Yes, Athletico PR have taken 53 points over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 7.15 more than the 45.85 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Athletico PR create 1.36 expected goals (xG) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 42.28 in all, and have scored 49 goals from those chances, 6.72 more than that xG would expect.
Athletico PR allow 1.19 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 36.95 in all, and have conceded 37 goals from those chances, 0.05 more than that xGA would expect.
Kevin Viveros has the most expected goals (xG) for Athletico PR over 31 Campeonato Brasileiro games in 2026, 16.55 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 21 goals; Leozinho is next with 3.49 xG.
Athletico PR have taken 7.2 points more than their chances warranted over 31 games: +6.7 goals against their xG, and -0.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 31 | 42.28 | 49 | +6.72 | 36.95 | 37 | -0.05 | 45.85 | 53 | +7.15 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.13 | 21 | +5.87 | 17.02 | 18 | -0.98 | 13.06 | 16 | +2.94 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.64 | 11 | +3.36 | 7.14 | 9 | -1.86 | 7.10 | 8 | +0.90 |
| Home | 16 | 26.91 | 27 | +0.09 | 13.79 | 15 | -1.21 | 29.79 | 32 | +2.21 |
| Away | 15 | 15.37 | 22 | +6.63 | 23.16 | 22 | +1.16 | 16.06 | 21 | +4.94 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (H) | 0-2 | 1.27 | 1.17 | 1.43 | 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (A) | 1-4 | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| 8 Oct | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (H) | 2-2 | 2.26 | 1.20 | 2.03 | 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (H) | 2-1 | 0.80 | 1.35 | 0.94 | 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (A) | 3-3 | 1.73 | 1.86 | 1.31 | 1 | L |
| 6 Sep | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (A) | 3-1 | 1.40 | 2.95 | 0.62 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (H) | 3-3 | 1.88 | 0.65 | 2.21 | 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (A) | 2-3 | 0.49 | 2.91 | 0.22 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (H) | 1-1 | 2.73 | 1.33 | 2.17 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (A) | 0-2 | 0.99 | 2.04 | 0.74 | 3 | L |
| 30 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (A) | 0-0 | 0.27 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 1 | L |
| 25 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | Internacional (H) | 2-0 | 1.60 | 1.07 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jul | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo (A) | 1-2 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 30 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol (H) | 1-0 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 24 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo (A) | 1-2 | 1.39 | 0.42 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 17 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo (H) | 1-1 | 0.82 | 1.57 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 10 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco (A) | 1-0 | 0.97 | 2.13 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio (H) | 0-0 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.40 | 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória (H) | 3-1 | 4.02 | 0.60 | 2.77 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Palmeiras (A) | 1-0 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.28 | 0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Chapecoense (H) | 2-0 | 1.28 | 0.37 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 5 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético-MG (A) | 2-1 | 0.54 | 1.45 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 1 Apr | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bahia (A) | 3-0 | 0.62 | 1.15 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 29 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Botafogo (H) | 4-1 | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.55 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Coritiba (H) | 2-0 | 1.20 | 0.15 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 18 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Cruzeiro (H) | 2-1 | 1.13 | 0.78 | 1.62 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Campeonato Brasileiro | Fluminense (A) | 3-2 | 0.44 | 2.05 | 0.38 | 0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino (A) | 1-1 | 1.25 | 0.32 | 2.12 | 1 | W |
| 19 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians (H) | 0-1 | 2.26 | 0.16 | 2.70 | 0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Campeonato Brasileiro | Santos (H) | 2-1 | 2.25 | 0.82 | 2.27 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | attacker | 29 | 2555 | 16.55 | 21 | +4.45 | 0.58 |
| Stiven Mendoza | attacker | 31 | 2602 | 2.16 | 5 | +2.84 | 0.07 |
| Leozinho | attacker | 17 | 815 | 3.49 | 5 | +1.51 | 0.39 |
| Lucas Esquivel | defender | 21 | 1661 | 0.75 | 2 | +1.25 | 0.04 |
| Kerwin Vargas | attacker | 7 | 316 | 0.90 | 2 | +1.10 | 0.25 |
| Luiz Gustavo | midfielder | 25 | 2000 | 3.37 | 4 | +0.63 | 0.15 |
| Julimar | attacker | 13 | 725 | 2.39 | 3 | +0.61 | 0.30 |
| Jorge Rivaldo | attacker | 6 | 113 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.45 |
| Gastón Américo BenavÃdez | defender | 22 | 1855 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.03 |
| Arthur Dias | defender | 29 | 2442 | 0.71 | 1 | +0.29 | 0.03 |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | defender | 26 | 2101 | 1.05 | 1 | -0.05 | 0.04 |
| Dudu | midfielder | 21 | 814 | 1.25 | 1 | -0.25 | 0.14 |
| João Cruz | midfielder | 24 | 1096 | 2.48 | 2 | -0.48 | 0.20 |
| Chiqueti | midfielder | 9 | 237 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.24 |
| Gilberto | defender | 11 | 831 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.08 |
| Bruno Zapelli | midfielder | 21 | 775 | 1.15 | 0 | -1.15 | 0.13 |
| Carlos Terán | defender | 17 | 1107 | 1.27 | 0 | -1.27 | 0.10 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 43.1 | 54 | 31.4 | 22 | 49.6 | 66 | +16.4 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 31 | 53.7 | 61 | 31.6 | 25 | 55.9 | 67 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 36.9 | 37 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 31 | 42.3 | 49 | 40 | 39 | 44 | 51 | +7 |
| 5 | Atlético Mineiro | 31 | 42.1 | 42 | 38.9 | 35 | 44.7 | 50 | +5.3 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 31 | 32.9 | 38 | 48.5 | 49 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 45.2 | 50 | 41.3 | 46 | 46.1 | 51 | +4.9 |
| 8 | Bahia | 31 | 48.7 | 44 | 42.7 | 39 | 46.9 | 49 | +2.1 |
| 9 | Vitória | 30 | 30.5 | 33 | 43.6 | 44 | 34.3 | 36 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 41.1 | 48 | 38.2 | 46 | 44.2 | 45 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 31 | 32.4 | 34 | 51.2 | 44 | 32.1 | 31 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 31 | 39.2 | 44 | 42.8 | 48 | 40.8 | 39 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 31 | 41.2 | 36 | 47.8 | 44 | 38.9 | 36 | -2.9 |
| 14 | São Paulo | 31 | 45.8 | 36 | 37.5 | 35 | 46.4 | 42 | -4.4 |
| 15 | Bragantino | 31 | 46.3 | 39 | 41.1 | 36 | 46 | 41 | -5 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 28 | 31 | 33.3 | 38 | 37.6 | 32 | -5.6 |
| 17 | Remo | 31 | 35.1 | 34 | 45.9 | 49 | 35 | 26 | -9 |
| 18 | Internacional | 31 | 41.5 | 33 | 38.8 | 40 | 44.1 | 32 | -12.1 |
| 19 | Chapecoense | 30 | 33.7 | 30 | 52.8 | 62 | 31.4 | 18 | -13.4 |
| 20 | Vasco da Gama | 30 | 52 | 36 | 32.9 | 43 | 50.4 | 35 | -15.4 |