 23 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Stoke City | 10 | 9.8 | 17 | 16.8 | 16 | 10.2 | 16 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 9.7 | 15 | 15.8 | 13 | 9.7 | 15 | +5.3 |
| 4 | Southampton | 10 | 17.8 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 15.6 | 20 | +4.4 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 12.3 | 12 | 14.5 | 10 | 12.7 | 17 | +4.3 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 11.1 | 10 | 16.1 | 13 | 11 | 14 | +3 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 18.5 | 20 | 11.1 | 14 | 18.3 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 8 | Sheffield United | 10 | 10.9 | 14 | 17.3 | 14 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 14.5 | 15 | 18.3 | 18 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 10 | Queens Park Rangers | 10 | 17.8 | 15 | 12.9 | 9 | 16.6 | 17 | +0.4 |
| 11 | Birmingham City | 10 | 18.1 | 17 | 12.6 | 11 | 17.2 | 17 | -0.2 |
| 12 | West Ham United | 10 | 24.6 | 29 | 12.9 | 12 | 19.3 | 19 | -0.3 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 10 | 13.9 | 12 | 14.1 | 14 | 14.7 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 14 | Watford | 10 | 11.2 | 8 | 19.3 | 19 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 | Millwall | 10 | 19.3 | 16 | 14.4 | 16 | 16.2 | 14 | -2.2 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 15.7 | 16 | 9.7 | 14 | 16.3 | 14 | -2.3 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 9 | 14.2 | 12 | 12.3 | 13 | 13.7 | 11 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 10 | 12.2 | 11 | 11.9 | 15 | 14.2 | 11 | -3.2 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17.7 | 20 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| 20 | Lincoln City | 10 | 14.6 | 7 | 14.9 | 17 | 14.6 | 11 | -3.6 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 13.4 | 15 | 16.3 | 19 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| 22 | Derby County | 10 | 11.1 | 9 | 19.1 | 19 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
| 23 | Cardiff City | 10 | 21.3 | 16 | 14.2 | 15 | 17.6 | 10 | -7.6 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 10 | 12 | 8 | 15.3 | 20 | 12.1 | 4 | -8.1 |