NFL Parlays Week 6: Three Winners Last Sunday, the Spread Parlay, the Primetime Slips and the Record

Published October 15, 2026 by Statz NFL.

Every parlay the engine has published for Week 6, window by window: a record of eight winners from 30, the Sunday spread parlay on three home underdogs, the slate parlays, the London and primetime editions, the touchdown accas and the honest record on every surface.

Eight from 30, and what the three winners had in common

The Short-Price Double at 2.95, the Sensible Treble at 4.62 and a Spread Parlay that landed on two legs with a push all came in last Sunday, and the record on NFL Parlays is now eight winners from 30 for 18 points staked and 39.27 returned, 21.27 up. What the three had in common: every leg was a game line, and the sides were the Patriots, the 49ers and the Jaguars, with Miami and Minnesota on the spread parlay. The slate and primetime props editions all lost, Tampa Bay at Dallas one leg short at four of five and Baltimore at Atlanta at three of four. The single-game slips that feed the primetime windows are four from 77 for 11.65 points staked and 15.83 returned, 4.18 up, and the touchdown accas are two from 59 for 14.8 staked and 10.6 returned, 4.2 down. Those are the three records, the same three we print every week.

The pages work the same way. Editions build on Tuesday and Wednesday, and again on Friday and Saturday for the Sunday windows, from the model's probabilities, at bet365 prices; some of the Sunday editions are not on the page until then, so this week's list is the one built so far. Fourteen games this week, four teams on a bye: Thursday in Denver, London on Sunday morning, ten Sunday games in two windows, Sunday night in Green Bay and Monday night in Santa Clara.

Sunday: the spread parlay, the bold one and the slate parlays

The Spread Parlay at 6.79 is three home underdogs the model likes: the Falcons plus three and a half at 1.89, the Giants plus one and a half at 1.93 and the Buccaneers plus three at 1.87, the model at 21.4% against 14.7% implied, a point. The prices are the numbers it was published at, and the exchanges now show Atlanta at plus one and a half and Tampa Bay at plus two and a half. The Bold One at 20.87 is the Falcons on the moneyline at 2.67, the Giants plus one and a half, the Buccaneers plus three and the Colts at minus six and a half at 2.17, the model at 8.6% against 4.8%, a quarter of a point. Both are built from the same board as the Week 6 column.

The early Slate Parlay at 11.12 is five props across the 6pm games: Luther Burden III over 39.5 receiving yards at 1.50, Gunnar Helm under 2.5 receptions at 1.66, Rhamondre Stevenson over 14.5 receiving yards at 1.52, Jameis Winston under 225.5 passing yards at 1.86 and Cade Otton over 24.5 receiving yards at 1.58, the model at 14.0% against 9.0%, a quarter of a point. The late Slate Parlay at 4.56 is Michael Wilson over 49.5 receiving yards at 1.58, Patrick Mahomes under 228.5 passing yards at 1.86 and James Cook III to score at 1.55, the model at 27.1% against 21.9%, a quarter.

Spread Parlay — Falcons +3.5 1.89 · Giants +1.5 1.93 · Buccaneers +3 1.87 — at 6.79 — Three home underdogs. The lines are the ones it was published at. Game preview
The Bold One — Falcons ML 2.67 · Giants +1.5 · Buccaneers +3 · Colts -6.5 2.17 — at 20.87 — The spread parlay with the Colts and the Falcons outright. A quarter of a point. Game preview
Slate Parlay, Sunday late games — M. Wilson o49.5 rec 1.58 · Mahomes u228.5 1.86 · Cook TD 1.55 — at 4.56 — The shortest edition on the page, three legs across the three 9pm games. Game preview

Thursday, London and the primetime nights

Thursday has two editions, both a quarter of a point and both built on low scoring. The Primetime Parlay at 15.44 is J.K. Dobbins under 1.5 receptions at 1.64, Courtland Sutton under 3.5 receptions at 1.58, Jaylen Waddle under 4.5 receptions at 1.80, Bo Nix under 206.5 passing yards at 1.86 and AJ Barner over 19.5 receiving yards at 1.78, the model at 17.2% against 6.5%. The Defensive Battle at 11.97 is Sam Darnold under 226.5, Rashid Shaheed under 22.5 receiving yards, Sutton under 30.5 receiving yards and Nix under 206.5, all at 1.86, 18.5% against 8.4%. The preview has the game.

London has the same shape: the Defensive Battle at 11.97 (Lawrence under 230.5, Stroud under 245.5, Collins under 75.5 receiving yards, Washington under 59.5, all at 1.86; 16.8% against 8.4%) and a Primetime Parlay at 5.19 (Collins under 75.5, Washington over 49.5 receiving yards at 1.50, Lawrence under 230.5; 16.9%). The model puts that Primetime Parlay below its implied 19.3%, so it is the one edition on the page we would not play at that price; the London preview says why the Defensive Battle is the better version.

Sunday night is the Primetime Parlay at 4.55: Javonte Williams under 3.5 receptions at 1.64, George Pickens under 5.5 receptions at 1.68 and Christian Watson over 59.5 receiving yards at 1.65, the model at 30.9% against 22.0%, the widest edge among the Sunday-night and Monday-night editions. Monday night has two: the Primetime Parlay at 5.82 (George Kittle over 59.5 receiving yards at 1.72, Jacory Croskey-Merritt over 39.5 rushing yards at 1.82, Christian McCaffrey under 37.5 receiving yards at 1.86; 19.1% against 17.2%) and the One Passing Game at 69.89 (Kittle to score and over 99.5 yards, Mike Evans over 68.5, Brock Purdy over 299.5; 6.9% against 1.4%, a tenth of a point). The previews for Sunday night and Monday night go through both.

Primetime Parlay, DAL @ GB — J. Williams u3.5 rec 1.64 · Pickens u5.5 rec 1.68 · Watson o59.5 rec 1.65 — at 4.55 — The Sunday-night edition: two receptions unders and the receiver the model rates. Game preview
Primetime Parlay, SEA @ DEN — Dobbins u1.5 rec · Sutton u3.5 rec · Waddle u4.5 rec · Nix u206.5 · Barner o19.5 rec — at 15.44 — The widest model-to-price gap among the primetime editions. Game preview
Defensive Battle, HOU @ JAX — Lawrence u230.5 · Stroud u245.5 · Collins u75.5 rec · Washington u59.5 rec — at 11.97 — The London edition worth a quarter. Game preview

The touchdown accas

Seven accas on the Touchdown Parlays page so far. The Sunday slate: Short Prices at 5.36 is Derrick Henry at 1.48, Isaiah Likely at 2.35 and James Cook III at 1.54, the model at 20.3% against 18.7%, a point; Running Backs at 34.97 is Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.50, Henry and Kenny Gainwell at 5.25, 3.3% against 2.9%; Receivers at 35.71 is Parker Washington at 2.30, Jalen Coker at 3.45 and Cody White at 4.50, 3.1% against 2.8%; Best Value at 81.51 is Brian Thomas Jr. at 5.25, Coker and Ty Johnson at 4.50, 1.4% against 1.2%. The 6pm games: Short Prices at 7.02 is Henry, Chuba Hubbard at 1.86 and Bucky Irving at 2.55, 16.1% against 14.2%, a point; Best Value at 35.52 is Harold Fannin Jr. at 2.90, Coker at 3.55 and Pat Freiermuth at 3.45, 4.2% against 2.8%. The late games: Best Value at 96.60 is Michael Wilson at 2.80, Charlie Kolar at 6.00 and Ty Johnson at 5.75, 1.8% against 1.0%.

Henry is on three of the seven: a 71% model call at 1.50 who has scored in each of his last five, which is the reason the Short Prices editions are a point and the longer ones a tenth. Jalen Coker is on three; check the injury table before the 6pm kick-offs. A void leg shortens an acca; a questionable player who plays hurt does not.

Short Prices, Sunday 6pm games — Henry 1.48 · Hubbard 1.86 · Irving 2.55 — at 7.02 — Three backs the model has scoring more often than the price says. Game preview
Short Prices, Sunday slate — Henry 1.48 · Likely 2.35 · Cook 1.54 — at 5.36 — The shortest acca of the week, across three games. Game preview

What to actually do with this

Last week is not the template; it is the afternoon the page needs now and then to pay for the rest. The staking has not changed: a point on the game-market editions and the Short Prices accas, a quarter on the Bold One, the slate parlays and the primetime slips, 0.15 or a tenth on the longer accas. At those stakes the page is about six points for the week, and eight of the 30 cross-game slips have landed since launch.

The injuries that matter to the slips: Lamar Jackson's ankle for any Baltimore leg, Caleb Williams for Chicago, Mariota and Daniels for Monday night. A void leg shortens a slip.

Our Best Bets: the Pro page

Our Best Bets are a Pro page: five-star singles and parlays, every pick graded in public. The ledger stands at 62-45, 15.85 points up at a 12.8% return, and Week 5 went nine from ten.

Put it to work

NFL Parlays Every edition with its legs, prices, model chance and the record at the declared stakes.
Touchdown Parlays The accas by window, and the scorer board behind them.
Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 62-45, +15.85 points, 12.8% ROI.