São Paulo xG 2026

São Paulo xG Questions

Are São Paulo overperforming their xG this season?

No, São Paulo have taken 42 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, within 4.45 of the 46.45 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.

What is São Paulo's xG per game this season?

São Paulo create 1.48 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 45.78 in all, and have scored 36 goals from those chances, 9.78 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is São Paulo's xGA per game this season?

São Paulo allow 1.21 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 37.46 in all, and have conceded 35 goals from those chances, 2.46 fewer than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for São Paulo this season?

Jonathan Calleri has the most expected goals (xG) for São Paulo over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 9.64 xG in 26 appearances, and has scored 10 goals; Luciano is next with 8.73 xG.

São Paulo expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 31
Expected goals (xG): 45.78
Goals scored: 36
Goals minus xG: -9.78
Expected goals against (xGA): 37.46
Goals conceded: 35
xGA minus goals conceded: +2.46
Expected points (xPts): 46.45
Points: 42
Points minus xPts: -4.45
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are São Paulo overperforming their expected goals?

São Paulo's results and their chances agree, within 4.5 points of xPts over 31 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Mirassol expected goals

Games: 31
Mirassol xG per game: 1.33
Mirassol xGA per game: 1.54
Points minus xPts: -2.94
Verdict: In line with expected goals

São Paulo results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	31	45.78	36	-9.78	37.46	35	+2.46	46.45	42	-4.45
Last 10	10	17.62	10	-7.62	11.36	10	+1.36	17.94	16	-1.94
Last 5	5	7.27	5	-2.27	6.24	5	+1.24	7.85	9	+1.15
Home	16	27.08	25	-2.08	16.39	13	+3.39	27.65	33	+5.35
Away	15	18.70	11	-7.70	21.07	22	-0.93	18.80	9	-9.80

São Paulo expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (H)	1-0	1.16	1.13	1.38	3	W
11 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (H)	2-1	2.14	1.11	2.03	3	W
8 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	2-0	0.98	2.72	0.48	0	L
2 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (H)	1-2	1.81	0.65	2.18	0	W
20 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-0	1.18	0.63	1.78	3	W
12 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	2-0	1.08	2.43	0.63	0	L
5 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (H)	2-0	2.04	0.64	2.30	3	W
29 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	2-1	2.62	0.75	2.46	3	W
23 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (A)	1-0	3.22	0.91	2.55	0	W
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (H)	1-1	1.39	0.39	2.15	1	W
8 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	2-1	1.98	1.35	1.78	0	W
26 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (A)	1-1	0.42	2.34	0.30	1	L
23 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (H)	1-2	1.20	2.20	0.80	0	L
31 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (A)	1-0	0.97	0.71	1.55	0	W
23 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	1-1	1.65	1.04	1.79	1	W
16 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	2-1	1.15	1.13	1.37	0	W
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	3-2	0.63	1.22	0.87	0	L
3 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	2-2	1.45	2.32	0.90	1	L
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (H)	1-0	1.50	1.34	1.48	3	W
18 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (A)	2-1	2.78	2.28	1.66	0	W
11 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	2-0	0.94	0.97	1.32	0	L
4 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (H)	4-1	1.74	1.31	1.66	3	W
1 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	1-1	0.85	1.18	1.09	1	L
22 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (H)	0-1	0.05	0.21	0.89	0	D
18 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (A)	1-0	0.56	1.07	0.91	0	L
15 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (A)	1-2	0.74	0.68	1.36	3	D
12 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Chapecoense (H)	2-0	2.00	0.54	2.35	3	W
25 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (A)	0-1	1.52	1.11	1.66	3	W
12 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	2-0	4.43	0.43	2.80	3	W
4 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	1-1	0.88	0.97	1.27	1	L

São Paulo players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Ferreirinha	attacker	23	808	2.02	4	+1.98	0.23
Matheus Dória	defender	4	226	0.45	1	+0.55	0.18
Sabino	defender	23	1769	0.48	1	+0.52	0.02
Danielzinho	midfielder	25	1706	0.61	1	+0.39	0.03
Iago	defender	9	581	0.63	1	+0.37	0.10
Jonathan Calleri	attacker	26	2064	9.64	10	+0.36	0.42
Luciano	attacker	24	1777	8.73	9	+0.27	0.44
Pablo Maia	midfielder	21	1221	0.84	1	+0.16	0.06
Lucas Moura	attacker	10	388	1.16	1	-0.16	0.27
Lucas Ramon	defender	21	1580	0.50	0	-0.50	0.03
Wendell	defender	20	1355	0.54	0	-0.54	0.04
Cauly	midfielder	15	705	1.66	1	-0.66	0.21
Rafael Tolói	defender	12	859	0.91	0	-0.91	0.10
Gustavo Santana	midfielder	7	289	2.18	1	-1.18	0.68
Marcos Antônio	midfielder	24	1817	2.19	1	-1.19	0.11
Artur	attacker	22	1763	4.44	3	-1.44	0.23
Damián Bobadilla	midfielder	20	1476	1.54	0	-1.54	0.09
Gonzalo Tapia	attacker	11	281	1.78	0	-1.78	0.57

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	31	43.1	54	31.4	22	49.6	66	+16.4
2	Flamengo	31	53.7	61	31.6	25	55.9	67	+11.1
3	Athletico PR	31	42.3	49	36.9	37	45.8	53	+7.2
4	Fluminense	31	42.3	49	40	39	44	51	+7
5	Atlético Mineiro	31	42.1	42	38.9	35	44.7	50	+5.3
6	Coritiba	31	32.9	38	48.5	49	33.7	39	+5.3
7	Cruzeiro	31	45.2	50	41.3	46	46.1	51	+4.9
8	Bahia	31	48.7	44	42.7	39	46.9	49	+2.1
9	Vitória	30	30.5	33	43.6	44	34.3	36	+1.7
10	Santos	31	41.1	48	38.2	46	44.2	45	+0.8
11	Grêmio	31	32.4	34	51.2	44	32.1	31	-1.1
12	Botafogo	31	39.2	44	42.8	48	40.8	39	-1.8
13	Mirassol	31	41.2	36	47.8	44	38.9	36	-2.9
14	São Paulo	31	45.8	36	37.5	35	46.4	42	-4.4
15	Bragantino	31	46.3	39	41.1	36	46	41	-5
16	Corinthians	30	28	31	33.3	38	37.6	32	-5.6
17	Remo	31	35.1	34	45.9	49	35	26	-9
18	Internacional	31	41.5	33	38.8	40	44.1	32	-12.1
19	Chapecoense	30	33.7	30	52.8	62	31.4	18	-13.4
20	Vasco da Gama	30	52	36	32.9	43	50.4	35	-15.4

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