Single Game Parlays Week 7: Nine Slips, Ranked by the Model

Published October 21, 2026 by Statz NFL.

Every same-game slip the engine has published for Week 7, ranked by the gap between the model's chance and the price: three Steelers-Saints slips in Paris, the Cowboys-Eagles passing scripts, the Browns-Titans tight end and the Colts-Vikings, Bengals-Ravens and Rams-Raiders slips.

The record after Week 6

Four winners from 91 slips, 14.2 points staked and 15.83 returned, a profit of 1.63 points at the declared stakes. None of Week 6's fourteen slips landed, and the profit has come down from 4.18 to 1.63 in a week. The 55/1 on Giants at Rams in Week 2 is still most of the profit, which is how a longshot page works and the reason every slip here is a tenth to a quarter of a point.

Nine slips are up so far for Week 7 across six games, and a few more may be added on Friday and Saturday: three on Steelers at Saints, two on Cowboys at Eagles, one each on four others. Each is a script about one game; the number on every card is the gap between the model's chance and the implied one. Ranked by that gap, widest first. All prices bet365.

Paris: three slips on New Orleans throwing

The Second Receiver Ceiling on Steelers at Saints at 81.90 has the widest ratio on the page, 6.8% against 1.2%: Tyler Shough over 299.5 passing yards at 5.00, Devaughn Vele to score at 3.90 and Vele over 69.5 receiving yards at 4.20. Vele is the second receiver in the New Orleans offence and the slip needs Shough to throw 300 against a Pittsburgh pass defence ranked eighth, which is the argument against it; the argument for it is a New Orleans defence that allows 29.7 points a game and a game script in which New Orleans trail. The Chase Script at 112.44 adds Jaylen Warren over 62.5 rushing yards to the Vele legs, 4.6% against 0.9%; the One Passing Game at 61.62 is Shough over 249.5 passing yards at 2.32, Chris Olave to score at 2.80, Olave over 74.5 receiving yards at 1.86 and Juwan Johnson over 59.5 receiving yards at 5.10, 8.0% against 1.6%, the biggest probability of the three. A tenth of a point each. The Paris preview has the game.

  • Second Receiver Ceiling, PIT @ NO — Shough o299.5 5.00 · Vele TD 3.90 · Vele o69.5 rec 4.20 — at 81.90 — The widest ratio on the page. It needs Shough to throw 300 in Paris. Game preview
  • One Passing Game, PIT @ NO — Shough o249.5 2.32 · Olave TD 2.80 · Olave o74.5 rec 1.86 · J. Johnson o59.5 rec 5.10 — at 61.62 — The biggest chance of the three Paris slips, with a lower passing line. Game preview

Cowboys at Eagles, Browns at Titans and the rest

Cowboys at Eagles has two slips, both a tenth of a point and both built on the Dallas passing game and a Philadelphia that has to throw without Jalen Hurts. The Throwing Festival at 127.14 is Dak Prescott over 255.5 passing yards at 1.86, Tanner McKee over 249.5 at 3.10, Ryan Flournoy to score at 4.50 and Flournoy over 59.5 receiving yards at 4.90, 3.4% against 0.8%. The Blowup Total at 98.87 is George Pickens over 69.5 receiving yards at 2.18, DeVonta Smith to score at 2.85, Prescott over 255.5, McKee over 274.5 at 4.60 and Flournoy over 29.5 receiving yards at 1.86, 4.3% against 1.0%. The Monday-night preview has the game.

Browns at Titans has the One Passing Game at 72.98: Harold Fannin Jr. to score at 2.90 and over 49.5 receiving yards at 4.10, KC Concepcion over 35.5 receiving yards at 1.86 and Deshaun Watson over 249.5 passing yards at 3.30, 5.7% against 1.4%, a tenth of a point. The grid has Cleveland passing against Tennessee as a 67% Titans edge and Tennessee passing as a 95% Browns edge; the slip asks the first of those to go the other way.

Bengals at Ravens has the Chase Script at 28.91: Tee Higgins to score at 2.35, Higgins over 63.5 receiving yards at 1.86, Joe Burrow over 324.5 passing yards at 4.50 and Derrick Henry to score at 1.47, 11.6% against 3.5%, 0.15 of a point; the model total is five points under the market, which is the risk. Colts at Vikings has the Second Receiver Ceiling at 21.16: Kyler Murray over 249.5 passing yards at 3.50, Jordan Addison to score at 3.25 and Addison over 38.5 receiving yards at 1.86, 10.2% against 4.7%, a quarter of a point and the shortest price on the page. Rams at Raiders has the One Passing Game at 28.12: Matthew Stafford over 260.5 passing yards at 1.90, Puka Nacua over 99.5 receiving yards at 2.04, Tyler Higbee to score at 3.90 and over 30.5 receiving yards at 1.86, 8.4% against 3.6%, 0.15 of a point.

  • Throwing Festival, DAL @ PHI — Prescott o255.5 · McKee o249.5 3.10 · Flournoy TD 4.50 · Flournoy o59.5 rec 4.90 — at 127.14 — The longest price of the week. Both quarterbacks throwing. Game preview
  • Chase Script, CIN @ BAL — Higgins TD 2.35 · Higgins o63.5 rec 1.86 · Burrow o324.5 4.50 · Henry TD 1.47 — at 28.91 — The best chance on the page. The model total for the game is five points under the market. Game preview
  • Second Receiver Ceiling, IND @ MIN — Murray o249.5 3.50 · Addison TD 3.25 · Addison o38.5 rec 1.86 — at 21.16 — The shortest price and the largest stake. Three legs on a quarterback and his second receiver. Game preview

How to play the page

Pick the scripts you believe, not the prices. The six widest gaps are the three Paris slips, the two Cowboys-Eagles slips and the Browns-Titans One Passing Game, and they come to 0.6 of a point between them at the declared stakes. The whole page is 1.15 points. The one rule on a page like this is the one that has held since Week 2: a 55/1 winner pays for months of tenths, and it only pays if you were on it for a tenth every week.

Check the injury table before the 6pm kick-offs on Sunday, when the inactives drop. A player who is ruled out voids his leg and the slip shortens; a player who starts hurt plays to his line. The Best Bets for the week, a different page and a different ledger, are the Pro page: Best Bets, 67-49, 15.44 points up at an 11.5% return.

Put it to work

  • Single Game Parlays The published slips with every leg, price and the record at the declared stakes.
  • Props Tool Every priced prop the model rates, one board; the legs on these slips come from it.
  • Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 67-49, +15.44 points, 11.5% ROI.

More NFL betting guides

  • NFL Sunday Special - Week 7
  • NFL Parlays Week 7: Six Losers Last Sunday, the Totals Parlay, the Slate Editions and the Record
  • NFL Sunday Special - Week 6
  • NFL Parlays Week 6: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Spread Parlay, the Primetime Slips and the Record
  • Single Game Parlays Week 6: Fourteen Slips, Ranked by the Model
  • NFL Sunday Special - Week 5
  • NFL Parlays Week 5: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Editions, the Touchdown Accas and the Record
  • Single Game Parlays Week 5: Sixteen Slips, Ranked by the Model

Frequently asked questions

When does NFL Week 7 start?

Week 7 runs from Thursday 22 October, the Patriots at the Bears, to Monday 26 October, the Cowboys at the Eagles: 14 games.

Which NFL teams have a bye in Week 7?

The Bills, the Chargers, the Commanders and the Jaguars.

Who are the biggest favourites in NFL Week 7?

The Texans by 10 against the Giants (lost 27-21), the Vikings by 6.5 against the Colts (won 16-10) and the Broncos by 4.5 against the Cardinals (won 30-16).

Which NFL Week 7 game has the highest total?

The Packers at the Lions, at 55.5 points; 37 points were scored.

What is a same-game parlay?

A parlay whose legs all come from one game: a quarterback's passing yards, a receiver's catches, the total. Every leg has to win, and because the legs move together the book prices the slip below the straight product of its legs.

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