NFL Parlays Week 5: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Editions, the Touchdown Accas and the Record

Published October 8, 2026 by Statz NFL.

Every parlay the engine published for Week 5, window by window: three cross-game winners in one Week 4 afternoon and a record of five from 23, the Sunday editions from a 4.62 treble to a 19/1 Bold One, the London and primetime slips, the touchdown accas and the honest record on every surface.

Three winners in one afternoon

The Short-Price Double at 3.01, the Sensible Treble at 6.20 and the Spread Parlay at 8.33 all landed on Sunday afternoon in Week 4, and the record on NFL Parlays is now five winners from 23 for 13.35 points staked and 27.76 returned, 14.41 up. Three of the five have come in the last two weeks. The single-game slips that feed the primetime windows are four from 60 for 9.3 points and 15.83 returned, 6.53 up; the touchdown accas landed one, the afternoon Tight Ends at 5.06, and are two from 47 for 11.25 staked and 10.6 returned, 0.65 down. Those are the three records, the same three we print every week, and the one that went well is the one we would have said was least likely to.

The pages work the same way. Editions build on Tuesday and Wednesday, and again on Saturday morning for the Sunday windows, from the model's probabilities, at bet365 prices. Fifteen games this week: Thursday in Dallas, London on Sunday morning, eleven Sunday games in two windows, Sunday night in Atlanta, Monday night in Los Angeles.

Sunday afternoon: the four game-market editions

The Sensible Treble at 4.62 is the Jaguars to beat the Eagles at 1.36, the 49ers plus two and a half at 2.15 and the Patriots to beat the Raiders at 1.58, the model at 27% against 21.6% implied, a point. It is the three sides the model is surest of on Sunday: Jacksonville by eight, San Francisco by three on the road, New England by seven. The Spread Parlay at 7.69 is the 49ers plus two and a half at 2.15, the Dolphins plus seven at 1.95 and the Vikings minus half a point at 1.83, the model at 17.1% against 13%, a point; it landed at 8.33 last week with a different three. The Totals Parlay at 7.70 is Lions-Cardinals under 54.5 at 2.02, Bengals-Dolphins over 42.5 at 1.94 and Vikings-Saints over 41.5 at 1.96, the model at 18% against 13%, a point.

The Bold One at 19.09 is the Packers plus one and a half at 2.53, the 49ers to win at 2.38 and the Cardinals to win at 3.17, the model at 9.8% against 5.2% implied, a quarter point. Three home underdogs and a road underdog across the same afternoon, every one a side the model has above 50% or close to it: the Packers at 62%, the 49ers at 48%, the Cardinals at 38%. It is the slip that pays for the afternoon if the model is right about where the market is wrong.

Sensible Treble — Jaguars ML 1.36 · 49ers +2.5 2.15 · Patriots ML 1.58 — at 4.62 — The three surest sides on the Sunday board. Landed at 6.20 two weeks ago. Game preview
Spread Parlay — 49ers +2.5 2.15 · Dolphins +7 1.95 · Vikings -0.5 1.83 — at 7.69 — Last week's winner at 8.33, rebuilt. Two underdogs with points and a favourite at a pick. Game preview
Totals Parlay — DET-ARI u54.5 · CIN-MIA o42.5 · MIN-NO o41.5 — at 7.70 — One under on the week's highest total, two overs the model has at 57% and 59%. Game preview
The Bold One — Packers +1.5 2.53 · 49ers ML 2.38 · Cardinals ML 3.17 — at 19.09 — Three underdogs the model likes, at 18/1. A quarter. Game preview

The slate parlays, London and the primetime nights

The early Slate Parlay at 13.29 is five props across the 6pm games: Gunnar Helm under 2.5 receptions at 1.52, Tre Tucker under 3.5 receptions at 1.62, Aaron Jones Sr. over 67.5 rushing yards at 1.86, Harold Fannin Jr. over 29.5 receiving yards at 1.56 and Matthew Golden over 53.5 receiving yards at 1.86, the model at 9.8% against 7.5% implied, a quarter point. The late Slate Parlay at 6.77 is Omarion Hampton to score at 2.35, Michael Wilson over 59.5 receiving yards at 1.60 and Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 6.5 receptions at 1.80, the model at 19.8% against 14.8%, a quarter.

The London Primetime Parlay at 4.78 is Bhayshul Tuten over 49.5 rushing yards at 1.52, Brian Thomas Jr. over 19.5 receiving yards at 1.69 and Parker Washington under 61.5 receiving yards at 1.86, the model at 21.9% against 20.9%, a quarter: a Jacksonville-runs-and-wins script. The Thursday window carries two same-game slips, the Second Receiver Ceiling at 56.83 (Jalon Daniels over 199.5 passing yards, Chris Godwin Jr. to score, Godwin over 49.5 receiving yards; the model at 10% against 1.8%, 0.15 of a point) and the Throwing Festival at 83.39 (the same two Daniels and Godwin legs with Godwin over 39.5 and Dak Prescott over 274.5; 6.4% against 1.2%, a tenth). Sunday night is the Primetime Parlay at 7.19: Derrick Henry to score at 1.62, Jahan Dotson over 14.5 receiving yards at 1.56, Mark Andrews over 24.5 at 1.53 and Zay Flowers over 59.5 at 1.86, the model at 21.2% against 13.9%, a quarter, Baltimore throwing against the 29th-ranked pass defence. Monday night is the Primetime Parlay at 4.99: James Cook III, Kyren Williams and Josh Allen all to score at 1.80, 1.54 and 1.80, the model at 20.7% against 20%, a quarter.

Primetime Parlay, BAL @ ATL — Henry TD 1.62 · Dotson o14.5 1.56 · Andrews o24.5 1.53 · Flowers o59.5 1.86 — at 7.19 — The widest gap of the primetime slips. Four short legs on one script. Game preview
Slate Parlay, Sunday late games — Hampton TD 2.35 · M. Wilson o59.5 1.60 · Smith-Njigba o6.5 rec 1.80 — at 6.77 — Three legs across the three 9pm games, each a 60% model call or better. Game preview
Primetime Parlay, PHI @ JAX — Tuten o49.5 rush 1.52 · B. Thomas o19.5 rec 1.69 · P. Washington u61.5 rec 1.86 — at 4.78 — The London edition. Jacksonville run it and win. Game preview

The touchdown accas

Seven accas on the Touchdown Parlays page this week. Sunday afternoon: Best Value at 33.59 is Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 3.40, Christian Watson at 2.60 and AJ Barner at 3.80, the model at 3.9% against 3% implied; Running Backs at 41.18 is Rodriguez, Kendre Miller at 4.25 and RJ Harvey at 2.85, 2.9% against 2.4%; Receivers at 30.23 is Dontayvion Wicks at 3.75, Watson and Mike Evans at 3.10, 4.6% against 3.3%; Tight Ends at 58.63, last week's winning edition rebuilt, is Noah Fant at 7.50, Harold Fannin Jr. at 2.95 and George Kittle at 2.65, 2.6% against 1.7%. Each is 0.15 of a point.

The early window: Best Value at 45.06 is Ollie Gordon II at 2.35, Brock Bowers at 2.50, Fannin at 2.95 and Watson at 2.60, 3.2% against 2.2%; Receivers at 44.46 is Elic Ayomanor at 6.00, Chris Olave at 2.85 and Watson, 2.4% against 2.2%. The late window's Best Value at 21.08 is Omarion Hampton at 2.35, Michael Wilson at 2.30 and AJ Barner at 3.90, the model at 5.6% against 4.7%, a quarter point and the shortest acca on the page. Christian Watson is on four of the seven: a 41% model call at 2.60 with four scores in his last five, against a Chicago defence that allows 16.3 a game. If he does not score, most of the page goes with him, which is what one player on four slips means.

Best Value, Sunday late games — Hampton 2.35 · M. Wilson 2.30 · Barner 3.90 — at 21.08 — The shortest acca on the page and the one with the widest gap. Three 9pm games. Game preview
Receivers, Sunday afternoon — Wicks 3.75 · Watson 2.60 · Evans 3.10 — at 30.23 — Wicks is Philadelphia's lead receiver if Smith sits; Evans is questionable with ribs. Check both at 1pm UK. Game preview

What to actually do with this

Last Sunday is not the template; it is the outlier the page needs once every few weeks to pay for the rest. The staking has not changed because of it: a point on the three game-market editions, a quarter on the Bold One, the slate parlays and the primetime slips, 0.15 on the accas. At those stakes the whole page is about six points for the week, and five of the 23 cross-game slips have landed since launch at an average price above 5. That is the shape of a surface that should be a small, fixed part of a week, and the receipts page is where to check it has stayed one.

The injuries that matter to the slips: Lamar Jackson's ankle for the Sunday night Primetime Parlay (Andrews, Flowers and Henry all throw or run off him), Mike Evans' ribs for the afternoon Receivers acca, DeVonta Smith's hamstring for Dontayvion Wicks' targets, Brock Bowers' knee for the early Best Value. A void leg shortens a slip; a questionable player who plays hurt does not.

Put it to work

NFL Parlays Every edition with its legs, prices, model chance and the record at the declared stakes.
Touchdown Parlays The seven accas by window, and the scorer board behind them.
Single Game Parlays The sixteen same-game slips the primetime windows draw on.