Published October 21, 2026 by Statz NFL.
Every parlay the engine has published for Week 7: a record of eight winners from 36 after a Week 6 where all six cross-game editions lost, the Sunday Totals Parlay and Bold One, the slate editions, the standalone-game editions, the touchdown accas and the honest record on every surface.
Six from six lost, and the record anyway
Every one of last week's six NFL Parlays editions lost: the Spread Parlay on three home underdogs, the Bold One, the Sensible Treble, the Totals Parlay and the early and late Slate Parlays. The NFL Parlays record is eight winners from 36, 21.65 points staked and 39.27 returned, 17.62 up. The six that won in Weeks 4 and 5 were game-line editions, the Short-Price Double, the Sensible Treble and the Spread Parlay twice over; last week's four game-line editions all lost, and so did both props slates. The single-game slips that feed the standalone games are four from 91 for 14.2 points staked and 15.83 returned, 1.63 up, and the touchdown accas are two from 68 for 17.75 staked and 10.6 returned, 7.15 down. Those are the three records, the same three we print every week.
The pages work the same way. Editions build on Tuesday and Wednesday, and again on Friday and Saturday for the Sunday windows, from the model's probabilities, at bet365 prices; some of the Sunday editions are not on the page until then, so this week's list is the one built so far. Fourteen games, four teams on a bye: Thursday in Chicago, Paris on Sunday morning, ten Sunday games in two windows, Sunday night in Seattle and Monday night in Philadelphia.
Sunday: the totals parlay, the bold one and the slate editions
The Totals Parlay at 6.84 is three overs the model has above the market: Giants-Texans over 42.5 at 1.93, Broncos-Cardinals over 42.5 at 1.89 and Steelers-Saints over 44 at 1.89, the model at 17.5% against 14.6% implied, a point. The model totals are 48.7, 47.6 and 47.6. The Bold One at 20.63 is the Cardinals on the moneyline at 3.08, the Giants plus ten at 1.89, the Paris over at 44 at 1.89 and Browns-Titans over 37.5 at 1.88, the model at 6.5% against 4.9%, a quarter of a point. There is no Spread Parlay or Sensible Treble on the page yet; they may follow on Friday and Saturday, and last week's both lost.
The late Slate Parlay at 5.43 is Jacoby Brissett under 244.5 passing yards at 1.86, Amon-Ra St. Brown over 69.5 receiving yards at 1.57 and Ashton Jeanty under 51.5 rushing yards at 1.86, the model at 23.9% against 18.4%, a quarter of a point. The early Slate Parlay is at 10.46, five props across the 6pm games, the model at 16.8% against 9.6%, a quarter of a point.
- Totals Parlay — NYG-HOU o42.5 1.93 · DEN-ARI o42.5 1.89 · PIT-NO o44 1.89 — at 6.84 — Three overs the model has three to six points above the market. Game preview
- The Bold One — Cardinals ML 3.08 · Giants +10 1.89 · PIT-NO o44 · CLE-TEN o37.5 — at 20.63 — The totals parlay with two underdogs. A quarter of a point. Game preview
- Slate Parlay, Sunday late games — Brissett u244.5 1.86 · St. Brown o69.5 rec 1.57 · Jeanty u51.5 rush 1.86 — at 5.43 — The shortest edition on the page: three legs across the three late games. Game preview
Paris and the primetime nights
Every standalone game has a Primetime Parlay, a short slip of props on that game, and they are priced at 4.52 on Thursday, 4.21 in Paris, 5.26 on Sunday night and 4.98 on Monday night. The model has them at 25.3%, 28.6%, 18.3% and 27.3% against 22.1%, 23.7%, 19.0% and 20.1% implied, so the Sunday-night one is the only one the model has below its price. Their legs are not repeated here. The other standalone editions are the Paris Second Receiver Ceiling at 35.57 (Tyler Shough over 221.5 passing yards at 1.86, Devaughn Vele to score at 4.25 and over 69.5 receiving yards at 4.50; 9.5% against 2.8%, 0.15 of a point), the Sunday-night One Passing Game at 96.48 (Sam Darnold over 274.5 passing yards at 3.80, Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 88.5 receiving yards, AJ Barner over 39.5 receiving yards at 3.25 and over 4.5 receptions at 4.20; 4.9% against 1.0%, a tenth) and the Monday-night Second Receiver Ceiling at 36.46 (Dak Prescott over 255.5 passing yards, Ryan Flournoy to score at 4.00 and over 59.5 receiving yards at 4.90; 8.0% against 2.7%, 0.15). The previews for Paris, Sunday night and Monday night go through the games.
- Second Receiver Ceiling, PIT @ NO — Shough o221.5 · Vele TD 4.25 · Vele o69.5 rec 4.50 — at 35.57 — The Paris slip: a New Orleans receiver priced like a bit-part. Game preview
- Second Receiver Ceiling, DAL @ PHI — Prescott o255.5 · Flournoy TD 4.00 · Flournoy o59.5 rec 4.90 — at 36.46 — Dallas's third receiver, with the Dallas passing game the model likes. Game preview
The touchdown accas
Seven accas on the Touchdown Parlays page so far. The Sunday slate: Running Backs at 5.83 is Derrick Henry at 1.48, Cam Skattebo at 3.10 and Jahmyr Gibbs at 1.27, the model at 19.1% against 17.2%, a point; Receivers at 42.90 is Tee Higgins at 2.40, Malachi Fields at 6.50 and Michael Wilson at 2.75, 3.1% against 2.3%; Best Value at 86.70 is Devaughn Vele at 4.25, Higgins and Savion Williams at 8.50, 2.4% against 1.2%. The 6pm games: Best Value at 80.71 is Harold Fannin Jr. at 2.85, Malik Washington at 4.00, Jalen Coker at 2.95 and Higgins, 1.9% against 1.2%; Receivers at 45.36 is Ted Hurst III at 7.00, Higgins and Malik Nabers at 2.70, 2.6% against 2.2%; Tight Ends at 60.92 is Fannin, Darren Waller at 4.50 and Mike Gesicki at 4.75, 2.2% against 1.6%. The late games: Tight Ends at 25.97 is Trey McBride at 2.35, Sam LaPorta at 2.60 and Colby Parkinson at 4.25, 4.2% against 3.9%, 0.15 of a point.
Tee Higgins is on four of the seven: a 46% model call at 2.35 for a Bengals receiver whose quarterback faces a Baltimore defence the grid rates 54% Bengals in the air. If he does not score, most of the page goes with him, which is what one player on four accas means. Henry and Gibbs are the two short prices that carry the Running Backs acca.
What to actually do with this
Last week is the other half of the record. The staking has not changed: a point on the game-market editions and the Running Backs acca, a quarter on the Bold One, the slate parlays and the primetime slips, 0.15 or a tenth on the longer accas. At those stakes the page is about five points for the week.
The injuries that matter to the slips: Lamar Jackson's ankle for any Baltimore leg, Baker Mayfield's thumb for Tampa Bay, the McCarthy absence for Minnesota. A void leg shortens a slip.
Our Best Bets: the Pro page
Our Best Bets are a Pro page: five-star singles and parlays, every pick graded in public. The ledger stands at 67-49, 15.44 points up at an 11.5% return, and Week 6 went five from nine.
Put it to work
- NFL Parlays Every edition with its legs, prices, model chance and the record at the declared stakes.
- Touchdown Parlays The accas by window, and the scorer board behind them.
- Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 67-49, +15.44 points, 11.5% ROI.
More NFL betting guides
- NFL Sunday Special - Week 7
- Single Game Parlays Week 7: Nine Slips, Ranked by the Model
- NFL Sunday Special - Week 6
- NFL Parlays Week 6: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Spread Parlay, the Primetime Slips and the Record
- Single Game Parlays Week 6: Fourteen Slips, Ranked by the Model
- NFL Sunday Special - Week 5
- NFL Parlays Week 5: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Editions, the Touchdown Accas and the Record
- Single Game Parlays Week 5: Sixteen Slips, Ranked by the Model