Chapecoense xG 2026

Chapecoense xG Questions

Are Chapecoense overperforming their xG this season?

No, Chapecoense have taken 21 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 11.13 fewer than the 32.13 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Chapecoense's xG per game this season?

Chapecoense create 1.10 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 34.25 in all, and have scored 32 goals from those chances, 2.25 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Chapecoense's xGA per game this season?

Chapecoense allow 1.75 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 54.15 in all, and have conceded 63 goals from those chances, 8.85 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Chapecoense this season?

Yannick Bolasie has the most expected goals (xG) for Chapecoense over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 4.41 xG in 24 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Maurício Garcez is next with 3.51 xG.

Chapecoense expected goals 2026: 2026

Games: 31
Expected goals (xG): 34.25
Goals scored: 32
Goals minus xG: -2.25
Expected goals against (xGA): 54.15
Goals conceded: 63
xGA minus goals conceded: -8.85
Expected points (xPts): 32.13
Points: 21
Points minus xPts: -11.13
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Chapecoense overperforming their expected goals?

Chapecoense have taken 11.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 31 games: -2.3 goals against their xG, and -8.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Bragantino expected goals

Games: 32
Bragantino xG per game: 1.47
Bragantino xGA per game: 1.41
Points minus xPts: -5.18
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Chapecoense results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
26/	31	34.25	32	-2.25	54.15	63	-8.85	32.13	21	-11.13
Last 10	10	12.26	12	-0.26	18.41	20	-1.59	10.21	11	+0.79
Last 5	5	4.37	4	-0.37	9.50	11	-1.50	3.67	4	+0.33
Home	15	21.10	21	-0.10	21.33	34	-12.67	20.79	14	-6.79
Away	16	13.15	11	-2.15	32.82	29	+3.82	11.34	7	-4.34

Chapecoense expected goals match by match, 2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
24 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (H)	2-1	0.55	1.27	0.78	3	L
17 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (A)	1-0	0.30	1.92	0.33	0	L
12 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (H)	1-4	1.56	1.58	1.37	0	L
7 Oct	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (A)	4-0	0.47	2.20	0.36	0	L
19 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (A)	1-1	1.49	2.53	0.83	1	L
12 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (H)	1-2	1.27	0.45	2.01	0	W
6 Sep	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (A)	1-2	0.98	2.25	0.64	3	L
30 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (A)	3-1	3.27	0.64	2.68	0	W
23 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (H)	1-0	0.91	3.22	0.32	3	L
16 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (H)	3-3	1.46	2.35	0.89	1	L
8 Aug	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (A)	2-1	0.52	1.43	0.68	0	L
25 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Santos (A)	2-2	0.60	2.04	0.48	1	L
23 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Flamengo (H)	0-4	1.01	0.90	1.43	0	W
17 Jul	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bahia (A)	2-0	0.62	1.50	0.72	0	L
31 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Palmeiras (A)	1-0	1.27	0.78	1.73	0	W
24 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Cruzeiro (A)	2-1	0.52	2.16	0.40	0	L
17 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Remo (H)	2-3	1.70	0.95	1.89	0	W
10 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Mirassol (A)	1-1	0.84	1.56	0.86	1	L
3 May	Campeonato Brasileiro	Bragantino (H)	1-2	1.87	0.39	2.40	0	W
26 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Fluminense (A)	2-1	0.35	3.15	0.14	0	L
18 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Botafogo (H)	1-4	0.27	0.97	0.68	0	L
12 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Athletico PR (A)	2-0	0.37	1.28	0.61	0	L
5 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vitória (H)	1-1	2.05	1.72	1.59	1	W
2 Apr	Campeonato Brasileiro	Atlético-MG (H)	0-4	2.98	2.39	1.70	0	W
22 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Internacional (A)	2-0	0.71	2.58	0.39	0	L
20 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Corinthians (H)	0-0	0.72	0.95	1.14	1	L
16 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	Grêmio (H)	1-1	1.24	0.68	1.79	1	W
12 Mar	Campeonato Brasileiro	São Paulo (A)	2-0	0.54	2.00	0.46	0	L
11 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Coritiba (H)	3-3	1.87	2.14	1.24	1	L
5 Feb	Campeonato Brasileiro	Vasco (A)	1-1	0.30	4.80	0.03	1	L

Chapecoense players: goals against expected goals, 2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Marcinho	attacker	29	1787	2.79	5	+2.21	0.14
Giovanni Augusto	midfielder	23	1378	0.79	2	+1.21	0.05
Carvalheira	midfielder	14	896	0.92	2	+1.08	0.09
Jean Carlos	midfielder	17	650	1.09	2	+0.91	0.15
Rubens	attacker	11	262	0.12	1	+0.88	0.04
João Paulo	defender	8	684	0.24	1	+0.76	0.03
Bruno Pacheco	defender	22	1632	0.43	1	+0.57	0.02
Neto Pessoa	attacker	10	267	1.54	2	+0.46	0.52
Walter Clar	defender	10	766	2.64	3	+0.36	0.31
Tulio Eduardo	attacker	11	768	2.72	3	+0.28	0.32
Ênio	attacker	14	783	0.85	1	+0.15	0.10
Doma	defender	29	2497	1.27	1	-0.27	0.05
Meritão	midfielder	11	616	1.31	1	-0.31	0.19
Maurício Garcez	attacker	17	1082	3.51	3	-0.51	0.29
Camilo	midfielder	26	2223	0.58	0	-0.58	0.02
Miguel Carvalho	midfielder	5	159	0.63	0	-0.63	0.36
João Vitor	midfielder	11	598	0.75	0	-0.75	0.11
Marcos Vinícius	defender	10	579	0.76	0	-0.76	0.12
Everton	defender	21	1326	0.79	0	-0.79	0.05
Franco Rossi	attacker	6	134	0.81	0	-0.81	0.55
Italo Vargas	attacker	15	716	1.05	0	-1.05	0.13
Kevin Ramírez	attacker	6	221	1.37	0	-1.37	0.56
Yannick Bolasie	attacker	24	1442	4.41	2	-2.41	0.28

Campeonato Brasileiro 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Palmeiras	32	46.4	56	31.9	22	51.9	69	+17.1
2	Flamengo	31	53.7	61	31.6	25	55.9	67	+11.1
3	Athletico PR	32	42.8	50	37.9	38	46.9	54	+7.1
4	Cruzeiro	32	46.4	51	41.8	46	48	54	+6
5	Coritiba	31	33.1	38	49.1	49	33.5	39	+5.5
6	Fluminense	32	43.6	50	40.5	41	45.9	51	+5.1
7	Atlético Mineiro	31	42.7	42	39.1	35	44.9	50	+5.1
8	Bahia	32	50.1	45	44.5	40	48.1	50	+1.9
9	Vitória	32	33	35	46.2	46	37.1	38	+0.9
10	Santos	32	42.8	49	39.6	47	45.7	46	+0.3
11	Grêmio	31	32.5	34	51.4	44	31.9	31	-0.9
12	Botafogo	32	40	44	45.3	51	41.3	39	-2.3
13	Mirassol	32	43	37	49.3	45	40.5	37	-3.5
14	São Paulo	32	47.3	37	39.3	36	47.6	43	-4.6
15	Bragantino	32	46.9	39	45	38	46.2	41	-5.2
16	Corinthians	32	31.4	34	36.2	42	40.7	33	-7.7
17	Remo	32	35.5	34	46.9	50	35.8	26	-9.8
18	Chapecoense	31	34.3	32	54.1	63	32.1	21	-11.1
19	Internacional	32	43.9	36	39.5	40	46.4	35	-11.4
20	Vasco da Gama	31	54.1	39	34.3	45	52.2	38	-14.2

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