When did the Patriots play the Bears in Week 7?

Thursday 22 October 2026, 8:15 PM ET, at Soldier Field.

What was the spread for Patriots vs Bears?

The Bears were 3-point favourites at the close, with a total of 50.5 points.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bears?

The Bears covered as 3-point favourites: Patriots 24, Bears 30.

Did Patriots vs Bears go over or under?

Over: 54 points against a total of 50.5.

Who had the most passing yards in Patriots vs Bears?

Drake Maye (NE): 24/31, 321 yards, 2 TDs.

Who had the most rushing yards in Patriots vs Bears?

D'Andre Swift (CHI): 22 carries, 78 yards, 1 TD.

Who had the most receiving yards in Patriots vs Bears?

Luther Burden III (CHI): 4 receptions, 130 yards, 1 TD.

Who leads the Bears vs Patriots series?

The series is level at 2-2 over the 4 games since 2018.

What is the average score when the Bears play the Patriots?

48 points a game: the Bears average 24.3 and the Patriots 23.8 in their 4 meetings since 2018.

Patriots at Bears Preview: Week 7 Thursday Night Picks, Odds and Projections

Published October 21, 2026 by Statz NFL.

Two 4-2 teams at Soldier Field, Chicago favoured by three and a model that has it a coin flip. The league's best rushing offence against a top-ten defence, the Patriots plus the points, and the props, scorers and slips for Patriots at Bears.

Two 4-2 teams on four days of rest

Thursday Night Football in Chicago kicks off at 1:15am UK time on Friday morning, 8:15pm Eastern, at Soldier Field, open air, on grass. Both teams are 4-2 and both had four days. New England beat the Jets 26-19 on Sunday; Chicago beat Atlanta 31-23. The market has Chicago by three at a total of 50.5, and the model has it closer than that. The full picture is on the game page.

The two teams are mirror images. Chicago run the ball better than anyone: 160.7 rushing yards a game, first in the league, and 406.7 total yards, fifth. New England score 22.7 points a game, 18th, and allow 18.8, fifth; Chicago score 25.0, 12th, and allow 19.8, sixth. New England's turnover margin is minus six, 30th in the league, the one number in the game that leans against them. The series is New England 2-1 with an average total of 46, and Chicago are 0-2 at home in it, the last a 19-3 New England win in Week 10 of 2024 with Chicago six-and-a-half-point favourites. Every number for the two sides is on the Patriots stats and Bears stats pages.

Where the game is won

The matchup grid is close on every unit. New England passing against Chicago's pass defence is a 56% Patriots edge, and New England running against Chicago's eighth-ranked run defence is 52% New England. Chicago passing against New England's pass defence is an even 50%, and Chicago running against the Patriots' ninth-ranked run defence is 57% Chicago. The Bears rushing page shows who carries the best ground game in the league, and the Patriots receiving page shows who Drake Maye throws to.

The projections: Maye 237 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 33 rushing yards; Caleb Williams 211 passing yards and 1.4 touchdowns; D'Andre Swift 51 rushing yards on 12 carries; Rhamondre Stevenson 49.5 on 11. A.J. Brown, projected at 73 receiving yards, is questionable for New England, and Chicago have Kyle Monangai and Luther Burden III on the questionable list. Chicago are without cornerback Zah Frazier; New England are without safety Brenden Schooler and tight end Julian Hill, and Harold Landry III is on the physically-unable list. Both depth charts are live and the injury table updates until kick-off.

The model's number

The model has New England 25.1, Chicago 24.7, a 49.7 total, and Chicago winning 49 times in 100. The market has Chicago by three, so the model and the market are about three and a half points apart on the side. New England plus three and a half at 1.83 on Kalshi is a 58% model call against 54.5% implied, four stars, and a half-point bet. New England on the moneyline at 2.53 on Polymarket is a 45.4% call against 39.5%, three stars, a quarter. The under at 50.5 at 2.02 is a 50% call, one star: the model total is 49.7 and the market has it, so there is no opinion on the total. Both teams' records against the line are on the Patriots ATS and Bears ATS pages.

Patriots +3.5 at the Bears — Spread, NE @ CHI, Fri 1:15am UK / Thu 8:15pm ET — at 1.83 — The model has it a coin flip. The half-point hook over the market's three is part of the price. Game preview
Patriots to win — Moneyline, NE @ CHI — at 2.53 — A 45% shot at better than 3/2 on the road. Game preview

Scorers, props and the slips

The props board is two stories: Chicago's offence goes through its running game and its tight end, and one New England receiver is underpriced. Caleb Williams under 245.5 passing yards at 1.86 is projected at 211, a 63% model call, five stars. D'Andre Swift under 14.5 carries at 1.86 is projected at 12, 63%, five stars. Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions at 1.71 is projected at 3.3, 67%, and Loveland under 44.5 receiving yards at 1.86 is projected at 38.5, 60%, both five stars. On the New England side, Efton Chism III over 20.5 receiving yards at 1.86 is projected at 47, a 64% call, five stars, and Kyle Williams under 1.5 receptions at 1.68 is projected at 1.0, 67%.

The scorer board is mostly a fade board. D'Andre Swift at 1.58 to score is a 42% model call priced at 63%, and Rhamondre Stevenson at 1.86 is a 37% call priced at 54%. The exception is Chism at 5.25, a 25% call against 19% implied, three stars: a receiver with 47 projected yards and a 5/1 price. The Single Game Parlays page has no slip on this game this week.

Efton Chism III over 20.5 receiving yards — WR, NE — at 1.86 — Projected 47 yards against a line of 20.5. Game preview
Caleb Williams under 245.5 passing yards — QB, CHI — at 1.86 — Projected 211. Chicago run the ball better than anyone. Game preview
Colston Loveland under 4.5 receptions — TE, CHI — at 1.71 — Projected 3.3 catches in an offence that runs. Game preview

The verdict

A coin flip the market has at three points is a bet on the points, and half a point is the size of it. The props are the cleaner edge: Chism over, Williams and Loveland under. Chicago's running game is the one unit the grid gives clearly to either side, 57% Chicago, which is why the Williams and Swift unders are the model's read of how the game is played. Last week's Thursday landed: Denver won 17-14 in overtime, and the plus points and the moneyline at 2.30 both came in.

The news to watch is A.J. Brown. If he is ruled out before the 1:15am kick-off, the targets he leaves go to the rest of the New England receivers and the side becomes a pass.

Our Best Bets: the Pro page

Every week's star-rated singles and parlays live on the Best Bets page, a Pro feature, and every pick on it is graded in public once the game is final. The ledger stands at 67-49, 15.44 points up at an 11.5% return, and Thursday's pick is on the page now.

Thursday Night Best Bet — NE @ CHI · Best Bets, Pro — The pick, its price and the model's reasoning are on the Best Bets page. Best Bets

Put it to work

Best Bets (Pro) Star-rated singles and parlays, every one graded in public: 67-49, +15.44 points, 11.5% ROI.
Patriots at Bears The game page: model, matchups, injuries and odds, then the live score.
Injuries A.J. Brown is the name that decides the New England side.
Props Tool Every priced prop the model rates for Thursday night.