No, Internacional have taken 32 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 12.05 fewer than the 44.05 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Internacional create 1.34 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 41.45 in all, and have scored 33 goals from those chances, 8.45 fewer than that xG would expect.
Internacional allow 1.25 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 38.75 in all, and have conceded 40 goals from those chances, 1.25 more than that xGA would expect.
Johan Carbonero has the most expected goals (xG) for Internacional over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 6.50 xG in 30 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Alerrandro is next with 5.79 xG.
Internacional have taken 12.1 points fewer than their chances warranted over 31 games: -8.5 goals against their xG, and -1.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 31 | 41.45 | 33 | -8.45 | 38.75 | 40 | -1.25 | 44.05 | 32 | -12.05 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.78 | 10 | -0.78 | 15.99 | 13 | +2.99 | 10.65 | 10 | -0.65 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.47 | 5 | +0.53 | 9.06 | 6 | +3.06 | 4.22 | 7 | +2.78 |
| Home | 15 | 24.09 | 18 | -6.09 | 15.31 | 17 | -1.69 | 26.41 | 17 | -9.41 |
| Away | 16 | 17.36 | 15 | -2.36 | 23.44 | 23 | +0.44 | 17.64 | 15 | -2.64 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (A) | 2-0 | 0.75 | 3.43 | 0.23 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (A) | 1-1 | 1.12 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1 | L |
| 7 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 2-1 | 1.52 | 1.85 | 1.18 | 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 1-0 | 0.63 | 1.18 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 1-2 | 0.45 | 1.27 | 0.69 | 3 | L |
| 6 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (H) | 2-3 | 1.70 | 1.34 | 1.62 | 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 3-2 | 1.49 | 2.10 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (H) | 0-0 | 1.47 | 0.90 | 1.78 | 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (H) | 1-1 | 1.23 | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (A) | 0-0 | 0.42 | 1.43 | 0.59 | 1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 1-1 | 1.41 | 1.12 | 1.58 | 1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Athletico PR (A) | 2-0 | 1.07 | 1.60 | 1.01 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 1-2 | 1.61 | 1.28 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 31 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 3-1 | 0.72 | 1.86 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 23 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (A) | 2-0 | 2.39 | 0.67 | 2.42 | 0 | W |
| 16 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (H) | 4-1 | 1.42 | 0.72 | 1.89 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (A) | 2-2 | 2.81 | 0.57 | 2.61 | 1 | W |
| 3 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 2-0 | 1.65 | 1.01 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 25 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 2-2 | 0.77 | 1.47 | 0.85 | 1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (H) | 1-2 | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.42 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 0-0 | 0.74 | 0.23 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 0-1 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 0.90 | 3 | L |
| 1 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (H) | 1-1 | 1.18 | 0.85 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (H) | 2-0 | 2.58 | 0.71 | 2.47 | 3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (A) | 1-2 | 1.14 | 1.35 | 1.22 | 3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (H) | 0-1 | 1.63 | 0.89 | 1.89 | 0 | W |
| 11 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 1-0 | 1.71 | 1.02 | 1.84 | 0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (A) | 1-1 | 0.92 | 1.42 | 1.00 | 1 | L |
| 13 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 1-3 | 2.66 | 0.90 | 2.38 | 0 | W |
| 4 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (A) | 1-1 | 0.58 | 1.92 | 0.51 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Patrick | midfielder | 25 | 1767 | 3.29 | 5 | +1.71 | 0.17 |
| Alexandro Bernabei | defender | 27 | 2234 | 2.54 | 4 | +1.46 | 0.10 |
| Ronaldo | midfielder | 13 | 533 | 0.23 | 1 | +0.77 | 0.04 |
| Johan Carbonero | attacker | 30 | 1987 | 6.50 | 7 | +0.50 | 0.29 |
| Braian Aguirre | defender | 22 | 995 | 1.68 | 2 | +0.32 | 0.15 |
| Gabriel Mercado | defender | 21 | 1837 | 0.77 | 1 | +0.23 | 0.04 |
| Vitinho | attacker | 30 | 2333 | 3.95 | 4 | +0.05 | 0.15 |
| Félix Torres | defender | 21 | 1429 | 1.97 | 2 | +0.03 | 0.12 |
| Guillermo Maripán | defender | 9 | 788 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.06 |
| Paulinho Paula | midfielder | 23 | 1120 | 0.84 | 0 | -0.84 | 0.07 |
| Bruno Henrique | midfielder | 27 | 1529 | 2.92 | 2 | -0.92 | 0.17 |
| Bruno Gomes | defender | 30 | 2511 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.93 | 0.03 |
| Bruno Tabata | attacker | 8 | 174 | 1.03 | 0 | -1.03 | 0.53 |
| Rafael Borré | attacker | 18 | 1056 | 4.58 | 2 | -2.58 | 0.39 |
| Alerrandro | attacker | 24 | 1112 | 5.79 | 3 | -2.79 | 0.47 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 43.1 | 54 | 31.4 | 22 | 49.6 | 66 | +16.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 53.7 | 61 | 31.6 | 25 | 55.9 | 67 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 36.9 | 37 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 44 | 51 | +7 |
| 5 | Atlético Mineiro | 31 | 42.1 | 42 | 38.9 | 35 | 44.7 | 50 | +5.3 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 31 | 32.9 | 38 | 48.5 | 49 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 45.2 | 50 | 41.3 | 46 | 46.1 | 51 | +4.9 |
| 8 | Bahia | 31 | 48.7 | 44 | 42.7 | 39 | 46.9 | 49 | +2.1 |
| 9 | Vitória | 30 | 30.5 | 33 | 43.6 | 44 | 34.3 | 36 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 41.1 | 48 | 38.2 | 46 | 44.2 | 45 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 31 | 32.4 | 34 | 51.2 | 44 | 32.1 | 31 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 31 | 39.2 | 44 | 42.8 | 48 | 40.8 | 39 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 31 | 41.2 | 36 | 47.8 | 44 | 38.9 | 36 | -2.9 |
| 14 | São Paulo | 31 | 45.8 | 36 | 37.5 | 35 | 46.4 | 42 | -4.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 31 | 46.3 | 39 | 41.1 | 36 | 46 | 41 | -5 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 28 | 31 | 33.3 | 38 | 37.6 | 32 | -5.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 31 | 35.1 | 34 | 45.9 | 49 | 35 | 26 | -9 |
| 18 | Internacional | 31 | 41.5 | 33 | 38.8 | 40 | 44.1 | 32 | -12.1 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 30 | 33.7 | 30 | 52.8 | 62 | 31.4 | 18 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 52 | 36 | 32.9 | 43 | 50.4 | 35 | -15.4 |