When do the Cowboys play the Eagles in Week 7?

Monday 26 October 2026, 8:15 PM ET, at Lincoln Financial Field.

What is the spread for Cowboys vs Eagles?

The Cowboys are 4.5-point favourites, with a total of 44.5 points.

Who leads the Cowboys vs Eagles series?

The Cowboys lead 9-7 over the 16 games since 2018.

What is the average score when the Cowboys play the Eagles?

49.3 points a game: the Cowboys average 25.6 and the Eagles 23.6 in their 16 meetings since 2018.

Cowboys at Eagles Preview: Week 7 Monday Night Picks, Odds and Projections

Published October 21, 2026 by Statz NFL.

Philadelphia without Jalen Hurts for the season, a 2-4 Eagles team the market has as four-and-a-half-point underdogs and a model that has it a pick'em. The one five-star side on the Week 7 board, the Dallas passing game and the props, scorers and slips for Cowboys at Eagles.

A division game with two 2-4 teams and one quarterback change

Monday night in Philadelphia kicks off at 1:15am UK time on Tuesday morning, 8:15pm Eastern, at Lincoln Financial Field, open air, on grass. Both teams are 2-4 and both had eight days. Dallas lost 23-13 at Green Bay on Sunday night; Philadelphia lost 25-14 at home to Carolina. The news is under centre: Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve with a calf injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season, which puts Tanner McKee at quarterback. The market has Dallas by four and a half at a total of 44.5, and the Eagles are 31st in the power rankings.

The tape says Dallas, and the series says Philadelphia. Dallas score 25.2 points a game, 11th, and throw for 273.2 yards, sixth, with the fifth-best third-down rate at 47.2%; they allow 26.5 points, 25th, and 149.8 rushing yards a game, the most in the league. Philadelphia score 17.7, 28th, on 4.7 yards a play, 31st, and 14.8 first downs a game, also 31st. The Eagles lead the series 4-2 and have won all three at home in it, the last two meetings split: Dallas 24-21 in Week 12 last season, Philadelphia 24-20 in Week 1. The average total is 45.7 and four of the six went under. The numbers for each side are on the Cowboys stats and Eagles stats pages, and the game page has the model.

Where the game is won

The matchup grid splits down the middle. Dallas passing against Philadelphia's pass defence is a 77% Cowboys edge, and Philadelphia passing against Dallas is a 65% Cowboys edge. On the ground it is the other way: Philadelphia running against the league's worst run defence is an 80% Eagles edge, and Dallas running into the Philadelphia front is an 87% Eagles edge, the most one-sided of the four. The Cowboys passing and Eagles rushing pages show who carries each side.

The projections: Dak Prescott 266 passing yards and 1.7 touchdowns; Javonte Williams 67 rushing yards on 17 carries; CeeDee Lamb nearly seven catches for 88 yards; George Pickens 75 yards; Tanner McKee 218 passing yards and 1.2 touchdowns; Dameon Pierce 53 rushing yards on 12 carries; DeVonta Smith 73 receiving yards. Saquon Barkley is questionable with a hamstring, Dameon Pierce is the lead back on the board, and Hollywood Brown is questionable. Philadelphia are without tackle Lane Johnson, safety Tucker Large and defensive tackle Uar Bernard; Dallas are without cornerback Josh Butler. Both depth charts are live and the injury table updates until kick-off.

The model's number

The model has Philadelphia 23.5, Dallas 23.3, a 46.8 total, and the Eagles winning 51 times in 100. The market has Dallas by four and a half, which is a gap of nearly five points on the side, the widest of the Week 7 board. Philadelphia plus four and a half at 1.94 on Kalshi is a 57.5% model call against 51.5% implied, five stars, the only five-star side on the board this week. Philadelphia on the moneyline at 2.90 on Polymarket is a 42.5% call against 34.5%, three stars. The over at 44.0 at 1.91 on Caesars is a 54% call against 50%, two stars.

The question behind a gap this size is whether the market has priced Hurts and the model has not, or the other way round. The model's player projections have McKee at quarterback; how much of the Philadelphia team number is Hurts, and whether the market has priced his absence harder than the model, is the thing I cannot tell you. It is a half-point bet for that reason.

Eagles +4.5 v the Cowboys — Spread, DAL @ PHI, Tue 1:15am UK / Mon 8:15pm ET — at 1.94 — The only five-star side this week. The model has Philadelphia 23.5, Dallas 23.3, with McKee at quarterback. Game preview
Eagles to win — Moneyline, DAL @ PHI — at 2.90 — A 42% shot at better than 9/5 at home. Game preview

Scorers, props and the slips

The props board is about the Philadelphia passing game staying small. Tanner McKee under 4.5 rushing yards at 1.86 is projected at 1.8, a 64% model call, and McKee under 2.5 carries at 1.76 is projected at 0.5, 66%, both five stars. Dallas Goedert under 39.5 receiving yards at 1.86 is projected at 33.5, 60%, five stars. On the Dallas side, Ryan Flournoy over 29.5 receiving yards at 1.86 is projected at 44, 58%, and Dak Prescott under 3.5 carries at 1.66 is projected at 2.7, 65%, both four stars.

The scorers are fades: Javonte Williams at 1.54 is a 58% call priced at 65%, CeeDee Lamb at 2.10 a 37% call priced at 48%, Dameon Pierce at 2.20 a 30% call priced at 45%, and DeVonta Smith at 2.85 a 32% call against 35%. Flournoy is the three-star scorer, a 24% call against 22%. The NFL Parlays page has a Second Receiver Ceiling at 36.46: Prescott over 255.5 passing yards at 1.86, Flournoy to score at 4.00 and Flournoy over 59.5 receiving yards at 4.90, the model at 8.0% against 2.7%, 0.15 of a point. The Single Game Parlays page has two more, both a tenth of a point: the Throwing Festival at 127.14 (Prescott over 255.5, McKee over 249.5 passing yards at 3.10, Flournoy to score at 4.50 and over 59.5 yards; 3.4% against 0.8%) and the Blowup Total at 98.87 (Pickens over 69.5 receiving yards at 2.18, Smith to score at 2.85, Prescott over 255.5, McKee over 274.5 at 4.60, Flournoy over 29.5 yards; 4.3% against 1.0%). The slips need McKee to throw and the singles do not.

Tanner McKee under 2.5 carries — QB, PHI — at 1.76 — Projected 0.5 carries. A pocket passer, not a runner. Game preview
Dallas Goedert under 39.5 receiving yards — TE, PHI — at 1.86 — Projected 33.5 yards in an offence the model has at 218 passing yards. Game preview
Ryan Flournoy over 29.5 receiving yards — WR, DAL — at 1.86 — Projected 44 yards behind Lamb and Pickens. Game preview

The verdict

The model has a pick'em and the market has Dallas by four and a half, and the quarterback change is the reason either side could be right. Philadelphia plus the points at half a point, the McKee carries under and the Goedert under on the props. The news to watch is Barkley's hamstring: if he is out, Pierce is the lead back and the run-game unit is the Eagles' only edge.

Last week's Monday night went to San Francisco 23-17, the model's ten-point projection landing as a six-point win. The Monday card of Best Bets goes out on Saturday morning.

Our Best Bets: the Pro page

Our Best Bets are a Pro page: the week's star-rated singles and parlays, every pick graded in public once the game is final. The ledger stands at 67-49, 15.44 points up at an 11.5% return, and Week 6 went five from nine.

Put it to work

Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 67-49, +15.44 points, 11.5% ROI.
Cowboys at Eagles The game page: model, matchups, injuries and odds, then the live score.
Single Game Parlays The two Monday slips, with every leg and price.
Injuries Barkley and Hollywood Brown decide the Philadelphia side.