Walsall xG 2026/2027

Walsall xG Questions

Are Walsall overperforming their xG?

No, Walsall have taken 27 points over their last 20 League Two games, 3.66 fewer than the 30.66 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Walsall's xG per game?

Walsall create 1.67 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 League Two games, 33.32 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 8.32 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Walsall's xGA per game?

Walsall allow 1.39 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 League Two games, 27.87 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 4.87 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Walsall?

Aaron Pressley has the most expected goals (xG) for Walsall over their last 20 League Two games, 7.27 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 6 goals; Daniel Kanu is next with 5.29 xG.

Walsall expected goals 2026/2027: last 20

Games: 20
Expected goals (xG): 33.32
Goals scored: 25
Goals minus xG: -8.32
Expected goals against (xGA): 27.87
Goals conceded: 23
xGA minus goals conceded: +4.87
Expected points (xPts): 30.66
Points: 27
Points minus xPts: -3.66
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Walsall overperforming their expected goals?

Walsall have taken 3.7 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -8.3 goals against their xG, and +4.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Swindon expected goals

Games: 10
Swindon xG per game: 0.99
Swindon xGA per game: 1.80
Points minus xPts: +2.04
Verdict: Running a little hot

Walsall results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 20	20	33.32	25	-8.32	27.87	23	+4.87	30.66	27	-3.66
Last 10	10	17.04	13	-4.04	15.82	9	+6.82	14.73	15	+0.27
Last 5	5	6.70	4	-2.70	6.52	2	+4.52	7.27	7	-0.27
Home	9	14.01	9	-5.01	11.62	11	+0.62	14.04	13	-1.04
Away	11	19.31	16	-3.31	16.25	12	+4.25	16.62	14	-2.62

Walsall expected goals match by match, last 20

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
10 Oct	League Two	Fleetwood (A)	1-1	0.92	1.44	0.99	1	L
26 Sep	League Two	Tranmere (A)	1-1	1.25	2.75	0.61	1	L
19 Sep	League Two	Port Vale (H)	2-0	1.36	0.49	2.04	3	W
12 Sep	League Two	Rochdale (H)	0-0	1.99	0.59	2.31	1	W
5 Sep	League Two	Exeter City (A)	0-0	1.18	1.25	1.32	1	L
1 Sep	League Two	Crewe (A)	2-2	1.86	2.04	1.29	1	L
29 Aug	League Two	Accrington (H)	3-2	2.63	2.37	1.54	3	W
22 Aug	League Two	Grimsby (H)	0-0	1.07	1.16	1.28	1	L
15 Aug	League Two	Gillingham (A)	0-3	2.91	1.46	2.17	3	W
2 May	League Two	Bromley (A)	3-1	1.87	2.27	1.18	0	L
25 Apr	League Two	Harrogate Town (H)	0-2	0.82	1.17	1.08	0	L
18 Apr	League Two	Barrow (A)	1-3	2.25	0.96	2.18	3	W
11 Apr	League Two	Cheltenham (H)	0-4	0.98	2.38	0.59	0	L
6 Apr	League Two	Swindon (A)	2-1	1.54	1.32	1.53	0	W
3 Apr	League Two	Gillingham (H)	2-2	2.41	1.66	1.82	1	W
28 Mar	League Two	Colchester (A)	1-1	1.12	1.48	1.12	1	L
21 Mar	League Two	Newport (H)	2-1	1.76	0.86	2.00	3	W
17 Mar	League Two	Cambridge (H)	0-0	0.99	0.94	1.38	1	W
14 Mar	League Two	Crewe (A)	0-3	3.49	0.54	2.75	3	W
10 Mar	League Two	Salford (A)	1-0	0.92	0.74	1.48	0	W

Walsall players: goals against expected goals, last 20

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Harrison Burke	defender	12	736	0.34	2	+1.66	0.04
Albert Adomah	attacker	15	732	1.45	3	+1.55	0.18
James Connolly	defender	8	720	1.56	2	+0.44	0.19
Reece Smith	attacker	9	728	1.62	2	+0.38	0.20
Isaac Moore	midfielder	9	612	0.66	1	+0.34	0.10
Mason Hancock	defender	20	1705	1.67	2	+0.33	0.09
Alexander Pattison	midfielder	7	429	0.76	1	+0.24	0.16
Andrew Dallas	attacker	9	420	0.84	1	+0.16	0.18
Jamie Jellis	midfielder	11	623	0.86	1	+0.14	0.12
Jid Okeke	defender	7	372	1.17	1	-0.17	0.28
Aaron Loupalo-Bi	attacker	9	447	1.42	1	-0.42	0.29
Aden Flint	defender	9	703	0.56	0	-0.56	0.07
K. Łopata	defender	6	322	0.60	0	-0.60	0.17
Antony Evans	midfielder	3	143	0.83	0	-0.83	0.52
Priestley Farquharson	defender	5	437	0.85	0	-0.85	0.18
Charlie Lakin	midfielder	11	906	0.95	0	-0.95	0.09
Courtney Clarke	midfielder	14	711	0.98	0	-0.98	0.12
Aaron Pressley	attacker	19	1192	7.27	6	-1.27	0.55
Lewis Simper	midfielder	9	515	1.38	0	-1.38	0.24
Tai Sodje	attacker	8	321	1.60	0	-1.60	0.45
Daniel Kanu	attacker	10	804	5.29	2	-3.29	0.59

League Two 2026/2027: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Barnet	8	15.1	20	11.9	11	12.9	18	+5.1
2	Rochdale	10	9.1	11	15.7	12	9.4	14	+4.6
3	Cheltenham Town	10	11.5	16	17	16	10.5	15	+4.5
4	Crewe Alexandra	10	13.2	12	12.8	7	13.8	18	+4.2
5	Salford City	10	12.9	15	11.1	10	14.9	19	+4.1
6	Gillingham	10	12.3	15	14.4	10	12.8	16	+3.2
7	Swindon Town	10	9.9	9	18	14	9	11	+2
8	Walsall	9	15.2	12	13.6	6	13.5	15	+1.5
9	Fleetwood Town	10	12	10	16.8	11	11.1	11	-0.1
10	Tranmere Rovers	10	13.2	13	16	13	12.2	12	-0.2
11	Newport County	10	12.3	13	12.9	12	14.1	13	-1.1
12	York City	9	17.3	17	11.7	11	16.2	15	-1.2
13	Colchester United	9	12.8	10	15.2	13	11.2	10	-1.2
14	Bristol Rovers	10	18.4	15	12.9	17	16.4	15	-1.4
15	Exeter City	10	11.7	6	12.2	6	13.4	12	-1.4
16	Northampton Town	8	6.1	4	8.7	7	9.2	7	-2.2
17	Shrewsbury Town	10	11.7	9	11.2	15	14.1	11	-3.1
18	Accrington Stanley	10	15.4	13	14.9	14	14.4	11	-3.4
19	Grimsby Town	10	18.2	13	13.1	11	17.2	13	-4.2
20	Port Vale	8	10.7	4	7.7	9	12.4	8	-4.4
21	Crawley Town	8	12.6	8	16.6	15	9.5	5	-4.5
22	Chesterfield	10	22	17	12.2	14	19.6	15	-4.6
23	Rotherham United	10	14.6	12	12.8	16	14.6	10	-4.6
24	Oldham Athletic	9	12.5	9	11.5	13	12.7	8	-4.7

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