Hull City xG 2026/2027

Hull xG Questions

Are Hull overperforming their xG?

Yes, Hull have taken 9 points over their last 6 Premier League games, 2.46 more than the 6.54 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Hull's xG per game?

Hull create 1.09 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Premier League games, 6.53 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 1.47 more than that xG would expect.

What is Hull's xGA per game?

Hull allow 1.50 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Premier League games, 8.98 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 2.98 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Hull?

Mohamed Belloumi has the most expected goals (xG) for Hull over their last 6 Premier League games, 1.17 xG in 6 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Oliver McBurnie is next with 1.11 xG.

Hull expected goals 2026/2027: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 6.53
Goals scored: 8
Goals minus xG: +1.47
Expected goals against (xGA): 8.98
Goals conceded: 6
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.98
Expected points (xPts): 6.54
Points: 9
Points minus xPts: +2.46
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Hull overperforming their expected goals?

Hull have taken 2.5 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +1.5 goals against their xG, and +3.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Fulham expected goals

Games: 20
Fulham xG per game: 1.58
Fulham xGA per game: 1.42
Points minus xPts: -9.21
Verdict: Due an upturn

Hull results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	6.53	8	+1.47	8.98	6	+2.98	6.54	9	+2.46
Last 5	5	5.54	6	+0.46	6.79	6	+0.79	5.87	6	+0.13
Home	3	2.85	4	+1.15	5.29	2	+3.29	2.53	5	+2.47
Away	3	3.68	4	+0.32	3.69	4	-0.31	4.01	4	-0.01

Hull expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
11 Oct	Premier League	Everton (H)	2-2	1.16	1.79	0.97	1	L
19 Sep	Premier League	Newcastle (A)	2-1	1.74	1.43	1.59	0	W
12 Sep	Premier League	Chelsea (A)	2-2	1.39	1.08	1.59	1	W
5 Sep	Premier League	Villa (H)	0-0	0.70	1.31	0.89	1	L
29 Aug	Premier League	Coventry (A)	0-1	0.55	1.18	0.83	3	L
22 Aug	Premier League	Man Utd (H)	2-0	0.99	2.19	0.67	3	L

Hull players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Mohamed Belloumi	attacker	6	424	1.17	3	+1.83	0.25
Nobel Mendy	defender	5	343	0.51	1	+0.49	0.13
Semi Ajayi	defender	6	514	0.61	1	+0.39	0.11
Oliver McBurnie	attacker	6	532	1.11	0	-1.11	0.19

Premier League 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Manchester City	6	11.1	16	6.8	5	10.9	18	+7.1
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	12	18	9.7	5	9.6	13	+3.4
3	Arsenal	6	11.2	10	5.3	5	12.2	15	+2.8
4	Hull City	6	6.5	8	9	6	6.5	9	+2.5
5	Chelsea	6	8.8	15	9.6	13	7.6	10	+2.4
6	Newcastle United	6	7.5	10	11.6	13	6	8	+2
7	Crystal Palace	6	7.7	9	13.8	12	5.3	7	+1.7
8	Everton	6	8.4	8	8.4	5	8.5	10	+1.5
9	Leeds United	6	7.9	8	9.1	5	7.6	9	+1.4
10	Ipswich Town	6	7.7	9	9.9	12	7.9	9	+1.1
11	Brentford	6	11.2	12	8.8	6	9.2	10	+0.8
12	Coventry City	6	5.9	5	10.7	11	5.3	6	+0.7
13	Liverpool	6	10.5	7	7.7	7	9.7	9	-0.7
14	Aston Villa	6	6.6	6	10.3	11	6.4	5	-1.4
15	Manchester United	6	11.1	9	6.9	9	9.9	6	-3.9
16	Nottingham Forest	6	10.1	5	7.7	8	9.7	5	-4.7
17	Tottenham Hotspur	6	6.9	3	9.1	9	7.7	3	-4.7
18	Sunderland	6	10.3	6	9	12	9.1	4	-5.1
19	Fulham	6	9.7	6	9	10	8	2	-6
20	AFC Bournemouth	6	8.7	7	7.2	13	9.2	3	-6.2