Flamengo xG 2026

Flamengo xG Questions

Are Flamengo overperforming their xG this season?

Yes, Flamengo have taken 67 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 11.07 more than the 55.93 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.

What is Flamengo's xG per game this season?

Flamengo create 1.73 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 53.68 in all, and have scored 61 goals from those chances, 7.32 more than that xG would expect.

What is Flamengo's xGA per game this season?

Flamengo allow 1.02 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 31.54 in all, and have conceded 25 goals from those chances, 6.54 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Flamengo this season?

Pedro has the most expected goals (xG) for Flamengo over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 14.31 xG in 31 appearances, and has scored 16 goals; Giorgian de Arrascaeta is next with 6.06 xG.

Flamengo expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 31
Expected goals (xG): 53.68
Goals scored: 61
Goals minus xG: +7.32
Expected goals against (xGA): 31.54
Goals conceded: 25
xGA minus goals conceded: +6.54
Expected points (xPts): 55.93
Points: 67
Points minus xPts: +11.07
Verdict: Running a little hot

Are Flamengo overperforming their expected goals?

Flamengo have taken 11.1 points more than their chances warranted over 31 games: +7.3 goals against their xG, and +6.5 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

Flamengo results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	31	53.68	61	+7.32	31.54	25	+6.54	55.93	67	+11.07
Last 10	10	21.27	22	+0.73	10.38	7	+3.38	20.00	25	+5.00
Last 5	5	10.93	10	-0.93	5.02	4	+1.02	10.16	13	+2.84
Home	15	28.02	29	+0.98	12.44	10	+2.44	30.53	36	+5.47
Away	16	25.66	32	+6.34	19.10	15	+4.10	25.40	31	+5.60

Flamengo expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	0-3	2.95	0.51	2.67	3	W
11 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	1-0	1.60	1.06	1.75	3	W
8 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	2-2	1.07	2.29	0.68	1	L
20 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	2-1	2.33	0.81	2.31	3	W
13 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (H)	2-1	2.98	0.35	2.75	3	W
6 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (A)	0-1	2.36	0.71	2.39	3	W
2 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	2-0	2.07	0.52	2.40	3	W
30 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	3-0	1.65	1.16	1.71	3	W
22 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	2-1	1.10	1.63	1.02	0	L
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	1-5	3.16	1.34	2.32	3	W
9 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (H)	2-0	1.37	0.21	2.29	3	W
29 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	1-1	1.12	1.41	1.16	1	L
26 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	1-1	2.34	0.42	2.56	1	W
23 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (A)	0-4	0.90	1.01	1.25	3	L
30 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (H)	3-0	1.63	1.07	1.76	3	W
24 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (H)	0-3	1.55	1.63	1.33	0	L
17 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (A)	1-1	1.57	0.82	1.90	1	W
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	0-1	2.27	0.39	2.55	3	W
3 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (H)	2-2	1.78	1.53	1.55	1	W
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (A)	0-4	2.39	1.37	1.99	3	W
19 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	2-0	2.01	0.57	2.33	3	W
12 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	1-2	2.37	1.53	1.88	3	W
5 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	3-1	2.63	0.96	2.34	3	W
3 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	3-0	0.28	1.79	0.35	0	L
22 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	1-1	0.43	1.41	0.60	1	L
19 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (H)	3-0	1.10	0.85	1.55	3	W
14 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (A)	0-3	1.61	0.65	2.06	3	W
12 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (H)	2-0	1.06	0.72	1.62	3	W
11 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	1-2	0.38	1.52	0.52	3	L
4 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-1	1.92	0.58	2.28	1	W

Flamengo players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Lucas Paquetá	midfielder	22	1454	3.55	7	+3.45	0.22
Samuel Lino	attacker	30	2026	5.63	9	+3.37	0.25
Pedro	attacker	31	2466	14.31	16	+1.69	0.52
Erick Pulgar	midfielder	21	1580	0.75	2	+1.25	0.04
Jorge Carrascal	midfielder	25	1408	5.22	6	+0.78	0.33
Danilo	defender	11	628	0.27	1	+0.73	0.04
Luiz Araújo	attacker	16	514	1.42	2	+0.58	0.25
Everton	attacker	12	387	0.53	1	+0.47	0.12
Lorran	midfielder	3	119	0.74	1	+0.26	0.56
Léo Pereira	defender	26	2257	1.79	2	+0.21	0.07
Bruno Henrique	attacker	24	680	1.79	2	+0.21	0.24
Jorginho	midfielder	24	1800	2.83	3	+0.17	0.14
Gonzalo Plata	attacker	19	991	2.90	3	+0.10	0.26
Guillermo Varela	defender	23	1878	1.03	1	-0.03	0.05
Léo Ortiz	defender	26	2165	1.42	1	-0.42	0.06
Ayrton Lucas	defender	18	1088	0.68	0	-0.68	0.06
Evertton Araújo	midfielder	20	996	0.85	0	-0.85	0.08
Giorgian de Arrascaeta	midfielder	21	1398	6.06	3	-3.06	0.39

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	31	43.1	54	31.4	22	49.6	66	+16.4
2	Flamengo	31	53.7	61	31.6	25	55.9	67	+11.1
3	Athletico PR	31	42.3	49	36.9	37	45.8	53	+7.2
4	Fluminense	31	42.3	49	40	39	44	51	+7
5	Atlético Mineiro	31	42.1	42	38.9	35	44.7	50	+5.3
6	Coritiba	31	32.9	38	48.5	49	33.7	39	+5.3
7	Cruzeiro	31	45.2	50	41.3	46	46.1	51	+4.9
8	Bahia	31	48.7	44	42.7	39	46.9	49	+2.1
9	Vitória	30	30.5	33	43.6	44	34.3	36	+1.7
10	Santos	31	41.1	48	38.2	46	44.2	45	+0.8
11	Grêmio	31	32.4	34	51.2	44	32.1	31	-1.1
12	Botafogo	31	39.2	44	42.8	48	40.8	39	-1.8
13	Mirassol	31	41.2	36	47.8	44	38.9	36	-2.9
14	São Paulo	31	45.8	36	37.5	35	46.4	42	-4.4
15	Bragantino	31	46.3	39	41.1	36	46	41	-5
16	Corinthians	30	28	31	33.3	38	37.6	32	-5.6
17	Remo	31	35.1	34	45.9	49	35	26	-9
18	Internacional	31	41.5	33	38.8	40	44.1	32	-12.1
19	Chapecoense	30	33.7	30	52.8	62	31.4	18	-13.4
20	Vasco da Gama	30	52	36	32.9	43	50.4	35	-15.4

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