Scottish Premiership Player xG Stats 2026/2027

Which players are scoring more than their chances deserved, and which are due a goal.

Updated 1 November 2026, after the last game

Scottish Premiership player expected goals 2026/2027

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Cláudio Braga	Hearts	11	5	6.3	-1.3
2	S. Palmer-Houlden	Motherwell	10	2	5.6	-3.6
3	Kevin Nisbet	Aberdeen	11	5	5.1	-0.1
4	Camilo Durán	Celtic	12	7	5.1	+2.0
5	Kasper Høgh	Celtic	9	3	5.0	-2.0
6	Benjamin Nygren	Celtic	12	6	4.7	+1.3
7	Jacob Murrell	Falkirk	10	5	4.7	+0.3
8	Josh Fowler	St. Johnstone	12	6	4.6	+1.4
9	Ryan Don Naderi	Rangers	10	5	4.4	+0.6
10	Tawanda Maswanhise	Motherwell	12	2	4.2	-2.2
11	Daniel Bennie	Dundee United	11	1	3.9	-2.9
12	Joe Hugill	Kilmarnock	12	2	3.8	-1.8
13	Joe Westley	Dundee	8	3	3.6	-0.6
14	Tyreece John-Jules	Kilmarnock	12	1	3.4	-2.4
15	Greg Kiltie	Kilmarnock	12	3	3.2	-0.2
16	Kevin Kelsy	Rangers	7	4	3.2	+0.8
17	Calvin Miller	Hearts	11	5	3.2	+1.9
18	Min-su Kim	Rangers	9	0	3.1	-3.1
19	Bradley Fink	Dundee	9	4	3.0	+1.0
20	Josh Mulligan	Hibernian	11	0	2.9	-2.9
21	Djeidi Gassama	Rangers	11	0	2.8	-2.8
22	Lachlan Rose	Dundee United	11	1	2.8	-1.8
23	Killian Phillips	St. Mirren	8	3	2.6	+0.4
24	Martin Boyle	Hibernian	8	3	2.6	+0.4
25	Ashley Hay	Dundee	6	3	2.6	+0.4
26	Lawrence Shankland	Rangers	5	3	2.4	+0.6
27	James Wilson	Hearts	10	3	2.3	+0.7
28	Zachary Sapsford	Dundee United	10	3	2.2	+0.8
29	Nathan Lowe	Hibernian	8	1	2.2	-1.2
30	Lukas Fadinger	Motherwell	11	2	2.2	-0.2
31	R. Paton	St. Johnstone	9	1	2.1	-1.1
32	Mika Baur	Celtic	10	2	2.0	0.0
33	Calvin Ramsay	St. Mirren	10	1	2.0	-1.0
34	Hyun-jun Yang	Celtic	5	2	1.9	+0.1
35	Jesse Randall	Dundee United	11	2	1.9	+0.1
36	J. Young	St. Mirren	12	0	1.8	-1.8
37	Alex Lowry	Motherwell	9	3	1.8	+1.3
38	Kieran Tierney	Celtic	10	1	1.7	-0.7
39	Josh McPake	Hearts	10	3	1.7	+1.3
40	Nikolas Agrafiotis	St. Mirren	4	1	1.6	-0.6
41	Ibrahim Said	Motherwell	11	2	1.6	+0.4
42	Jamie Gullan	St. Johnstone	9	0	1.5	-1.5
43	George Stanger	Kilmarnock	12	1	1.5	-0.5
44	Ante Suto	Hibernian	8	0	1.5	-1.5
45	Brad Joseph Lyons	Aberdeen	5	1	1.4	-0.4
46	Eseosa Sule	St. Mirren	12	2	1.4	+0.6
47	Samuel Ramos	St. Mirren	7	1	1.4	-0.4
48	Owen Eames	Falkirk	8	1	1.3	-0.3
49	James Forrest	Celtic	9	0	1.3	-1.3
50	Owen Elding	Hibernian	8	2	1.3	+0.7

Scottish Premiership player expected goals per 90 2026/2027

#	Player	Team	Apps	Minutes	Goals	xG per 90
1	S. Palmer-Houlden	Motherwell	10	598	2	0.84
2	Kasper Høgh	Celtic	9	540	3	0.83
3	Kevin Kelsy	Rangers	7	430	4	0.67
4	Cláudio Braga	Hearts	11	892	5	0.64
5	Jacob Murrell	Falkirk	10	709	5	0.59
6	Joe Westley	Dundee	8	562	3	0.58
7	Lawrence Shankland	Rangers	5	364	3	0.58
8	Daniel Bennie	Dundee United	11	605	1	0.57
9	Camilo Durán	Celtic	12	813	7	0.56
10	Ryan Don Naderi	Rangers	10	700	5	0.56
11	Ashley Hay	Dundee	6	415	3	0.56
12	Josh Fowler	St. Johnstone	12	784	6	0.53
13	Kevin Nisbet	Aberdeen	11	902	5	0.51
14	Benjamin Nygren	Celtic	12	850	6	0.50
15	Bradley Fink	Dundee	9	582	4	0.47
16	Tawanda Maswanhise	Motherwell	12	824	2	0.46
17	Martin Boyle	Hibernian	8	505	3	0.46
18	Nathan Lowe	Hibernian	8	436	1	0.46
19	Hyun-jun Yang	Celtic	5	377	2	0.46
20	Min-su Kim	Rangers	9	650	0	0.43
21	Calvin Miller	Hearts	11	692	5	0.41
22	Tyreece John-Jules	Kilmarnock	12	771	1	0.40
23	James Wilson	Hearts	10	515	3	0.40
24	Zachary Sapsford	Dundee United	10	538	3	0.38
25	R. Paton	St. Johnstone	9	517	1	0.36
26	Djeidi Gassama	Rangers	11	720	0	0.35
27	Killian Phillips	St. Mirren	8	696	3	0.34
28	Joe Hugill	Kilmarnock	12	1066	2	0.32
29	Brad Joseph Lyons	Aberdeen	5	406	1	0.32
30	Greg Kiltie	Kilmarnock	12	1003	3	0.29
31	Ayoub Mouloua	Aberdeen	11	385	2	0.28
32	Josh Mulligan	Hibernian	11	975	0	0.27
33	Jamie Gullan	St. Johnstone	9	505	0	0.27
34	Alex Lowry	Motherwell	9	602	3	0.26
35	Mika Baur	Celtic	10	814	2	0.23
36	Lyall Cameron	Dundee United	6	461	2	0.23
37	Lukas Fadinger	Motherwell	11	898	2	0.22
38	Calvin Ramsay	St. Mirren	10	835	1	0.22
39	Jesse Randall	Dundee United	11	756	2	0.22
40	Kieran Tierney	Celtic	10	720	1	0.22
41	Eseosa Sule	St. Mirren	12	578	2	0.22
42	Owen Elding	Hibernian	8	524	2	0.22
43	Marko Ivezić	Hibernian	4	360	1	0.22
44	Lewis Mayo	Aberdeen	7	561	1	0.20
45	Josh McPake	Hearts	10	789	3	0.19
46	Owen Eames	Falkirk	8	648	1	0.19
47	Taylor Steven	St. Johnstone	10	600	1	0.19
48	Luke Thomas	St. Mirren	12	469	0	0.19
49	Callum Wright	Hibernian	7	411	2	0.19
50	Ibrahim Said	Motherwell	11	774	2	0.18

Scottish Premiership player expected goals 2026/2027, at home

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Cláudio Braga	Hearts	5	4	4.2	-0.2
2	Ryan Don Naderi	Rangers	5	4	3.7	+0.3
3	Jacob Murrell	Falkirk	5	2	3.6	-1.6
4	Kevin Nisbet	Aberdeen	6	3	3.6	-0.6
5	Josh Fowler	St. Johnstone	6	4	3.1	+0.9
6	Daniel Bennie	Dundee United	5	1	2.9	-1.9
7	Joe Westley	Dundee	5	3	2.8	+0.2
8	Benjamin Nygren	Celtic	6	4	2.8	+1.2
9	Calvin Miller	Hearts	5	4	2.8	+1.2
10	Kevin Kelsy	Rangers	4	3	2.5	+0.5
11	S. Palmer-Houlden	Motherwell	5	1	2.5	-1.5
12	Tyreece John-Jules	Kilmarnock	6	1	2.3	-1.3
13	Camilo Durán	Celtic	6	5	2.2	+2.8
14	Tawanda Maswanhise	Motherwell	6	0	2.2	-2.2
15	Min-su Kim	Rangers	4	0	2.0	-2.0
16	Martin Boyle	Hibernian	5	2	1.8	+0.2
17	Nathan Lowe	Hibernian	4	0	1.8	-1.8
18	Lachlan Rose	Dundee United	5	1	1.8	-0.8
19	J. Young	St. Mirren	6	0	1.7	-1.7
20	Joe Hugill	Kilmarnock	6	0	1.5	-1.5
21	Bradley Fink	Dundee	5	2	1.5	+0.5
22	Djeidi Gassama	Rangers	5	0	1.4	-1.4
23	Kasper Høgh	Celtic	4	0	1.4	-1.4
24	R. Paton	St. Johnstone	5	0	1.3	-1.3
25	Samuel Ramos	St. Mirren	4	1	1.3	-0.3
26	Lewis Mayo	Aberdeen	4	1	1.2	-0.2
27	Owen Elding	Hibernian	5	2	1.2	+0.8
28	Lukas Fadinger	Motherwell	5	1	1.2	-0.2
29	Killian Phillips	St. Mirren	4	1	1.1	-0.1
30	Ashley Hay	Dundee	3	2	1.1	+0.9
31	Calvin Ramsay	St. Mirren	5	1	1.1	-0.1
32	Greg Kiltie	Kilmarnock	6	2	1.1	+1.0
33	Jesse Randall	Dundee United	5	0	1.0	-1.0
34	Taylor Steven	St. Johnstone	5	1	1.0	0.0
35	Josh Mulligan	Hibernian	6	0	1.0	-1.0
36	Callum Osmand	Celtic	3	2	1.0	+1.0
37	Jason Holt	St. Johnstone	6	0	1.0	-1.0
38	Laurent Mendy	Hearts	4	1	1.0	0.0
39	Finn Yeats	Falkirk	4	0	1.0	-1.0
40	Nikolas Agrafiotis	St. Mirren	2	1	0.9	+0.1
41	Joe Bevan	Dundee	6	2	0.9	+1.1
42	Ethan Hamilton	Dundee	6	0	0.9	-0.9
43	Josh McPake	Hearts	5	2	0.9	+1.2
44	Zachary Sapsford	Dundee United	5	1	0.9	+0.2
45	Nicolas Raskin	Rangers	5	0	0.8	-0.8
46	Ante Suto	Hibernian	4	0	0.8	-0.8
47	Paul Nsio	St. Mirren	5	1	0.8	+0.2
48	Aaron Tshibola	Kilmarnock	5	0	0.8	-0.8
49	Charlie Reilly	Dundee	4	1	0.8	+0.2
50	Eythor Bjørgolfsson	Motherwell	5	0	0.7	-0.7

Scottish Premiership player expected goals 2026/2027, away from home

#	Player	Team	Apps	Goals	xG	Goals minus xG
1	Kasper Høgh	Celtic	5	3	3.6	-0.6
2	S. Palmer-Houlden	Motherwell	5	1	3.1	-2.1
3	Camilo Durán	Celtic	6	2	2.8	-0.8
4	Joe Hugill	Kilmarnock	6	2	2.3	-0.3
5	Greg Kiltie	Kilmarnock	6	1	2.2	-1.2
6	Cláudio Braga	Hearts	6	1	2.1	-1.1
7	Lawrence Shankland	Rangers	3	3	2.0	+1.0
8	Tawanda Maswanhise	Motherwell	6	2	2.0	0.0
9	Benjamin Nygren	Celtic	6	2	1.9	+0.1
10	Josh Mulligan	Hibernian	5	0	1.9	-1.9
11	James Wilson	Hearts	5	2	1.8	+0.2
12	Kevin Nisbet	Aberdeen	5	2	1.6	+0.5
13	Bradley Fink	Dundee	4	2	1.5	+0.5
14	Mika Baur	Celtic	5	1	1.5	-0.5
15	Ashley Hay	Dundee	3	1	1.5	-0.5
16	Killian Phillips	St. Mirren	4	2	1.5	+0.5
17	Josh Fowler	St. Johnstone	6	2	1.5	+0.5
18	George Stanger	Kilmarnock	6	1	1.4	-0.4
19	Djeidi Gassama	Rangers	6	0	1.4	-1.4
20	Hyun-jun Yang	Celtic	2	1	1.4	-0.4
21	Zachary Sapsford	Dundee United	5	2	1.4	+0.6
22	Dan Neil	Rangers	5	0	1.1	-1.1
23	James Forrest	Celtic	4	0	1.1	-1.1
24	Tyreece John-Jules	Kilmarnock	6	0	1.1	-1.1
25	Jamie Gullan	St. Johnstone	5	0	1.1	-1.1
26	Jacob Murrell	Falkirk	5	3	1.1	+1.9
27	Kieran Tierney	Celtic	5	0	1.1	-1.1
28	Ibrahim Said	Motherwell	6	2	1.1	+0.9
29	Min-su Kim	Rangers	5	0	1.1	-1.1
30	Alex Lowry	Motherwell	5	2	1.1	+0.9
31	Lukas Fadinger	Motherwell	6	1	1.0	0.0
32	Lachlan Rose	Dundee United	6	0	1.0	-1.0
33	Daniel Bennie	Dundee United	6	0	1.0	-1.0
34	Dujon Sterling	Rangers	5	0	1.0	-1.0
35	Eseosa Sule	St. Mirren	6	1	1.0	+0.1
36	Calvin Ramsay	St. Mirren	5	0	0.9	-0.9
37	Josh Campbell	St. Johnstone	4	1	0.9	+0.1
38	Michael Schjönning-Larsen	Kilmarnock	6	0	0.9	-0.9
39	Ben Krauhaus	Falkirk	6	1	0.9	+0.2
40	Jesse Randall	Dundee United	6	2	0.8	+1.2
41	R. Paton	St. Johnstone	4	1	0.8	+0.2
42	Josh McPake	Hearts	5	1	0.8	+0.2
43	Joe Westley	Dundee	3	0	0.8	-0.8
44	Marko Ivezić	Hibernian	2	1	0.8	+0.2
45	Lyall Cameron	Dundee United	3	2	0.8	+1.2
46	Martin Boyle	Hibernian	3	1	0.8	+0.2
47	Callum McGregor	Celtic	6	0	0.7	-0.7
48	Owen Bevan	Dundee	5	2	0.7	+1.3
49	Callum Wright	Hibernian	4	2	0.7	+1.3
50	Sebastian Tounekti	Celtic	5	0	0.7	-0.7

How these player xG numbers are calculated

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a player gets, with every shot scored between 0 and 1 by how often shots like it are converted. A player's xG is those values added up, so the gap between the goals they scored and their xG shows whether they finished better or worse than their chances deserved. Underlying data is supplied by Sportmonks. What is a good xG?

Scottish Premiership Player xG Stats Questions

Which Scottish Premiership player has had the most xG this season?

Cláudio Braga of Hearts has had the most xG in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, 6.31 from eleven appearances, and has scored 5 goals from it. S. Palmer-Houlden is next on 5.56.

Who are the biggest xG overperformers in the Scottish Premiership this season?

Camilo Durán of Celtic is the biggest xG overperformer in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, with 7 goals from chances worth 5.05 xG, a gap of 1.95. Calvin Miller is next on 1.85.

Who are the biggest xG underperformers in the Scottish Premiership this season?

S. Palmer-Houlden of Motherwell is the biggest xG underperformer in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, with 2 goals from chances worth 5.56 xG, a shortfall of 3.56. Min-su Kim is next on 3.09.

Which Scottish Premiership player has the highest xG per 90 this season?

S. Palmer-Houlden of Motherwell has the highest xG per 90 in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, 0.84 from 598 minutes across ten appearances, the best of anyone past 360 minutes. Kasper Høgh is next on 0.83.

Which Scottish Premiership midfielder has had the most xG this season?

Calvin Miller of Hearts has had the most xG of any midfielder in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, 3.15 from eleven appearances, and has scored 5 goals from it. Josh Mulligan is next on 2.88.

Which Scottish Premiership defender has had the most xG this season?

Calvin Ramsay of St. Mirren has had the most xG of any defender in the Scottish Premiership in 2026/2027, 2.01 from ten appearances, and has scored 1 goal from it. Kieran Tierney is next on 1.73.

Do Scottish Premiership players score more than their xG on average?

No. Scottish Premiership players have scored 185 goals in 2026/2027 from chances worth 226.6 xG, 82% of what they deserved and 41.6 goals short. That is down from 93% in 2025/2026.