Lincoln Key Passes Stats 2026/2027

Lincoln Key Passes Stats 2026/2027 - season overview

Lincoln are averaging 7.3 key passes per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 20.1 total key passes on average. That puts them 22nd of 24 for chances created per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find every Lincoln player's key-pass rate and create-shots hit percentage, the upcoming fixture against Millwall, and a full match-by-match log.

Lincoln Key Passes Questions

What counts as a created shot in the Player to Create Shots market?

A key pass or an assist. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who attempts a shot without scoring; if that teammate scores, the pass is recorded as an assist instead. Bookmakers settle create-shots lines on Opta data as the sum of both, so every chance created counts once.

Does this table include assists in the key pass numbers?

No - the table shows key passes only. Because a create-shots line settles on key passes plus assists, a Lincoln player's true market number is equal to or higher than what you see here. The hit rates are a conservative floor for the create-shots market.

Which bookmakers offer the create shots market?

Bet365 lists it as Player To Create Shots in its bet builder, and Sky Bet and Paddy Power carry the same market family in theirs. Lines and player coverage vary by fixture - creative midfielders and attacking full-backs are priced most often.

How does Super Sub affect create shots settlement?

At Sky Bet and Paddy Power, if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line and the substitute's chances created count towards your bet. Bet365 instead runs Sub On Play On - a player who enters as a substitute has his own bet stand, with his output counting from the moment he comes on.

Which Lincoln players create the most shots?

Callum Elder leads with 9 key passes across 5 qualifying appearances (1.8/g, 80% hit rate). The table ranks every Lincoln player by key passes per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes) with hit rates at the 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines and six-game form.

Where do these key passes stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Lincoln fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Bookmakers settle the create-shots market on Opta's count, which can differ by the odd marginal touch, so always treat the bookmaker's feed as final for settlement.

What is the create shots market?

Player to Create Shots is a bet builder market where you back a player to set up a number of shots for his teammates - typically 1+, 2+ or 3+ across the 90 minutes. Bookmakers settle it on Opta data as the cumulative total of a player's key passes plus his assists. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who then attempts a shot without scoring; if the teammate scores, that pass upgrades from a key pass to an assist. Both count towards a create-shots line, so the market is effectively a bet on chances created. One honest note on this table: it shows key passes only. A player's create-shots number at the bookmaker is his key passes PLUS his assists, so for Lincoln players who register assists the table slightly understates the market line. Treat the hit rates here as a conservative floor - a player hitting 2+ key passes regularly clears a 2+ create-shots line at least as often.

Bet365 player to create shots

Bet365 lists the market as Player To Create Shots inside its bet builder, usually at 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines for the creative midfielders and full-backs in each side. Bet365's player markets run Sub On Play On rules: if your player comes on as a substitute, his bet stands and his output from the moment he enters counts in full. Use the Lineup only toggle above the table to focus the Lincoln numbers on players expected to start.

Sky Bet create shots

Sky Bet carries create shots selections in its bet builder and applies its Super Sub rule to player markets: if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line, and the substitute's key passes and assists count towards your bet. That makes team-level creativity - how many chances Lincoln generate as a side - matter as much as the individual you pick, because the line survives a substitution.

Paddy Power create shots

Paddy Power offers the same create-shots market family in its bet builder, also with Super Sub settlement - a replaced starter's line is continued by the player who comes on for him. As with any player market, settlement follows the bookmaker's official data feed (Opta), so a marginal touch that our data logs as a key pass will almost always match, but the bookmaker's count is the one that settles the bet.

How to use this table for create shots bets

Start with the hit percentage at your line: step the table between 1+, 2+ and 3+ key passes and read how often each Lincoln player has cleared that number per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes). The Match grid view shows the raw counts game by game - green cells mark matches where the player hit the active line - and the form dots track his last six. The Super Sub toggle folds substitutes' key passes into each starter's fixture cells, mirroring how Sky Bet and Paddy Power settle. It also points at a structural edge: books price a starter's line on his per-90 output, while Super Sub rules quietly add his replacement's output on top - so at those books, lines on players in high-rotation positions are slightly better than they look. Pair the hit rates with the chances created per game number and the over/under dials below before building the leg.

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Lincoln player key passes rates

Player	Position	Apps	Key passes	Per game	1+ hit rate
Adam Jackson	defender	1	1	1	100%
Callum Elder	defender	5	9	1.8	80%
Adam Reach	midfielder	7	4	0.57	57%
Robert Street	attacker	8	5	0.63	50%
Freddie Draper	attacker	8	5	0.63	50%
Andrei Coubiș	defender	6	5	0.83	50%
Ivan Varfolomeev	midfielder	6	3	0.5	50%
Tom Bayliss	midfielder	6	5	0.83	50%
Dom Jefferies	midfielder	6	3	0.5	50%
Mikkel Ladefoged	attacker	4	4	1	50%
Josh Honohan	defender	2	2	1	50%
Reeco Hackett	attacker	7	6	0.86	43%
Conor McGrandles	midfielder	8	3	0.38	38%
Sonny Bradley	defender	6	2	0.33	33%
Ben House	attacker	7	3	0.43	29%
George Wickens	goalkeeper	8	2	0.25	25%
Ryley Towler	defender	9	2	0.22	22%
Yunus Konak	midfielder	6	1	0.17	17%
Chiedozie Ogbene	attacker	6	1	0.17	17%
D. Elerewe	defender	8	1	0.13	13%
Daniel Oyegoke	defender	3	0	0	0%
Tanto Olaofe	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Joe Gauci	goalkeeper	2	0	0	0%
Mason Melia	attacker	1	0	0	0%

Lincoln key passes match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team key passes	Opposition key passes	Match total	Top player
14 Oct 2026	Championship	West Ham United	Home	0-6	2	25	27	George Wickens (1)
10 Oct 2026	Championship	Sheffield United	Away	3-0	7	8	15	Callum Elder (2)
19 Sep 2026	Championship	Swansea City	Home	1-2	7	8	15	Andrei Coubiș (2)
15 Sep 2026	Championship	Bristol City	Away	0-1	6	14	20	Ben House (2)
12 Sep 2026	Championship	Preston North End	Away	0-1	6	6	12	George Wickens (1)
8 Sep 2026	Carabao Cup	AFC Bournemouth	Away	4-0	1	27	28	Mikkel Ladefoged (1)
5 Sep 2026	Championship	Southampton	Home	1-1	15	14	29	Mikkel Ladefoged (3)
1 Sep 2026	Championship	Blackburn Rovers	Home	0-0	12	4	16	Reeco Hackett (3)
29 Aug 2026	Championship	Bolton Wanderers	Away	0-1	6	16	22	Callum Elder (3)
25 Aug 2026	Carabao Cup	Blackpool	Away	1-4	11	6	17	Callum Elder (3)

Lincoln key passes 2026/2027: last 10 games

Key passes for per game: 7.3
Key passes against per game: 12.8
Match total key passes per game: 20.1
Games: 10
League rank for match key passes: 13 of 24

Lincoln Key passes for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	4	9	75%	50%	50%	25%	25%
Away	6	6.17	33%	17%	17%	0%	0%
Overall	10	7.3	50%	30%	30%	10%	10%

Lincoln Key passes against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 10.5 %	Over 12.5 %	Over 14.5 %
Home	4	12.75	75%	50%	50%	50%	25%
Away	6	12.83	67%	50%	50%	50%	33%
Overall	10	12.8	70%	50%	50%	50%	30%

Lincoln Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 14.5 %	Over 16.5 %	Over 18.5 %	Over 20.5 %	Over 22.5 %
Home	4	21.75	100%	50%	50%	50%	50%
Away	6	19	83%	67%	50%	33%	17%
Overall	10	20.1	90%	60%	50%	40%	30%

Lincoln Team key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes / match	7.3	9	6.17
Key passes over 6.5	50%	75%	33%
Key passes over 8.5	30%	50%	17%
Key passes over 10.5	30%	50%	17%
Key passes over 12.5	10%	25%	0%
Key passes over 14.5	10%	25%	0%

Lincoln Key passes against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Key passes against	Overall	Home	Away
Key passes against / match	12.8	12.75	12.83
Key passes against over 6.5	70%	75%	67%
Key passes against over 8.5	50%	50%	50%
Key passes against over 10.5	50%	50%	50%
Key passes against over 12.5	50%	50%	50%
Key passes against over 14.5	30%	25%	33%

Lincoln Match key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match key passes	Overall	Home	Away
Match key passes / match	20.1	21.75	19
Match key passes over 14.5	90%	100%	83%
Match key passes over 16.5	60%	50%	67%
Match key passes over 18.5	50%	50%	50%
Match key passes over 20.5	40%	50%	33%
Match key passes over 22.5	30%	50%	17%

Lincoln key passes match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
14 Oct	Championship	West Ham (H)	0-6	2	25	27	-
10 Oct	Championship	Sheff Utd (A)	3-0	7	8	15	-
19 Sep	Championship	Swansea (H)	1-2	7	8	15	-
15 Sep	Championship	Bristol City (A)	0-1	6	14	20	-
12 Sep	Championship	Preston (A)	0-1	6	6	12	-
8 Sep	Carabao Cup	B'mouth (A)	4-0	1	27	28	-
5 Sep	Championship	S'oton (H)	1-1	15	14	29	-
1 Sep	Championship	Blackburn (H)	0-0	12	4	16	-
29 Aug	Championship	Bolton (A)	0-1	6	16	22	-
25 Aug	Carabao Cup	Blackpool (A)	1-4	11	6	17	-

Championship key passes table 2026/2027: every team's key passes per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
1	Cardiff City	10	13.1	9.3	22.4	90%
2	Southampton	10	11	10.4	21.4	90%
3	Middlesbrough	10	12.9	8.3	21.2	80%
4	Watford	10	8.3	12.6	20.9	80%
5	West Ham United	10	13.3	7	20.3	80%
6	Queens Park Rangers	10	11	8.8	19.8	60%
7	Norwich City	10	10.9	8.8	19.7	60%
8	Bolton Wanderers	10	9.7	9.9	19.6	60%
9	Preston North End	10	8.9	10.7	19.6	50%
10	Portsmouth	9	10.78	8.78	19.56	44%
11	Stoke City	10	8.8	10.7	19.5	70%
12	Blackburn Rovers	10	8.3	11.2	19.5	60%
13	Lincoln City	10	7.5	11.8	19.3	50%
14	Burnley	10	10.1	9.1	19.2	60%
15	Millwall	10	9.4	9.8	19.2	60%
16	Bristol City	10	10.7	8.1	18.8	50%
17	Charlton Athletic	10	6.6	12.1	18.7	50%
18	Derby County	10	7.8	10.8	18.6	50%
19	Wolverhampton Wanderers	9	11	7.44	18.44	67%
20	Birmingham City	10	9.7	8.7	18.4	40%
21	Sheffield United	10	6.4	11.2	17.6	40%
22	Swansea City	10	9.4	7.8	17.2	50%
23	Wrexham	10	7.8	9	16.8	40%
24	West Bromwich Albion	10	7.3	7.8	15.1	10%

Lincoln key passes against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
Vs top six	3	4.67	16	20.67	67%
Vs top half	6	7.83	13.33	21.17	67%
Vs bottom half	4	7	9.5	16.5	25%
Vs bottom six	1	6	6	12	0%

Lincoln key passes per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 18.5 %
Championship	2026/2027	10	7.5	11.8	19.3	50%
Carabao Cup	2026/2027	3	7	13	20	33%
League One	2025/2026	46	8.17	7.26	15.43	30%
Carabao Cup	2025/2026	3	13.67	6.67	20.33	67%
League One	2024/2025	46	7.41	6.76	14.17	11%
Carabao Cup	2024/2025	1	11	7	18	0%

Lincoln next three opponents: key passes per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their key passes for	Their key passes against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Sat 17 Oct 11:30	Millwall (away)	19.2	9.4	9.8	16.2	7.4	8.8
Sat 24 Oct 14:00	Burnley (home)	19.2	10.1	9.1	21.2	11.4	9.8
Sat 31 Oct 12:30	Birmingham (home)	18.4	9.7	8.7	18	9.8	8.2

Lincoln players with the most games of 1+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 1+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Freddie Draper	attacker	7	12	58%
2	Adam Reach	midfielder	6	10	60%
3	Callum Elder	defender	5	7	71%
4	Ivan Varfolomeev	midfielder	5	10	50%
5	Robert Street	attacker	5	13	38%

Lincoln players with the most games of 2+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 2+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Callum Elder	defender	4	7	57%
2	Reeco Hackett	attacker	3	11	27%
3	Freddie Draper	attacker	3	12	25%
4	Andrei Coubiș	defender	2	9	22%
5	Adam Reach	midfielder	2	10	20%

Lincoln players with the most games of 3+ key passes 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 3+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Callum Elder	defender	2	7	29%
2	Reeco Hackett	attacker	2	11	18%
3	Mikkel Ladefoged	attacker	1	5	20%
4	Ivan Varfolomeev	midfielder	1	10	10%

Millwall key passes match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Key passes for	Key passes against	Match total	1st-half total
13 Oct	Championship	Swansea (H)	0-1	8	11	19	-
10 Oct	Championship	Preston (A)	0-1	10	8	18	-
19 Sep	Championship	West Ham (H)	2-2	11	11	22	-
15 Sep	Championship	M'Boro (A)	2-2	11	16	27	-
12 Sep	Championship	Blackburn (A)	3-1	9	12	21	-
8 Sep	Carabao Cup	Newcastle (H)	0-1	7	14	21	-
5 Sep	Championship	Bolton (H)	4-0	8	10	18	-
2 Sep	Championship	Wrexham (H)	0-3	3	7	10	-
29 Aug	Championship	S'oton (A)	5-1	7	14	21	-
25 Aug	Carabao Cup	Cambridge (A)	0-1	6	7	13	-