Derby are averaging 4.1 shots on target per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 9.9 total SOT on average. That puts them 23rd of 24 for team SOT per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find player SOT-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Portsmouth, and a full match-by-match log.
Carlton Morris leads with 9 shots on target across 9 qualifying appearances (1/g, 78% hit rate). The SOT-rate table below ranks every Derby player by SOT per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ SOT price.
Derby are averaging 4.1 shots on target per game over 10 games and concede 5.8 for a match-total of 9.9. That ranks 23rd of 24 for team SOT in their primary competition. They take 13 shots per game and create 8.9 key passes per game.
SOT matchup blends our attackers' on-target rate (50%) with the opposition's SOT conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Portsmouth, the page weights each Derby attacker against the opposition's last-season SOT-conceded rate.
Derby take 13 shots per game and put 4.1 on target. Players who shoot speculatively often have a low SOT-per-shot ratio; the context panel surfaces the shots/g funnel so you can see the conversion rate.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz — 10 Derby fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.
Derby are currently converting 32% of their shots on target into goals. A high conversion rate means finishing well; a low one means SOT volume but not yet goals. Pair this with the shots/g funnel to read how the goals number is built.
| Player | Position | Apps | Shots on target | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Morris | attacker | 9 | 9 | 1 | 78% |
| Sammie Szmodics | midfielder | 8 | 9 | 1.13 | 75% |
| Jaydon Banel | attacker | 6 | 4 | 0.67 | 67% |
| Oscar Fraulo | midfielder | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | attacker | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 50% |
| Joe Ward | midfielder | 9 | 4 | 0.44 | 33% |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | attacker | 3 | 2 | 0.67 | 33% |
| Sondre Langås | defender | 8 | 2 | 0.25 | 25% |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | attacker | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 20% |
| David Ozoh | midfielder | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Bobby Clark | midfielder | 6 | 2 | 0.33 | 17% |
| Matt Clarke | defender | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 14% |
| Max Johnston | defender | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 14% |
| Lewis Travis | midfielder | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Dion Sanderson | defender | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | goalkeeper | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Craig Forsyth | defender | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Charlie Taylor | defender | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Derry Murkin | defender | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Alex Mowatt | midfielder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Richard O'Donnell | goalkeeper | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Filip Bilbija | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Rhian Brewster | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Ryan Hedges | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Patrick Agyemang | attacker | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team shots on target | Opposition shots on target | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Swansea City | Home | 0-3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cardiff City | Home | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 14 | Bobby Clark (2) |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton Athletic | Away | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | Sammie Szmodics (2) |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Lincoln City | Home | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | Sammie Szmodics (2) |
| 2 May 2026 | Sheffield United | Home | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | Joe Ward (2) |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | Away | 2-3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | Sondre Langås (1) |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Norwich City | Away | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | 14 | Carlton Morris (2) |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Oxford United | Home | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Sammie Szmodics (1) |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Southampton | Away | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | Carlton Morris (2) |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Stoke City | Home | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | Carlton Morris (1) |