No, Chesterfield have taken 15 points over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 4.62 fewer than the 19.62 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Chesterfield create 2.20 expected goals (xG) per game over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 22.00 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 5.00 fewer than that xG would expect.
Chesterfield allow 1.22 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 12.22 in all, and have conceded 14 goals from those chances, 1.78 more than that xGA would expect.
Lee Bonis has the most expected goals (xG) for Chesterfield over 10 League Two games in 2026/2027, 5.61 xG in 10 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Dilan Markanday is next with 2.78 xG.
Chesterfield have taken 4.6 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: -5.0 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 10 | 22.00 | 17 | -5.00 | 12.22 | 14 | -1.78 | 19.62 | 15 | -4.62 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.21 | 11 | -1.21 | 4.40 | 7 | -2.60 | 11.32 | 10 | -1.32 |
| Home | 5 | 12.41 | 10 | -2.41 | 5.42 | 7 | -1.58 | 10.83 | 8 | -2.83 |
| Away | 5 | 9.59 | 7 | -2.59 | 6.80 | 7 | -0.20 | 8.79 | 7 | -1.79 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | League Two | Crawley (A) | 2-2 | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.43 | 1 | W |
| 3 Oct | League Two | Tranmere (H) | 4-2 | 2.88 | 0.37 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| 26 Sep | League Two | Cheltenham (A) | 2-1 | 2.14 | 1.02 | 2.09 | 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | League Two | York (H) | 2-0 | 2.82 | 0.33 | 2.73 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | League Two | Oldham (A) | 1-2 | 2.50 | 0.87 | 2.35 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | League Two | Barnet (H) | 3-3 | 2.03 | 2.31 | 1.24 | 1 | L |
| 1 Sep | League Two | Gillingham (H) | 1-1 | 2.20 | 0.89 | 2.20 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | League Two | Rotherham (A) | 2-1 | 1.10 | 2.52 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | League Two | Salford (A) | 0-1 | 1.98 | 0.58 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | League Two | Fleetwood (H) | 0-1 | 2.48 | 1.52 | 1.94 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie Marsh | attacker | 7 | 496 | 2.58 | 5 | +2.42 | 0.47 |
| Josh Koroma | attacker | 9 | 539 | 2.53 | 3 | +0.47 | 0.42 |
| Dilan Markanday | attacker | 10 | 871 | 2.78 | 3 | +0.22 | 0.29 |
| Liam Mandeville | midfielder | 10 | 402 | 1.33 | 1 | -0.33 | 0.30 |
| Kyle McFadzean | defender | 9 | 810 | 0.60 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.07 |
| J. Randall | midfielder | 6 | 245 | 1.66 | 1 | -0.66 | 0.61 |
| Lewis Gordon | defender | 10 | 869 | 0.68 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.07 |
| Jack Simpson | defender | 10 | 900 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.08 |
| Lee Bonis | attacker | 10 | 755 | 5.61 | 4 | -1.61 | 0.67 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 8 | 15.1 | 20 | 11.9 | 11 | 12.9 | 18 | +5.1 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 10 | 9.1 | 11 | 15.7 | 12 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham Town | 10 | 11.5 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 10.5 | 15 | +4.5 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 10 | 13.2 | 12 | 12.8 | 7 | 13.8 | 18 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Salford City | 10 | 12.9 | 15 | 11.1 | 10 | 14.9 | 19 | +4.1 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 10 | 12.3 | 15 | 14.4 | 10 | 12.8 | 16 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Swindon Town | 10 | 9.9 | 9 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +2 |
| 8 | Walsall | 9 | 15.2 | 12 | 13.6 | 6 | 13.5 | 15 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 12 | 10 | 16.8 | 11 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Tranmere Rovers | 10 | 13.2 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| 11 | Newport County | 10 | 12.3 | 13 | 12.9 | 12 | 14.1 | 13 | -1.1 |
| 12 | York City | 9 | 17.3 | 17 | 11.7 | 11 | 16.2 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 13 | Colchester United | 9 | 12.8 | 10 | 15.2 | 13 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 18.4 | 15 | 12.9 | 17 | 16.4 | 15 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Exeter City | 10 | 11.7 | 6 | 12.2 | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 8 | 6.1 | 4 | 8.7 | 7 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury Town | 10 | 11.7 | 9 | 11.2 | 15 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 18 | Accrington Stanley | 10 | 15.4 | 13 | 14.9 | 14 | 14.4 | 11 | -3.4 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 18.2 | 13 | 13.1 | 11 | 17.2 | 13 | -4.2 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 8 | 10.7 | 4 | 7.7 | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | -4.4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 8 | 12.6 | 8 | 16.6 | 15 | 9.5 | 5 | -4.5 |
| 22 | Chesterfield | 10 | 22 | 17 | 12.2 | 14 | 19.6 | 15 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Rotherham United | 10 | 14.6 | 12 | 12.8 | 16 | 14.6 | 10 | -4.6 |
| 24 | Oldham Athletic | 9 | 12.5 | 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |