Palmeiras xG 2026

Palmeiras xG Questions

Are Palmeiras overperforming their xG this season?

Yes, Palmeiras have taken 69 points over 32 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 17.15 more than the 51.85 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Palmeiras's xG per game this season?

Palmeiras create 1.45 expected goals (xG) per game over 32 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 46.42 in all, and have scored 56 goals from those chances, 9.58 more than that xG would expect.

What is Palmeiras's xGA per game this season?

Palmeiras allow 1.00 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 32 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 31.94 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 9.94 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Palmeiras this season?

Vitor Roque has the most expected goals (xG) for Palmeiras over 32 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 6.44 xG in 18 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; José Manuel López is next with 5.94 xG.

Palmeiras expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 32
Expected goals (xG): 46.42
Goals scored: 56
Goals minus xG: +9.58
Expected goals against (xGA): 31.94
Goals conceded: 22
xGA minus goals conceded: +9.94
Expected points (xPts): 51.85
Points: 69
Points minus xPts: +17.15
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are Palmeiras overperforming their expected goals?

Palmeiras have taken 17.2 points more than their chances warranted over 32 games: +9.6 goals against their xG, and +9.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Next opponent: Santos expected goals

Games: 32
Santos xG per game: 1.34
Santos xGA per game: 1.24
Points minus xPts: +0.26
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Palmeiras results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	32	46.42	56	+9.58	31.94	22	+9.94	51.85	69	+17.15
Last 10	10	19.97	18	-1.97	10.88	6	+4.88	18.32	21	+2.68
Last 5	5	12.15	9	-3.15	4.34	1	+3.34	10.63	13	+2.37
Home	16	28.73	30	+1.27	13.86	10	+3.86	30.48	39	+8.52
Away	16	17.69	26	+8.31	18.08	12	+6.08	21.37	30	+8.63

Palmeiras expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
24 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	2-0	4.01	0.57	2.77	3	W
17 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (A)	0-2	0.47	1.19	0.75	3	L
11 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (H)	4-1	2.53	0.99	2.28	3	W
9 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	1-0	2.39	0.67	2.42	3	W
20 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	0-0	2.75	0.92	2.41	1	W
12 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	2-0	2.43	1.08	2.19	3	W
6 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (A)	0-0	1.10	1.12	1.34	1	L
30 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	1-1	1.42	0.84	1.79	1	W
23 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (H)	4-1	1.74	1.62	1.46	3	W
15 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	3-2	1.13	1.88	0.91	0	L
9 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	0-0	1.43	0.42	2.14	1	W
30 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	0-4	1.57	0.52	2.14	3	W
26 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (H)	1-2	2.11	1.13	2.00	0	W
22 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (A)	1-3	0.85	1.74	0.78	3	L
31 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (H)	1-0	0.78	1.27	0.98	3	L
24 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (A)	0-3	1.63	1.55	1.44	3	W
17 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (H)	1-1	1.13	0.64	1.74	1	W
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (A)	1-1	1.72	0.94	1.91	1	W
2 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	1-1	2.07	0.87	2.15	1	W
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	0-1	0.53	1.00	0.92	3	L
19 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (H)	1-0	0.53	0.53	1.27	3	D
12 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	0-0	0.78	0.43	1.63	1	W
5 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	1-2	0.34	1.28	0.59	3	L
3 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	2-1	0.87	0.62	1.55	3	W
22 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (A)	0-1	0.21	0.05	1.33	3	D
18 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	2-1	2.03	0.57	2.34	3	W
15 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	1-0	0.64	0.87	1.12	3	L
12 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (A)	2-1	0.88	1.33	1.02	0	L
26 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	2-1	1.96	1.38	1.75	3	W
13 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	1-3	0.90	2.66	0.46	3	L

Palmeiras players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Mauricio	midfielder	27	1615	5.63	10	+4.37	0.31
José Manuel López	attacker	29	2146	5.94	9	+3.06	0.25
Agustín Giay	defender	25	1736	1.36	3	+1.64	0.07
Felipe Anderson	attacker	23	646	0.47	2	+1.53	0.07
Allan	attacker	21	1553	2.99	4	+1.01	0.17
Ramón Sosa	attacker	24	1140	3.03	4	+0.97	0.24
Gustavo Gómez	defender	28	2459	3.11	4	+0.89	0.11
Joaquín Piquerez	defender	16	1251	0.57	1	+0.43	0.04
Paulinho	attacker	7	157	1.97	2	+0.03	1.13
Murilo	defender	27	2265	2.10	2	-0.10	0.08
Jhon Arias	attacker	26	1832	4.15	4	-0.15	0.20
Marlon Freitas	midfielder	29	2458	2.21	2	-0.21	0.08
Alexander Barboza	defender	10	817	1.23	1	-0.23	0.14
Arthur Gabriel	defender	22	1291	0.53	0	-0.53	0.04
Lucas Evangelista	midfielder	27	989	1.00	0	-1.00	0.09
Andreas Pereira	midfielder	30	2422	2.42	1	-1.42	0.09
Vitor Roque	attacker	18	867	6.44	5	-1.44	0.67

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	32	46.4	56	31.9	22	51.9	69	+17.1
2	Flamengo	31	53.7	61	31.6	25	55.9	67	+11.1
3	Athletico PR	32	42.8	50	37.9	38	46.9	54	+7.1
4	Cruzeiro	32	46.4	51	41.8	46	48	54	+6
5	Coritiba	31	33.1	38	49.1	49	33.5	39	+5.5
6	Fluminense	32	43.6	50	40.5	41	45.9	51	+5.1
7	Atlético Mineiro	31	42.7	42	39.1	35	44.9	50	+5.1
8	Bahia	32	50.1	45	44.5	40	48.1	50	+1.9
9	Vitória	32	33	35	46.2	46	37.1	38	+0.9
10	Santos	32	42.8	49	39.6	47	45.7	46	+0.3
11	Grêmio	31	32.5	34	51.4	44	31.9	31	-0.9
12	Botafogo	32	40	44	45.3	51	41.3	39	-2.3
13	Mirassol	32	43	37	49.3	45	40.5	37	-3.5
14	São Paulo	32	47.3	37	39.3	36	47.6	43	-4.6
15	Bragantino	32	46.9	39	45	38	46.2	41	-5.2
16	Corinthians	32	31.4	34	36.2	42	40.7	33	-7.7
17	Remo	32	35.5	34	46.9	50	35.8	26	-9.8
18	Chapecoense	31	34.3	32	54.1	63	32.1	21	-11.1
19	Internacional	32	43.9	36	39.5	40	46.4	35	-11.4
20	Vasco da Gama	31	54.1	39	34.3	45	52.2	38	-14.2

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